Cowboys vs. Packers Odds & Prediction: Mike McCarthy Returns to Green Bay

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The Dallas Cowboys and ex-Packers head coach Mike McCarthy are scheduled to face the Pack in Green Bay in the featured Sunday afternoon game in Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season.

The Cowboys opened last week as a 3-point favorite. But now they are the choice at odds ranging from 5-5.5 points at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet.

Let’s take a look at our Cowboys vs. Packers odds, as well as a prediction.

NFL Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Here are Cowboys vs. Packers odds from around the sports betting marketplace.

DAL Cowboys vs GB Packers Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Sun (11/13) @ 4:24pm ET

DAL Cowboys at GB Packers
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

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Cowboys-Packers: Mike McCarthy Returns to Green Bay

The surging Cowboys (6-2 straight up/6-2 against the spread), who have won five of their past six games including two straight since the return of QB Dak Prescott (thumb), will be making their 12th visit in history to Green Bay to face the Packers.

For the fourth time, they enter as the betting favorite.

The squads last met at Lambeau Field in the divisional round of the 2016 playoffs with Green Bay winning 34-31 as a 5.5-point underdog, which was Prescott’s first playoff game. The Packers also won as a 3-point dog in 2009, 17-7, but Dallas prevailed as a 3-point choice in 2008 by 27-16.

Overall, counting the Packers’ dramatic win in the 1967 “Ice Bowl,” they are 9-2 SU/8-3 ATS vs. Dallas on their home field.

Dating to the middle of the 2020 season, though, there has been no team nearly as good as the Cowboys against the spread. Dallas opened that season 0-8 ATS but is 24-10 since. Its current 6-2 mark is tied for the best in the league.

On the other hand, Green Bay (3-6 SU/ATS) is amid a five-game losing streak, its longest since 2008. And surprisingly were 15-9 losers in Detroit last week as a 4-point favorite while going against the NFL’s worst-ranked defense. QB Aaron Rodgers pitched three INTs and got visibly crankier as the game went on.

Cowboys vs. Packers Odds & Prediction: Mike McCarthy Returns to Green Bay
Dallas HC Mike McCarthy and Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers are featured in our Cowboys vs. Packers odds & prediction. (AP Photo/Mark Zaleski, File)

One of the storylines for this game is the initial return of McCarthy to Green Bay. He was the sideline boss there from 2006-18, even guiding Rodgers and the Packers to the Super Bowl title to cap the 2010 season. But he was fired late in the 2018 season after a 20-17 home loss to Arizona as a 13-point favorite.

Now he gets to face his old team and even has had an extra week to prepare with Dallas coming off a bye. In his two previous years with the Cowboys, they have won as underdogs with an extra week to rest, both times against Minnesota and once with backup QB Cooper Rush as the starter.

This also marks the second time in three weeks the Packers will face a team after its bye. In Week 8, GB traveled to Buffalo to meet a Bills team off a siesta and lost 27-17 as a 10.5-point dog.

Leaguewide this season, teams are 6-2 off byes (4-4 ATS).

Before Dallas’ break, it routed visiting Chicago, 49-29, almost doubling its best scoring output in a game this season.

Most notable was the production of RB Tony Pollard, who matched his career-best with 131 rushing yards (506 for the season) while Ezekiel Elliott sat out with a knee injury. No running back with at least 350 yards this season has a norm as good as Pollard’s 6.2 a carry (QBs excluded). As for Elliott, he returned to practice this week.

Green Bay’s running game, meanwhile, was largely shut down last week. In fact, Rodgers bemoaned the fact that the team is in trouble if he winds up being the team’s leading rusher, which he was against Detroit with 40 yards on four runs. It was the first time in three years he was atop the rushing chart in a game. And Green Bay lost that game, too.

As a side note for bettors who wagered on the over with regard to Green Bay’s preseason estimated win total of 11, even with eight games remaining, the best you can do is get a push.

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Cowboys vs. Packers NFL Prediction

It’s time for Rodgers to R-E-L-A-X and attempt to turn the Packers’ season around. There’s still time, considering they are only 1.5 games out of the wild-card picture.

Sure, Rodgers played miserably versus the Lions but late in Green Bay’s game against Buffalo, he was moving the chains.

That running game excelled against a Buffalo defense that ranks fourth in the league, totaling a season-best 208 yards. RB Aaron Jones led with way with 143 yards on 20 carries. With Dallas allowing 4.7 yards per carry, which ranks 23rd in the league, Green Bay should be able to move along the ground to help keep the heat off Rodgers.

It’s certainly good news for Green Bay that star OLT David Bakhtiari and OLG Elgton Jenkins aren’t on the injury list.

Prediction: Packers 27, Cowboys 23

Also read: NFL Week 10 betting tips and strategies | NFL Week 10 betting picks and predictions

About the Author
Bob Christ

Bob Christ

Bob Christ, based in New Mexico, has been a gaming writer (primarily the NFL) for almost four decades, with his work appearing in publications/websites across North America. He's a big fan of the Arkansas Razorbacks, Philadelphia's Eagles and Phillies, and inexplicably the NHL's Winnipeg Jets.

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