Daily NBA Fantasy projections from Swish Analytics

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Every day, Swish Analytics delivers algorithm-driven Daily Fantasy projections, Optimized Lineups, and potential high-value picks for your daily NBA team. Below are three great Daily Fantasy value plays for today. To see optimized lineups and fantasy projections for every NBA player, click here

JR Smith: SG New York Knicks

Looking for value fantasy plays on the Knicks this year has proven to be a bit of a challenge given Derek Fisher’s unsettled rotation. One thing that’s sure for Sunday’s game, though, is the fact that JR Smith will start in place of Carmelo Anthony against the Heat as Anthony continues to recover from his back injury. That said, Smith has proven erratic this season, and while he’s likely to see at least 20 minutes on the floors, it remains to be seen what he’ll be able to do in those 20-plus minutes. Smith has looked every bit the frustrating player he always has been for fantasy owners, following up a 15 point performance against the Mavs that saw him put up 21.1 fantasy points with a 2 point, 2 rebound, 4 assist performance against OKC in which he was able to accrue a respectable if disappointing 14.4 fantasy points. JR is by no means the offensive threat he once was, but with a smattering of 25-plus fantasy point performances under his belt this year and the hope of him playing big minutes with the starters, he is a potential high-risk, high-reward value play. He’s available for only $4,700, and while he’ll be slotting in at SF for the Knicks, give him a look at your SG2 position.

Corey Brewer: SF Minnesota Timberwolves

The loss of Ricky Rubio and Kevin Martin has opened the door for a variety of Timberwolves players to pick up the slack, and thus far Brewer has seized the opportunity. He’s averaged 14 points in his last 7 games and hasn’t played fewer than 29 in the that stretch with the exception of a game against the Pelicans in which he logged only 19 minutes back on Nov. 14. Even better, he’s brought his average fantasy points value up to 21.4, and has recorded 4 29-plus fantasy point performances in his last 10 games. Brewer is a no-doubt-about-it high value play; between his average fantasy production, his low salary of only $4,900, and a consistent 30-plus minute workload likely to continue, there are few players who provide a much bang for your daily fantasy buck as Brewer does. It should be noted, however, that he and the Wolves do not have a favorable matchup against Portland, who only give up 34.5 fantasy points to opposing forwards, but with the minutes Brewer brings to the table, he’s hard to pass up at the SF2 slot in your lineup.

Lou Williams: SG Toronto Raptors

With DeMar DeRozan out for the foreseeable future, it begs the question, who will fill in for the offensive standout at SG for the Raptors? At this point the early contender for the biggest bump in minutes and production looks to be Lou Williams, who replaced DeMar once the latter went down in the third quarter with his groin injury. As one of the better sixth-men in the league, Williams has already seen his fair share of 25-plus minute games thus far, and he hasn’t put up fewer than 13 points and 19.7 fantasy points in his last seven games. Of course, while it’s clear that Williams is the standout talent on the Raptors bench and the presumptive candidate to take over at SG, his value as a leader on Toronto’s second-unit may keep him on the bench and out of the starting lineup; this, however, is unlikely to limit his minutes, as he’s likely to be the first man off the bench in any situation if he doesn’t start, and 30-plus minutes games are there for the taking. With a salary of only $4,900 and a reliable 19.5 fantasy points per game (he’s even put up 31 and 48.3 in 2 of his last 4 games), Williams could be primed for a breakout week, which makes him a prime value pick. Don’t hesitate to plug him in tonight, especially with the Raptors facing the woeful LA Lakers, who give up the second most fantasy points to opposing guards (39.2 on average).

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