It was beginning to feel like it was never going to get done, but they finally did it. The Dallas Cowboys signed Dak Prescott to a four-year, $160 million extension. However, while Jerry Jones may be willing to gamble on Prescott, that does not mean you should.
Yes, the Dallas Cowboys have been a good team with Dak Prescott at quarterback. Knowing that he will be behind center in 2021 is certainly more comforting than thinking about another year with Andy Dalton or someone new. But does signing Dak Prescott to an extension make the Cowboys any more of a contender than they already were?
Assuming he picks up where he left off last season, the offense should be in great shape. However, will it be enough to make up for what was a ‘historically bad’ defense last season?
Odds On The Dallas Cowboys And Dak Prescott In 2021
|Odds On Dallas Cowboys and Dak Prescott in 2021||William Hill||DraftKings||PointsBet|
|Dak Prescott for MVP||+1800||+1600||+1700|
With the state that the NFC East is in, the Cowboys were already favored to win the division. The Philadelphia Eagles are going to be breaking in a new quarterback. There is no telling what Washington will do at quarterback; will it be Taylor Heinicke or someone else?
As for the New York Giants, their outlook depends on the progression (or lack thereof) of their quarterback, Daniel Jones.
So, the Cowboys should win the NFC East with relative ease in 2021. According to the odds, they have at least a 50% chance of winning the division crown. But, when it comes to the conference or the Super Bowl, they are basically a middle-of-the-pack kind of team.
Out of the 16 teams in the NFC, they have the seventh-best odds to win the conference, making them a fringe contender at best. As for the Super Bowl, their odds are the 13th best or tied for the 13th best. That barely makes them part of the conversation.
Now that Dak Prescott is officially remaining with the team, there is a chance the odds could change. Assuming Prescott picks up where he left off, the Dallas offense is going to be great. If he generates stats like he did while healthy last season, he will quickly become a frontrunner for MVP.
But there is a good reason why Prescott’s MVP odds are around sixth or seventh best. It is the same reason why the odds are as long as they are for the Cowboys to win the conference or Super Bowl.
— NFL (@NFL) March 9, 2021
Offense Wins Games But Defense Wins Championships
That old saying, ‘offense wins games, but defense wins championships,’ exists for a reason. Offense is exciting to watch and grabs the attention of every fan. If a team’s offense is good enough, it can win games despite how poor a team’s defense may be.
The 2018 Kansas City Chiefs are a perfect example. In his first year as the starter, Patrick Mahomes threw for 5000+ yards and fifty touchdowns. The Chiefs had the No. 1 offense in terms of total yards and points. But their defense was second to last in total yards allowed and 24th in scoring.
Many would say it was still a great year since they made it to the AFC title game, and it was, but they fell short of the ultimate goal. In the end, they only won their division title, just like seven other teams did. But the following season, they had a top ten defense and went on to win it all.
Last season, many pundits often described the Dallas defense as ‘historically bad.’ While changing defensive coordinators could help, there is no guarantee that it will. Mike Nolan had been a defensive coordinator for most of his career but failed miserably with the Cowboys.
Dan Quinn has just two seasons as a defensive coordinator on his resume– but they were two excellent years with the Seattle Seahawks (2013-14). Seattle had the No. 1 scoring defense and allowed the fewest total yards in both seasons.
But he had a lot to work with in Seattle; that is not the case with the Cowboys. While Dak Prescott’s salary cap hit is not too harsh, the Cowboys do not have much to spend in free agency this year to get Quinn some more talent. If they cannot improve the personnel, is there any reason to believe the defense will improve?
Sports Betting Recommendations
Dallas will win the NFC East unless they lose the entire offensive line and Dak Prescott goes down with another season-ending injury early on again. Whether you should bet on them to win the conference or Super Bowl—well, there is value there.
We know the offense is capable of some serious fireworks with Dak Prescott and his plethora of weapons. But can they slow people down enough to win games? It all depends on whether the architect behind the Legion of Boom can add some pop to the Dallas defense.
If he can, not only will the Cowboys win some games and make a deep playoff run, but Dak Prescott will have a great shot at winning MVP.
Does that mean the Cowboys are a good bet to win the NFC and/or Super Bowl or Prescott to win MVP? Not at all, but it does mean they are worth skipping your morning latte for a couple of weeks and putting a little something down on them.
But if you only want to put money down on anything Dallas-related once, take Dak Prescott to win MVP. If the Cowboys win 12+ games and he puts up some crazy stats like he did last season before getting injured, he will have a great shot at winning MVP.