Does Resigning Cam Newton Make The Patriots A Better Bet In 2021?

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The New England Patriots seem to be prepared to play another season with Cam Newton at quarterback. While resigning him answers an essential question before free agency gets underway, it raises another one.

With Cam Newton at quarterback, are the Patriots worth betting on? Does having him behind center again add value to betting on New England? His signing did not really move the needle for the Patriots last year. Why should this year be any different?

Should it be any different?

Odds On The New England Patriots In 2021

New England Patriots Odds 2021PointsBetBetMGMDraftKings
AFC East+480+450+450
AFC+2000+1400+2000
Super Bowl+4000+3000+3300

Oddsmakers are not expecting to see much out of the New England Patriots in 2021. Both the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins have better odds in the AFC East. Their odds to win the AFC and Super Bowl are middle of the pack or worse.

If sportsbooks were posting odds to make the playoffs, those would probably not look too good either.

Expectations are low, but that does not mean the Patriots are doomed to have another lackluster season post-Tom Brady. With the right moves in free agency and a strong draft, they could challenge in the AFC East next year and maybe even in the AFC.

They recently took care of one key piece to the puzzle when they signed Cam Newton to another one-year deal, this time for a max of $13.6 million. But while he will be in a great position to start once again for the Patriots, the contract does not lock him into the starter’s role.

Who knows, maybe the Patriots get lucky and find their own Dak Prescott in the fourth round or another Tom Brady type in the sixth round? But if they do not, then Cam Newton will likely be the starter once again.

While he will be better than Brian Hoyer or Jarret Stidham, does he add enough value to make the Patriots worth betting on?

Signing Cam Newton Does Add Value

Entering the offseason, the quarterback was just one of many positions the Patriots needed to address. That position has now been addressed and for less than $14 million. For a starting quarterback in today’s NFL, that is a steal, and it means the Patriots will have more money to spend on free agents.

While having a former MVP at quarterback helps, the Patriots need more than just Newton if they will be competitive in 2021. Newton’s contract will make it easier to sign better free agents. Sticking with Newton also means the Patriots do not need to use an early draft pick on a quarterback.

A better roster means a better team which means more value—right? Not exactly.

While it takes good players at every position to make the team good, no position can tank a team’s future quite like the quarterback. The right one can make bad players good and good players great. Consequently, the wrong one can make the offense a stinker, no matter how good his supporting cast is.

With how Newton played last year, it is hard to say whether he still has the game to lead a team to the playoffs.

Now, not signing him until July did make things more challenging for Newton and the Patriots. Not having typical offseason workouts or preseason games did not help much either. Newton was basically learning his teammates and the offense as he went last year.

Missing time with COVID did not help much, either.

But this year, things will be different. Newton will not be looking to learn the offense; he will be working on getting more familiar with it. He will need to develop a relationship with any free agents or draft picks. But otherwise, he will already have a relationship established.

Assuming he can stay healthy, Cam Newton will give the Patriots a viable starter at quarterback. But whether he can elevate the team and lead it to the next level remains to be seen.

Betting Recommendation

Signing Cam Newton does add value to the thought of betting on the Patriots. His contract will make it easier to build a better team around Newton. If the Patriots do just that and Newton can bring his ‘A’ game again, New England will be tough to beat.

But with needs at so many positions, the Patriots will need to hit on every free agent and draft pick to build a contender around Newton. Belichick is one of the greatest at what he does, but as last season showed, he is fallible.

Resigning Newton adds value, but without a vastly improved team around him, the Patriots will not win the Super Bowl, the AFC, or the AFC East. Bringing Newton back will make it easier for the team to get better,  but it is hard to see them being good enough to contend for anything. Bet on someone else to win all three.

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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