Here is a look at Broncos vs. Seahawks odds and a prediction for the first Monday Night Football game of the 2022 NFL season.
When the Denver visits the Seattle on Monday Night Football, it will mark just the second time in Week 1 that a quarterback that was traded in the offseason gets to go against his former team. On Sunday, Baker Mayfield, now the starter with the Carolina Panthers, started against the Cleveland Browns in a 26-24 loss.
MNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here are Monday Night Football odds from around the sports betting marketplace as Wilson makes his first return to Seattle since the trade. While some 7s have appeared on oddsboards, the spread is in the 6 to 6.5 range Monday late morning.
NFL · Mon (9/12) @ 8:15pm ET
|Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington|
Broncos-Seahawks Meet for First Time Since Russell Wilson Trade
Broncos rookie head coach Nathaniel Hackett, who was the Green Bay Packers offensive coordinator the past three seasons, is one of five first-year bosses making a real-game debut this weekend.
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Over the past four years, when facing an established coach, these newbies have gone 2-14-1 straight up/5-12 against the spread in Game 1. Coaches whose teams were favorites were 0-5/0-5, including former Broncos head coach Vic Fangio as a three-point road favorite vs. the Oakland Raiders in 2019.
Seattle’s win expectancy, listed at 5.5 on the DraftKings board, is tied for third-lowest in the league. Meanwhile, Denver’s is 10.
Broncos QB Russell Wilson, acquired from Seattle for a slew of draft picks and players, led the Seahawks to nine straight winning seasons — and a Super Bowl championship — before they tumbled last season. He also was slowed by a finger injury on his passing hand that kept him out of three midseason games. Denver, meanwhile, has had five straight losing seasons.
The Seahawks will counter at QB with journeyman Geno Smith, who backed up Wilson last year and went 1-2 in his absence with four TD throws and no INTs in those three starts. This summer, Smith “beat out” Drew Lock, who was part of the Wilson trade for the first-team job. But it might be more like Lock gave head coach Pete Carroll little choice after throwing three INTs in the team’s preseason finale.
Seattle is one of six teams that had a winless exhibition season. Last year, teams that were 0-fer in the summer went 1-6 in season openers (3-4 ATS).
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Broncos vs. Seahawks Betting Analysis & MNF Prediction
Smith, in his third year with the program, can be a solid backup. In the three games Wilson missed, he completed 30-of-41 throws to standout WRs Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf for 407 yards.
Seattle’s best shot at victory is through a defense that torments the Broncos’ offensive line, which is the unit’s weak link. But Denver has RB Javonte Williams, one of the league’s best at breaking tackles, and speedy Melvin Gordon in the backfield to keep the defense from making a beeline to the QB.
Both RBs will be scrapping for extra carries and going against a defense that no longer has its veteran lynchpin in LB Bobby Wagner (Los Angeles Rams).
And helping to open up the ground game are fleet WRs Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Their production should go up this year with Wilson under center.
But what could give Denver its biggest edge is what takes place when Smith looks to pass. The stout Denver rush, led by Bradley Chubb and ex-Cowboy Randy Gregory, gets to torment a pair of rookie tackles.
One more thing: The last time Carroll faced a rookie head coach in an opener in 2019, his Seahawks merely squeaked past the Cincinnati Bengals, 21-20, as a 9.5-point pick.
Forecast: Broncos 28, Seahawks 13