Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props & Touchdown Scorer Bets: Targeting Hill, Allen, Singletary

A marquee matchup on the NFL Week 15 slate features a pair of AFC East rivals. The Miami Dolphins (8-5 straight up, 6-7 against the spread) make the trip north for their game against the Buffalo Bills (10-3 SU, 6-6-1 ATS).

The Dolphins enter this Saturday night matchup with back-to-back losses, while the Bills ride an impressive four-game winning streak. The Dolphins sit two games behind the Bills for the AFC East division lead with only four regular-season games remaining.

Let’s take a look at which players have the best chance to outperform expectations in primetime. Here are our best player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets for Dolphins vs. Bills.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Week 15 Odds

The Dolphins enter this matchup touchdown against the Bills. Bettors hoping for another upset, as the Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 earlier this year, will be paid handsomely. The Dolphins are a consensus +260 on the moneyline as of Thursday.

The Over/Under is between 43 and 43.5 across major sportsbooks.

Here are current odds from top sports betting apps on this NFL Week 15 showdown.

Player Props, TD Scorer Bets for Dolphins vs. Bills

Tyreek Hill, Over 76.5 Receiving Yards (-110 DraftKings), Over 6.5 Receptions (+120 BetMGM)

Let’s start with the chalkiest of chalk picks. The square bet. The obvious play. The most popular pick on the props board. The NFL’s resident cheetah and fastest man alive, Tyreek Hill.

Hill has been a one-man wrecking crew for this Dolphins offense. The Pro Bowl receiver leads the NFL in catches (100), is second in receiving yards (1,460), and third in total targets (139). He also has the third-shortest odds for the NFL’s Offensive Player of the Year at +300. Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel has a simple strategy: get the ball to your best player as often as you can.

The one wrinkle here is Hill’s health. He was noticeably limping by the end of the game against the Chargers in Week 14, after sustaining a leg injury mid-third quarter. But Hill toughed it out and played hard until the final whistle. Against this Bills team, in what amounts to the most important game of the season, you have to think Hill suits up and plays as many snaps as possible.

Hill has cleared this modest yardage total and receptions number in nine of 14 games this season. And while bettors will be quick to flock to Hill’s anytime touchdown prop, he’s only notched six of those on the season across five games. If you like Hill to perform this weekend (and I do!), there’s more value targeting him in these receiving markets instead.

Also read: Dolphins vs. Bills odds and prediction | How early betting is trending ahead of NFL Week 15

Josh Allen, Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115, DraftKings)

The weather in Buffalo is expected to be frigid come game time, with temperatures dipping into the ‘teens on Saturday. The colder it is outside, the tougher it is for quarterbacks to throw the ball. With wind gusts up to 20 mph expected, look for the Bills to utilize their star quarterback in some designed running plays.

What’s more, Allen is always a scramble threat on any given passing play. He’s averaging almost exactly 46.5 yards rushing per game this season, but tends to rack up rushing yards in bunches. He’s cleared this total in eight of 13 games on the season, including his last matchup against the Dolphins. He tends to save his legs for when his team needs him the most. Against a divisional rival nipping at his heels in the playoff race, back Allen to get it done again this weekend.

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Devin Singletary, Anytime Touchdown (+175, FanDuel)

One player to target in the anytime touchdown market is Bills running back Devin Singletary.

As mentioned, colder weather games tend to favor the rushing attack. There’s less value targeting a receiver to score a touchdown at short odds. Instead, we’ll take a shot on a reliable back who should see a ton of touches. Not only does the cold weather script favor the rush, but Singletary is a reliable target for Allen in the passing game. If the Dolphins take away the deep ball, Singletary will be the recipient of a number of check-down passes as well.

The Bills have increased Singletary’s usage considerably each of the last eight weeks, more than doubling his amount of weekly touches since the earlier portion of the season.

With odds of +175 for an Anytime Touchdown, he’s well worth a look.

Also check:  NFL Week 15 odds | Super Bowl 57 odds | 2022 NFL MVP odds | NFL Week 16 look-ahead lines