We are just a week into the 2023-24 college basketball season, and it has been a good one so far. Here, we will break down the Duke vs. Michigan State odds, picks & predictions for tonight, Tuesday, Nov. 14.
Duke and Michigan State were ranked in the top five of the first AP poll of the season. However, both teams already suffered a loss, with Duke losing to Arizona and Michigan State suffering a shocking upset by unranked James Madison.
While one loss carried more weight than the other, these are still two very good teams, and they will meet at the United Center in Chicago, IL, for the State Farm Champions Classic.
According to the latest Duke vs. Michigan State betting odds, the Blue Devils will play as a slight point favorite with the total sitting around . If you need help picking a side in this matchup, we have got you covered as we have poured through the data and have come up with the best Duke vs. Michigan State betting pick.
Read More: Best College Basketball Betting Sites | March Madness Odds
Duke vs. Michigan State Betting Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here, we have listed the Duke vs. Michigan State odds from our top-rated sports betting apps. Before placing your Duke vs. Michigan State pick, check out each book to ensure you get the best odds and lines for your bet.
Duke Blue Devils (1-1, 1-1 ATS)
Duke is coming off a loss to Arizona at Cameron Indoor Stadium, the first home loss of the Jon Scheyer era. While losing as a five-point home favorite is never a good thing, it was a back-and-forth game between two very talented teams early in the season.
There is no reason to be alarmed if you are Duke, but for a team with a lot of talent and size, it was shocking to see how out-physical they were against the Wildcats. Arizona dominated the glass in the first half and was able to counter every punch Duke threw in the second half despite only playing with eight players.
Outside of Kyle Filipowski and Jeremy Roach, there was not a lot of offensive production from Duke. They only put up five points off the bench, and freshmen Jared McCain and Caleb Foster struggled to shoot the ball. Overall, it was just a bad night on both ends of the court, and the competition gets more challenging with Michigan State awaiting the Blue Devils at the State Farm Champions Classic.
However, Duke still scored 73 points and shot 46.2% from the field and 35.3% from deep. Despite the lack of fluidity from the entire roster, you can see how talented and good this year’s Duke team will be. They took many one-pass shots and unnecessary quick possessions, which will be fixed as the season progresses.
The biggest problem with this team is the lack of rebounding. Arizona is not the biggest team in the country, but they absolutely owned the boards against Duke. Luckily, the Spartans do not have a seven-footer on the roster, and through two games, they rank 307th in total rebounds and the bottom 200 in offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds.
If the Blue Devils slow things down, move the ball around, and can be better at grabbing rebounds, this should be a good bounceback spot for them, especially since the Duke vs. Michigan State odds are so tight.
Duke Betting Trends
- Duke is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Duke’s last five games.
- Duke is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games against Michigan State.
- Duke has won five of its last six games in the Champions Classic.
Michigan State (1-1, 0-2 ATS)
Like Duke, Michigan State already has a loss on the season. The problem is Duke’s defeat came against an excellent Arizona team, and they learned a lot about what they are and what they need to do moving forward. On the other hand, Michigan State lost to a now-ranked James Madison for its first opening night home loss to an unranked team since 2005.
The main reason for the loss was their inability to hit shots, especially from deep. Sparty shot 1-of-20 (5%) from deep against James Madison and only 36.1% from the floor. They also only hit 62.2% of their free throws, and they were outrebounded by one of the smallest teams in the country.
Coming into the season, Michigan State was considered one of the country’s top three-point shooting teams. While a 5% shooting performance is downright pathetic, it was the first game of the season, and Michigan State had a much easier opponent in game two to bring back the confidence and boost some stats.
Well, they did handle Southern Indiana, but again, they shot 1-of-11 (9.1%) from deep, which means the Spartans are shooting just 6.5% from three through two games. Tom Izzo‘s teams have always been great at shooting the three and creating turnovers. The shooting touch is not there yet, but Michigan State forced 15 turnovers in its last game, which led to a lot of buckets and scoring opportunities in transition.
Four starters put up 10+ points in the win against Southern Indiana, and you can tell when they picked up the pace and established post positioning early, they opened the floor up, which caused more open shots. At some point, the three-pointers will start to drop, but they need to control the pace early and get better defensively in the halfcourt.
Michigan State Betting Trends
- Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Michigan State’s last six games.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Michigan State’s last 13 games against Duke.
- Michigan State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games played in November.
Duke vs. Michigan State Prediction: Blue Devils Bounce Back With Ranked Win
Duke vs. Michigan State tips off a tremendous day of college basketball. Both teams are off to a slow start, this is a matchup with two reputable college basketball brands and two of the most talented rosters in the country.
While Duke has more top-level talent, Michigan State is very deep. However, the Spartans need more from the alphas of the team. A.J. Hoggard is dealing with shin splints, which have noticeably affected his play. With Coen Carr, Carson Cooper, and Xavier Booker all struggling to generate anything on offense, Michigan State has a lot of work to do to live up to its preseason top-five ranking.
Michigan State will win this game if they start getting serious from deep, continue to push the tempo and crash the glass. The problem is they have not done a good job at any of those things through two games, and if that continues tonight, Duke will run them off the floor.
However, Duke has had trouble turning the ball over, and the Spartans have done a nice job of converting turnovers into points. If Michigan State continues to play great defense and starts hitting few shots, this will be a much tighter game.
We will back Duke to win as a short favorite in this spot. Michigan State should start hitting more shots, which will help significantly. But they are getting dominated on the glass, and while Duke has not been much better, I trust this roster more than I do Michigan State’s.
Duke vs. Michigan State Prediction: Duke (-2.5 at time of publishing.)
How To Watch Duke vs. Michigan State
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 14, 2023
Puck Drop: 7 p.m. ET
Location: United Center – Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: ESPN
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