Despite the Cowboys’ 31-28 overtime loss in Green Bay in Week 10, in which they blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead, the team’s Super Bowl odds are holding steady at DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM.
Here’s where Dallas stands as of Nov. 18, 2022.
Analysis of Cowboys’ Super Bowl Odds
The Cowboys (6-3 overall, 5-4 ATS), in third place in the NFC East, are listed at +1500 (FanDuel), which is quite an improvement over their +5000 number after starting QB Dak Prescott injured the thumb on his passing hand in the season opener and wound up missing the next five games. While the Cowboys are the seventh consensus betting favorite at sportsbooks including FanDuel and BetMGM, DraftKings was offering Dallas as the fifth choice at +1000 as of today.
The Buffalo Bills (6-3), who have been atop the Super Bowl betting board all season, are listed as the favorite at +450. Buffalo is followed closely by AFC rival Kansas City (+500). NFC East-leading Philadelphia stands third at +650, with San Francisco out of the NFC West at +900. No other teams are shorter than +1000.
|Cowboys odds to win:||DraftKings||BetMGM (Code TODAY)||FanDuel|
|Super Bowl 57||+1000||+1400||+1500|
What are the Cowboys’ Chances to Win Super Bowl 57?
Unless they manage to catch Philadelphia (8-1) and win the division title, the Cowboys are destined to qualify for the postseason as a wild card and face a rough road journey through the postseason.
But there’s hope.
Since 2005, four wild-card teams seeded fifth or sixth have won the Super Bowl including Tampa Bay two seasons ago by winning three conference playoff games on the road before earning the title on its home field.
What are the Cowboys’ Odds to Win the NFC Championship?
They have the fourth shortest odds on the conference board at +600 (FanDuel), after Philly (+250), San Francisco (+400) and Minnesota (+450). By contrast, South-leading Tampa Bay (+700) and West frontrunner Seattle (+2200) have longer odds.
Dallas currently stands as the second wild card (sixth seed), one game behind the Giants (+3300), who have the longest odds of any NFC team currently in playoff position.
On Thanksgving, the Cowboys will go for the season sweep of the Giants when they meet in Arlington, Texas. A victory then, combined with their 23-16 triumph over the Giants in Week 3, would give Dallas the tiebreaker edge should they finish in a two-way tie atop the wild-card standings and/or in the division.
But what could hurt Dallas’ chances is that it has the sixth hardest remaining strength of schedule, according to Tankathon.com, including games against three division leaders — this week at Minnesota (8-1), with a home game against Philly in Week 16 followed by a trip to Tennessee.
What are the Cowboys’ Odds to Win the NFC East?
Dallas is the second choice at +450 at the Westgate SuperBook, with Philly the heavy favorite to win the East at -360.
The Cowboys also opened the season as the second choice behind the Eagles but at odds of +150.
Analysis of the NFC East
This is the most competitive of the eight divisions, with Philly, Dallas, New York, and Washington combining to be 15 games over .500. No division has finished a season this far over break-even since the NFC East teams were also 15 over in 2016.
The East seems destined to have three teams qualify for the postseason for the first time since 2007, the year the Giants and QB Eli Manning beat New England in the Super Bowl.
Even last-place Washington, which just knocked off unbeaten Philadelphia, is only half a game off the wild-card pace.
What are the Cowboys’ Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs?
Dallas has odds of -1400 (FanDuel) to qualify for the postseason, which is considerably stronger than preseason odds when the Cowboys’ number was -250 at Caesars SportsBook.
On the other side, Cowboys haters can get them at +1500 (PointsBet) not to make the playoffs. With that tough remaining schedule, that’s not out of the realm of possibility.
What are the Cowboys’ Win Total Odds?
The Cowboys’ win total is listed at 11.5. To bet Dallas will win at least 12 games, the odds are -110 at SugarHouse. To bet on the Cowboys not winning more than 11? The odds are +110 at PointsBet.
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Cowboys’ Player Props
NFL MVP: QB Dak Prescott (+20000 DraftKings)
Prescott’s odds are so long since he missed five weeks of the season after injuring the thumb on his passing hand early in Week 1.
Most receiving yards: WR CeeDee Lamb (+6000 FanDuel)
Lamb stands 10th among league leaders with 784 yards, 364 shy of Tyreek Hill (+180 Caesars SportsBook), who tops the chart. But the favorite at sportbooks is Minnesota WR Justin Jefferson (+175 PointsBet), who has 1,060 yards with a game in hand on Hill.
Most rushing yards: RB Tony Pollard (+8000 SugarHouse)
Pollard, who has taken over the rushing load the past two weeks while Ezekiel Elliott nurses a knee injury, is 14th on the yardage chart with 621. He’s 389 yards off the pace of Tennessee’s Derrick Henry, which includes his 87 yards Thursday night vs. the Packers.
Defensive Player of Year: Micah Parsons (-250 BetMGM, PointsBet)
Parsons, last year’s Defensive Rookie of the Year, is the overwhelming favorite for this award. His closest rival on the oddsboard is NFL sack leader Matthew Judon at +1000 (FanDuel).
Most sacks: Micah Parsons (+700 FanDuel)
Parsons stands tied for sixth on the charts with eight sacks in nine games, but is third on the oddsboard behind favorite Matthew Judon of New England (+240 FanDuel), who has a league-high 11.5 QB sacks. Parsons and Judon both have eight games remaining.
Super Bowl 57 Odds FAQ
The Bills are favored on most oddsboards and are the likely AFC representative. Philadelphia has the shortest odds among NFC teams.
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