Dolphins vs Jets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets: Miami Favored in First-Ever Black Friday Game

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The NFL just doesn’t stop cooking up exciting ways to bet on America’s favorite sport. NFL fans who aren’t still stuffed from Turkey Day can look forward to the first-ever Black Friday game when the 7-3 Miami Dolphins take on the 4-6 New York Jets this Friday afternoon..

The Dolphins, behind quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, look to add to their division lead. The Jets, on the other hand, have a lot of catching up to do if they want to reenter the playoff race.

Here’s all of the Dolphins vs. Jets betting odds, predictions, and best bets you need to wager on this AFC East tilt.

Also read: Super Bowl 58 odds | NFL MVP odds | Super Bowl 58 MVP odds | NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds

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NFL Week 12 Black Friday Odds: Dolphins vs Jets Spread, Moneyline, Total

The Dolphins (-10 on the spread) are between -550 and -425 on the moneyline (Best Live Odds: ) in this matchup. The Jets, meanwhile, are as long as +390 at FanDuel.

The betting public isn’t afraid to lay such a massive handicap on Miami. 93% and 82% of moneyline and spread tickets, respectively, are on the Fins.

The Over/Under total is at 41 points (Best Live Odds: ) across most legal US sports betting apps, the fifth-lowest total in Week 12.

Dolphins vs Jets Betting Trends

Miami Dolphins

  • The Dolphins are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • The Dolphins are 7-3 straight up (SU) this season.
  • The Dolphins are 2-2 ATS on the road this season.
  • The Dolphins are 3-3 ATS as the favorite this season.
  • The total has gone Over in five of their 10 games this season.

New York Jets

  • The Jets are 4-5-1 ATS this season.
  • The Jets are 4-6 SU this season.
  • The Jets are 3-2 ATS at home this season.
  • The Jets are 4-4 ATS as the underdog this season. 
  • The total has gone Over in three of their 10 games this season.

Dolphins vs Jets Player Props

Need some extra cash for Black Friday? Consider tailing these Dolphins vs. Jets player props from DraftKings for a chance to add money to your bankroll.

Tim Boyle Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+100, DraftKings)

As desperate as New York fans have been for a quarterback change, they cannot say with confidence that Tim Boyle is any better – he may actually be far worse. Through five seasons, the undrafted UConn product has completed 60.8% of his passes for a 3:9 TD-to-INT ratio and is 0-3 as a starter. His 63.5 passer rating in those three starts would rank dead last among qualified quarterbacks this year.

He now takes over a Jets offense that ranks 30th in scoring and averages an NFL-worst 0.6 pass touchdowns per game under Zach Wilson. Expect similarly terrible results from Boyle as he faces a Dolphins secondary that features Jalen Ramsey on one side and Xavien Howard on the other.

Dalvin Cook Under 2.5 Receiving Yards (-120, DraftKings)

Dalvin Cook has expressed frustration for his lack of touches on his new team, culminating in a trade demand earlier in the season. Unfortunately for him, his expressed frustration has resulted in a decreased role.

Cook has fallen short of this receiving line in each of his last seven games and has seen his usage drop mightily since the start of the season.

Tyreek Hill Anytime TD Scorer (+100)

The fastest man in the league has hit pay dirt in eight of his 10 appearances on the season.

Now facing Sauce Gardner and the Jets secondary, which ranks fifth in total yards allowed through the air, Hill may need to find an extra gear if he wants to reach nine touchdowns on the season.

This is one of the coolest player matchups of the week. Tyreek Hill could go for 50 scoreless yards or a buck-150 with a touchdown. We like the latter.

Dolphins vs Jets Analysis & Prediction

The knock on the Dolphins is that they mercilessly beat up on the mediocre teams – see 70-20 versus the Broncos, 31-16 versus the Giants, 42-21 versus the Panthers, and 31-17 versus the Patriots – but get exposed against the good teams.

The Jets surely fall in the former category and while their defense might be able to slow down Miami’s high-octane offense, there’s a real chance their offense puts up single-digit points and they get blown out of the water.

Dolphins vs Jets Pick: Dolphins -9.5 (Best Live Odds: )

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How to Watch Dolphins vs. Jets

  • Game Day: Friday, November 24, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: MetLife Stadium | East Rutherford, NJ
  • Channel: PRIME VIDEO

Read more: Offensive Rookie of the Year odds | Odds to make 2024 NFL Playoffs | NFL betting sites | NFL betting promos

About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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