The Indianapolis Colts hit the road to face the host Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football to cap a busy day in Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season.
The Cowboys are listed as a favorite of 10.5 to 11 points on the odds boards at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet — the biggest spread for any team this week. But when early odds for this game were posted in May, Dallas was only a 2-point choice.
Let’s take a look at the latest Colts vs. Cowboys odds on Sunday Night Football as well as our prediction.
SNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here are Sunday Night Football odds from around the sports betting marketplace.
NFL · Sun (12/4) @ 8:23pm ET
|AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas|
Colts-Cowboys on SNF
The Cowboys (8-3 straight up/7-4 against the spread) enter this interconference game in high gear after back-to-back wins over Minnesota and the NY Giants. Dallas currently holds the top wild card and stands two games behind NFC East frontrunner, Philadelphia (9-1).
The Colts (4-7-1 SU/5-7 ATS) and interim coach Jeff Saturday, meanwhile, have had consecutive agonizing outings. They first lost to Philadelphia 17-16 after blowing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead and then came Monday night’s 24-17 home loss as a 2.5-point favorite against Pittsburgh in which Saturday was heavily criticized for his clock management in the final minute.
As if the Colts weren’t in enough of a miserable mood, they also get this week’s atomic wedgie from the schedule makers.
Not only are they playing a team that’s gone 4-1 since the return of QB Dak Prescott, the league’s eighth-ranked passer, but the Colts are also working on a short work week that’s complicated by travel and playing a team that’s been off since Thanksgiving. It’s one of only two games this season that a team on short rest faces a team that played the previous Thursday.
But in Week 3, Indianapolis played host to a powerhouse Kansas City Chiefs team that was coming off such an extended break and prevailed 20-17 as a 4.5-point underdog.
Indy’s troubles are rooted on offense, where the line has been grilled by media commentators throughout the season. Those blocking woes have contributed to QB Matt Ryan having an awful debut season with the Colts after spending 14 years in Atlanta.
He’s been sacked 33 times in only nine games, which is tied for third-most in the league and is also tied for the league lead with 13 fumbles. And he’s thrown 10 INTs, one off the NFL high.
Plus, Jonathan Taylor, last year’s rushing champion, has missed two games due to injury and already has lost three fumbles in nine games, as many turnovers as he had in his previous 32 outings in 2020-21.
However, the defense has been stout, ranking sixth overall. But it wasn’t stout enough to stop Pittsburgh from rushing for 172 yards on Monday despite being without its top ball carrier (Najee Harris) most of the game.
Dallas’ offense is percolating well in all aspects, especially with RB Tony Pollard blossoming in recent weeks. He’s broken off three runs of 40-plus yards, tied for most in the league. And now that Ezekiel Elliott is back from injury, that’s one potent 1-2 punch.
WR CeeDee Lamb is a breakaway threat as well, with 16 catches of 20-plus yards, which is tied for third-most in the league.
Defensively, Dallas’ seventh-ranked unit should provide plenty of headaches for a Colts offense that ranks 26th and has scored more than 17 points in only one of its past six games.
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Colts vs. Cowboys SNF Prediction
Here’s a scenario you don’t see every day. And it could get ugly for Indy.
The Cowboys enter the game with 45 sacks, eight more than anyone else behind Micah Parsons’ 12. That unit will get to go against a line that has allowed the most sacks in the league with 43. Ryan had better plan to spend a lot of time in the whirlpool next week.
Indy could counter with Taylor getting 30-plus carries to keep the pass rushers at bay and the score close. But whenever the Colts face third-and-long, uh-oh!
One more thing: Is there the slightest chance Dallas defensive coordinator Dan Quinn, who was head coach of the Falcons and Ryan from 2015-20, might have a little bit of insight on what makes his former QB tick and not tick?
Prediction: Cowboys 31, Colts 10