Cowboys Player Prop Bets: Tony Pollard Poised for Takeoff as Starter in 2023

Dallas Cowboys fans had gone through yet another disappointing year of football after losing to the San Francisco 49ers in last year’s divisional round.

While the season didn’t pan out the way Dallas wanted, there’s still a lot to move forward to in the Cowboys player prop betting market. So, let’s dive into a few bets that are surely going to be on many fans’ bet slips.

Get Up to $1,000 at Caesars Sportsbook

1

Visit Caesars Sportsbook

$1,000 FIRST BET

On Caesars

Caesars Sportsbook Review

Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses

Stream NFL Games In-App for Free

Use Promo Code: TODAY1000

PLAY NOW

Cowboys Props Bets 2023

Futures bets are a great way to make betting last an entire season, and there may be no better spot to tackle player props than with the Cowboys, which is loaded with talent.

Make sure to shop around various top sports betting apps, as some books offer better odds than others for the same bet.

Also read: Cowboys betting odds & schedule

Dak Prescott Over 3,950.5 Passing Yards (-112, FanDuel)

We can’t defend Dak Prescott’s lack of consistency, particularly in postseason or high-leverage situations. But during regular season play, he normally puts up stellar numbers.

He crushed his 2023 passing prop in each of his last two healthy seasons, averaging 4,675 yards per year. Though he fell short of this yardage mark in five of his seven career seasons, three of those misses came during his years as a game manager with another two being plagued by injuries. 

Prescott already had plenty of pass-catching talent around him, and then the Cowboys went out and traded for Brandin Cooks, who is a big play waiting to happen.

CeeDee Lamb accounted for 30% of the Cowboys’ team receptions in 2022, the second-highest rate in the entire NFL. Adding Cooks should allow Prescott to not have to force-feed his No. 1 target. Prescott also gets to enjoy another new toy in Luke Schoonmaker, who’s a better and more athletic version of former Dallas tight end Dalton Schultz. 

Tony Pollard Over 1,050.5 Rushing Yards (+100, DraftKings)

Letting go of Ezekiel Elliott must’ve been tough on Jerry Jones, but at least it paves the way for Tony Pollard to get some heavy run as the Cowboys’ unquestioned No. 1 running back.

The fifth-year back averaged 5.2 yards per carry in 2022 and was 44 yards away from topping his prop line for 2023, and that was while he was in a timeshare with Elliott. With Zeke finally out of the picture, Pollard has a chance to absolutely crush this line.

And if you need an idea of what he can do when he has a backfield all to himself, you can look back to last year when he averaged 123 rushing yards and scored four times on the ground in two games without the veteran running back.

Pollard is now several months removed from fracturing his fibula in the NFC Divisional game and should be fully healthy in time for next season. However, there were already questions about whether or not he can shoulder a full load due to his play style, and when you add in the recent injury history, it’s truly hard to say if he’ll last a full season.

Former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore is now with the Chargers, and taking over offensive play-calling duties is Brian Schottenheimer, who led the Seattle Seahawks to one of the best running offenses in the NFL not too long ago.

Tony Pollard Over 7.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-115, Caesars)

We covered Pollard’s rushing yardage prop, so now let’s go over his exploitable prob line for rushing touchdowns.

Elliott led the team in rushing touchdowns with 12 last season, but Pollard still was able to rack up nine himself. The difference between the two players’ scores is where they came from. All 12 of Elliott’s touchdowns came from inside the 15-yard line, while only five of Pollard’s nine were from inside the 15-yard line.

That’s because whenever Dallas was close to scoring, they would turn to Elliott instead of Pollard. But Elliot is currently no longer in Dallas, leaving the new star running back with most — if not all — of the goal-line carries.

CeeDee Lamb Over 1,100.5 Receiving Yards (-110, DraftKings)

Lamb cleared 1,100 yards receiving in each of the last two seasons, including by over 200 yards in 2022. And that was despite his starting quarterback missing five games with a broken hand.

In 11 full games with Prescott, he averaged 86.9 receiving yards — on pace for 1,468 over a 17-game season. In five games with Cooper Rush, he still averaged a solid 76 yards but never cleared 100 yards in a game.

The addition of Cooks — a player with multiple 1,000-yard seasons — may cut into Lamb’s production a little bit, but not enough to hold the latter under 1,100 yards.

More on NFL: Super Bowl odds 2024 | NFL betting odds