The line opened with Titans as a 3-point choice over the Dolphins but has moved to 3.5 on most boards. But as of Wednesday morning, 3 was available at DraftKings.
- Miami Dolphins (8-7, 8-6-1 ATS) at Tennessee Titans (10-5, 9-6 ATS)
- Time: 1 p.m. EST
- DraftKings Line: Titans by 3 (41)
The skinny: This is one of four games on the Week 17 schedule in which both teams currently are slotted with playoff berths.
Facts: The Titans, whose magic number is 1 to clinch the AFC South over Indianapolis, rallied from a 10-0 home deficit vs. San Francisco last Thursday for a 20-17 victory. Titans WR A.J. Brown had a career-high 11 receptions from QB Ryan Tannehill after coming off IR (chest). WR Julio Jones might be able to return this week, too (COVID).
Miami, which is on a seven-game winning streak and stands seventh in the AFC playoff standings, feasted Monday night in New Orleans on a Saints offense that was down to its fourth-string QB in earning a 20-3 victory and getting eight sacks along the way, second-most by anyone this season. On offense, Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle, coming off the COVID list, had 10 catches for 92 yards from QB Tua Tagovailoa.
Nope, Titans two-time defending rushing champ Derrick Henry isn’t expected to return from foot surgery just yet. Maybe next week, many reports have said.
Tennessee has gone 8-3 since Week 5. In its losses it has had negative turnover differentials of minus-5 at home vs. Houston and minus-4 at New England and Pittsburgh. In the eight victories, Tennessee has totaled five giveaways.
Dolphins At Titans Odds At Major Sportsbooks
Analysis: It’s time to vigorously tap the the brakes with the Dolphins, whose last five victories have come against QBs who either opened the season on the bench (or even unemployed) or are rookies — and in the case of New Orleans’ Ian Book last week, both — after their 1-7 start. And those teams all ranked 21st or worse in total offense. Now they’ll face the veteran Tannehill.
FYI, Miami’s offense is ranked 24th; Tennessee’s 18th.
And what’s with the Dolphins’ schedule? They are the only team this year that played a Monday night game on the road and had to follow up the next week with a road game vs. a team that played at home the previous Thursday and enjoyed the extended weekend break.
Plus, temps in the high 20s and wind chill in the high teens isn’t exactly what the Dolphins are accustomed to.