Crawford vs. Spence Odds & Props: Betting Line Widens Ahead of Fight

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Errol Spence Jr. vs Terence Crawford Odds BOXING Odds

BOXING · Sat (7/29) @ 10:00 pm ET

Errol Spence Jr. at Terence Crawford
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas , NV

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A fresh look at the Terence Crawford vs. Errol Spence Jr. betting line shows movement toward the favorite, with Crawford priced in the -135 to -150 range on the morning of Saturday, July 29. With the historic megafight set for tonight at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, let’s break down Crawford vs. Spence odds and props.

Boxing’s first-ever bout for four major welterweight belts has the gambling parity one would expect.

Crawford is still playable on the moneyline at his best price of -135 (Caesars), while Spence is +135 at Bet365. In fact, scalping opportunities exist in the market as of this Saturday morning update, with +140 available on the dog on some odds boards. It’s always advisable to shop around the best sports betting apps to find the most advantageous prices for your wagers.

This is still is a relatively tightly-priced boxing match, and the betting line is justified with the fighters’ combined mark of 67-0 with 52 knockouts.

Crawford is 39-0 with 30 knockouts, and Spence is 28-0 with 22 KOs.

DraftKings Anticipates Public Money on Underdog

Getting plus-numbers on an undefeated fighter won’t be lost on the gamblers.

“With the type of wagering I see on our network, I think a lot of our bettors may go with the dog (Spence) and take that price when the bulk of the action comes in on Saturday,” Johnny Avello, director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today.

As of Wednesday morning, DraftKings is dealing Crawford -150/Spence +120.

“That’s just the way they like to play,” Avello continued. “We see it a lot in football. Bettors like to get back more than they are putting out. Now, $1.50 is not a terrible price to pay for Crawford at our book, but I think a lot of our late bettors are going to go with Spence Jr.”

Both fighters provide exceptional bang for the buck.

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Championship Track Records

Spence has pay-per-view triumphs over Mikey Garcia, Danny Garcia, Shawn Porter, and Yordenis Ugas. That last one brought him the WBA version of the crown and took place in Arlington, Tex., close to his hometown of Dallas.

Terence Crawford is a short betting favorite over Errol Spence, according to odds at multiple sportsbooks.
Terence Crawford defeats Shawn Porter in Nov. 2021 in Las Vegas (AP Photo/Chase Stevens)

Crawford has held belts in the lightweight, junior welterweight, and welterweight ranks.

Their track record forges the expectation of a long, grueling pay-per-view fight.

Betting intangible: Spence hasn’t fought since April 2022 and may battle ring rust. Crawford last fought in December 2022.

Seeking Betting Value in Spence Jr vs. Crawford Props

The Over-Under is 10.5 rounds (Over -270 at FanDuel, Under +215 at BetRivers), and if bettors agree, prop wagers make sense in the decision realm.

In recent years, sportsbooks have added degrees of decisions (majority, split, unanimous) to the betting board and they become prominent in a fight expected to go long.

After the hefty win-by-knockout prices at DraftKings of +1200 for Spence Jr. and +800 for Crawford — events that would pay well because they are not expected — the decision realm is fertile betting ground.

Here are some exceptional projected payouts for bettors who think they can find the right fighter to win a decision.

Spence Jr. Props: Payouts to Win Via Points

  • Decision or technical decision +225
  • Unanimous decision +370
  • Split decision +850
  • Majority decision +1600

This is intriguing because many top-level fights end with controversial scoring. The right fighter often wins, but at least one scorecard is a head-scratcher. That makes the majority and split decisions more possible.

Crawford Props: Payouts to Win Via Points

  • Decision or technical decision +180
  • Unanimous decision +300
  • Split decision +750
  • Majority decision +1400

It would not be surprising for gamblers to double up, taking either fighter by decision with one bet and trying to be specific regarding a unanimous or split decision on another.]

A draw is +1400, also viable in the age of controversial scoring.

Group Round Betting Hedges Knockout Wager

Some summits between top fighters end with a late stoppage. And although there are lucrative props for calling a specific round, it’s remote.

Group rounds betting provides a concentrated knockout period, enhancing the possibility to cash.

Spence vs. Crawford Props: Group Round Betting

Here are some 3-round stoppage windows for Spence Jr. and Crawford at DraftKings.

  • Spence Jr. rounds 1-3, +4000
  • Spence Jr. rounds 4-6, +2200
  • Spence Jr. rounds 7-9, +1200
  • Spence Jr. rounds 10-12, +1600
  • Crawford rounds 1-3, +3000
  • Crawford rounds 4-6, +1400
  • Crawford rounds 7-9, +800
  • Crawford rounds 10-12, +850

There are six-round wagering pockets as well. Bigger window, less payout. Fair tradeoff.

Spence vs. Crawford Props at BetMGM: 2-Round Group Betting

In this market offered on the BetMGM Sportsbook app, you get two fighters, not one, for a particular result. Gamblers who make these wagers have two shots at a stoppage, but they have less time to work with.

Fight Ends:

  • Round 1-2, +2500
  • Rounds 3-4, +1400
  • Rounds 5-6, +800
  • Rounds 7-8, +600
  • Rounds 9-10, +600
  • Rounds 11-12, +900

This may even be used by gamblers who also take the fight to end inside of 12 rounds at +138 odds.

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FanDuel Props Offer Interesting Opportunities

Bettors who want to think outside the box have some unique considerations at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Here’s a little tweak to reduce the moneyline juice. Crawford to win and the 6th round starts is -125. Crawford to win and the 7th round starts is -115.

Those who believe this is a long fight can improve their betting odds with this rider. It might be enough to turn a non-wager into a wager.

Additional Spence vs. Crawford Props from FanDuel

Here are a few more, outside-the-box wagers to consider:

  • A knockdown in the first six rounds +700
  • Two or more knockdowns in the fight +1200
  • Spence wins and each fighter goes down +3000.

Betting Hunch

If you like a fighter by decision, that’s one good bet.

A second wager could focus on what type of decision. Getting that right would pay well. That is, of course, if the decision realm is your key moneymaking tool here.

Marketing Difference Between Boxing, MMA Impacts Betting

Boxing purists consider this one of the biggest welterweight attractions since Sugar Ray Leonard-Thomas Hearns in 1981.

A number of those purists will bet this bout, but the action does not appear to have excited the mass gambling public yet.

“In the 80s, you had great promotional efforts for several weeks at a time prior to a big boxing match,” DraftKings’ Avello noted. “It’s not the same today.

“This fight will do fairly well, but it will probably be less than a big UFC fight. The difference, I think, is that MMA is appealing to a younger audience and they have an organized circuit practically every week. You get a top-level fight about once a month. Bettors are more used to it.”

This weekend in MMA betting: UFC 291 odds, props, predictions

Good luck with these fights!

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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