The Washington Commanders are scheduled to face the unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football to close out Week 10 action in the 2022 NFL season.
The Eagle opened last week as a 10-point favorite. But now they are the choice at odds ranging from 10-10.5 points at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet.
Let’s take a look at our Commanders vs. Eagles odds on Monday Night Football, as well as a prediction.
MNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here are Monday Night Football odds from around the sports betting marketplace.
NFL · Mon (11/14) @ 8:15pm ET
|Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania|
Commanders-Eagles Rivalry on MNF
This game marks the third straight week the Eagles have been a double-digit favorite, first coming off a bye and toppling visiting Pittsburgh, 35-13, as an 11.5-point pick. Then last Thursday taking down the Texans in Houston, 29-17, as a 14-point choice.
Overall this season through nine weeks, favorites of 10 points or more are 5-8 against the spread and 11-2 straight up. But last year, those heavy choices were 29-20-2 ATS and 43-9 SU.
Philadelphia (8-0 SU/5-3 ATS) is off to its best start in history, which includes a 24-8 win in Washington in Week 3 as a 5.5-point pick. The Eagles, though, were held to a season-low 72 rushing yards on 30 carries.
In that meeting, the Eagles went up against QB Carson Wentz, who starred for Philly during its Super Bowl run in 2017 before going down late in the season with a knee injury. Philadelphia held the Commanders (4-5 SU/4-4-1 ATS) to 2.9 yards a pass attempt (including lost yardage on nine sacks), the second-lowest average for any team in a game this season.
Just like five years ago, Wentz is out again with an injury after fracturing the ring finger on his passing hand. So, for the second consecutive season, QB Taylor Heinicke has come off the bench to take over for Washington. This will be his fourth straight start. Last year, he replaced Ryan Fitzpatrick in the team’s opener.
Philadelphia, which has the second-shortest Super Bowl odds in the league at +500 (across the board), has thrived behind the improved play of QB Jalen Hurts, a strong running game, the acquisition of standout WR AJ Brown in the offseason, the best pass defense in the league (based on passer rating), and a front seven that that puts pressure on the quarterback.
Hurts is the second-ranked QB in the league, a jump from when he was 22nd in 2021. His favorite target is Brown with 43 catches and 718 yards. His norm of 16.7 yards a reception is second-best in the league for receivers with at least 35 catches. He’s also scored five TDs in the past three games.
Washington, meanwhile, was on a three-game winning streak until falling at home last week to Minnesota 20-17 after blowing a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter.
As for Heinicke, in his 16 starts last year, he was the only QB in the league to have three games in which he completed fewer than half his throws. This year, he has hit on 63% of his passes with five TDs and three INTs. In 2021, he was at 20/15.
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Commanders vs. Eagles MNF Prediction
One aspect of the Eagles’ game that hasn’t been perfect is their rush defense, especially now that rookie DT Jordan Davis, their first-round draft pick from national champion Georgia, went on the IR two weeks ago with an ankle injury.
In last week’s harder-than-it-should-have-
Over Philly’s past four games, it has yielded a norm of 142.5 a game and 5.3 a carry. And in the Commanders’ past four outings, they’ve averaged 131.8 and 4.3. In their first five games, they hit 90-plus yards only once.
And at QB, Heinicke isn’t the sack magnet Wentz is, going down only six times in his three starts. That’s a big plus. And he hasn’t had a fumble. Wentz had six.
In summary, the Eagles will find a way to win, but not by enough to put another “W” in the ATS column.
Prediction: Eagles 24, Commanders 17