Dolphins’ Super Bowl 57 Odds: Miami One of the Favorites at Sportsbooks

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The Miami Dolphins, who opened the 2022 NFL season at +4000 to win Super Bowl 57 on the futures boards at DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, and BetMGM, have made a surprising move to be among the current favorites to win the crown.

Here’s where Miami stands as of Dec. 1

Analysis of Dolphins’ Super Bowl Odds

The Dolphins (8-3 overall, 6-5 against the spread), are listed at +1600 at DraftKings to win the world title and currently are the frontrunners in the East Division by virtue of a head-to-head tiebreaker with the Buffalo Bills. Miami also holds the No. 2 seed in the AFC while the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) are No. 1.

On the Super Bowl boards, Miami is behind only KC (+430 FanDuel), Buffalo (+470 PointsBet), Philadelphia Eagles (+600 across the board), San Francisco 49ers (+650 DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet), and Dallas Cowboys (+900 DraftKings, BetMGM).

Dolphins odds to win:DraftKingsBetMGM (Code TODAY)FanDuel
Super Bowl 57+1600+1200+1500
AFC+850+650+800
AFC East+275+250+240

The Dolphins are in the process of making a charge to their first playoff berth in six years and aiming for their first postseason triumph since the 2000 season, the year after Hall of Fame QB Dan Marino retired. Miami hasn’t won the Super Bowl since the second of its back-to-back titles under Hall of Fame head coach Don Shula in the 1972 and 1973 seasons.

These days, it’s QB Tua Tagovailoa and head coach Mike McDaniel leading the way. And although McDaniel is in his rookie year as boss, he twice reached the Super Bowl as an assistant coach in the 2016 season with the Atlanta Falcons as an offensive assistant and three years later as the run game coordinator with San Francisco. Last year, he was the offensive coordinator for a 49ers team that played in the NFC title game.

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What are the Dolphins’ Chances to Win Super Bowl 57?

It depends largely on whether they can hang on to the East lead and earn one of the top seeds in the conference playoffs. That would help them avoid needing to win a string of road games in frosty conditions.

As it stands, with six weeks left in the season, their Week 15 game in Buffalo appears to be the matchup that can make or break them. And there’s a good chance the game will be shifted to a prime-time slot that Sunday with temperatures almost surely in the mid-20s if not colder.

Tua Tagovailoa
Miami is undefeated when QB Tua Tagovailoa starts and finishes games, so check out our Dolphins’ Super Bowl 57 odds. (AP Photo/Wilfredo Lee)

Although the Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 in Miami in Week 3 as a 4-point underdog, the Bills dominated play. Buffalo outgained the Dolphins 497-212 and ran 90 offensive plays to Miami’s 39. That 51-play differential is the greatest in any game in the past 16 seasons.

Another key is for Tagovailoa to remain healthy. A head injury suffered early in the team’s Week 4 game at Cincinnati knocked him out for the rest of that outing and also the next two. Miami lost all three. In the games he has started and finished, Miami is 8-0.

It wouldn’t hurt if the Dolphins’ injury issues at offensive tackle would smooth out, too.

Read: Super Bowl 57 odds for all teams

What are the Dolphins’ Odds to Win the AFC Championship?

Miami is a +850 choice (DraftKings) to win the conference title game, behind only Kansas City at +200 (FanDuel, BetMGM) and Buffalo at +225 (+DraftKings, BetMGM, PointsBet). The Baltimore Ravens, the current leader in the North, is at +900 (BetMGM).

If the playoffs were to begin this weekend, Miami would be host to the third wild-card team, which would be the NY Jets.

In Week 5, though, New York gave Miami its most lopsided loss of the season, 40-17, in the Meadowlands. But the Dolphins’ starting QB that day was rookie Skylar Thompson, a seventh-round pick out of Kansas State making his first appearance.

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What are the Dolphins’ Odds to Win the AFC East?

Miami is a +225 choice (BetMGM) to win the division, behind odds-on favorite Buffalo, which is at -225.

Looking ahead to the next six weeks, the Dolphins are listed as having the ninth-toughest remaining strength of schedule with only one game against a team with a losing record (Green Bay Packers), according to Tankathon. Buffalo is ranked 10th on that chart with its sole game versus a sub-.500 team in the Chicago Bears.

Then, there’s always the chance the division rival Jets (7-4) could factor in, just one game behind the Dolphins and Bills. But NYJ’s remaining schedule is ranked the fifth-toughest.

In Week 13, the Dolphins will be in San Francisco to face the surging 49ers who have won four straight while allowing an average of 10 points a game.

Analysis of the AFC East

All four teams in the division have winning records through Week 12, similar to what’s going on in the NFC East, which is quite an achievement since at no time since 1935 has any division/conference seen all its teams finish a season above .500.

Entering Week 13, Miami, Buffalo, and New York all are slotted for playoff berths, with the New England Patriots a game behind in the wild-card chase.

What are the Dolphins’ Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs?

Bettors who liked Miami’s chances before the season commenced could have had the Dolphins at +135 (BetMGM) to reach the postseason. But now they are -650 (FanDuel).

However, bettors who don’t like their chances can get them at +550 (DraftKings, PointsBet) to sit out the playoffs.

Also read: 2023 NFL playoffs odds for all teams

What are the Dolphins’ Win Total Odds?

The Dolphins’ win total is listed at 10.5, with the Over at -175 (DraftKings) and the Under at +155 (FanDuel, BetMGM).

Dolphins’ Player Props

NFL MVP: QB Tua Tagovailoa (+600 FanDuel); WR Tyreek Hill (+12500 BetMGM)

Miami is the only team that has two players among the top 10 on the betting boards for this prop.

Tagovailoa, the league’s No. 1 ranked passer, is the third choice with Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes continuing to be the favorite at -140 (BetMGM, FanDuel). In August, Tagovailoa was listed as a +3500 pick at Caesars Sportsbook.

Hill, the league leader in receiving yards, is currently 10th.

Most receiving yards: WR Tyreek Hill, (+160 Caesars Sportsbook)

As mentioned above, Hill is first in receiving yards, albeit by one yard over Minnesota’s Justin Jefferson, and also tops in receptions with 87. But he’s only the second favorite in this prop.

Jefferson is at +125 (FanDuel, PointsBet).

NFL Coach of the Year: Mike McDaniel (+450 BetMGM)

McDaniel has the second-shortest odds on the boards behind Philadelphia’s Nick Sirianni at -130 (BetMGM), whose Eagles are 10-1.

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Dolphins’ Super Bowl 57 Odds FAQ

Who is favored to play in the Super Bowl in 2023?

The Bills and Chiefs are the two favorites out of the AFC to reach the title game.

The Eagles have slightly shorter odds than the 49ers out of the NFC to reach the big game.

How can I bet on the Super Bowl?

You can bet on the Super Bowl on a variety of sportsbook apps, as long as mobile sports betting is legal in your state.

Check out our sports betting page for information on your state. Also, check out the best bonuses and promos sportsbooks have to offer.

About the Author
Bob Christ

Bob Christ

Bob Christ, based in New Mexico, has been a gaming writer (primarily the NFL) for almost four decades, with his work appearing in publications/websites across North America. He's a big fan of the Arkansas Razorbacks, Philadelphia's Eagles and Phillies, and inexplicably the NHL's Winnipeg Jets.

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