The NFL postseason is here, and we have a great Monday Night Football matchup to wrap up Wild Card weekend. The NFC South champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the reigning NFC champion Philadelphia Eagles. This should be a great game, and if you want to place a bet on the action, check out our Eagles vs. Bucs prediction, odds, and best bets.
Philadelphia sprinted out to a 10-1 record and looked like they would win the NFC East again and be the top seed in the NFC. However, they lost five of their last six and now sit as the No. 5 seed. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is only 9-8, but they played in a terrible NFC South, and a 9-0 win over the Panthers in Week 18 was enough to clinch the division and a home playoff game in the Wild Card round.
Oddsmakers favor the road team, with the Eagles giving points. Here, we will preview Monday night’s NFC Wild Card matchup and give out the best Eagles vs. Buccaneers betting picks.
Eagles vs. Bucs Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total
Before placing your NFC Wild Card bets, check out the Eagles vs. Bucs odds from our top-rated sports betting apps. This will ensure you get the best odds and lines for your bets on the Eagles vs. Buccaneers spread, moneyline, and total.
Philadelphia Eagles (11-6, 7-8-2 ATS)
The Philadelphia Eagles are in a spiral, and it does not feel like they will escape it. Suffering back-to-back losses to the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants to end the regular season really shows how bad of a spot this team is in.
While the offense is still putting up big numbers, as they rank in the top 10 in scoring (25.5), yards per game (354.4), and touchdowns per game (2.9), it is clear they have regressed at a pretty alarming rate.
They are too reliant on deep shots to A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, and when they are not looking for the home run ball, they fall back on Jalen Hurts’ athleticism to bail them out. The problem is that Hurts has not been all that great down the stretch. Over the Eagles’ last six games, Hurts has completed only 61.1% of his passes and has four touchdowns and five interceptions.
Luckily, the Eagles do an excellent job keeping drives alive, ranking third in third down conversion rate, and when they reach the red zone, they are a very dangerous team. However, they are going up against a solid Tampa Bay defense.
The Buccaneers have struggled against the pass at times this season, but they’re rock-solid up front. They rank in the top 10 in yards per rush and are eighth in DVOA against the run. With some injury concerns to Smith and Brown, the Eagles could be in massive trouble if they cannot throw the ball downfield.
Defensively, Philadelphia has some major problems, primarily in the secondary. While the Buccaneers do not have the most explosive offense, they have shown some signs of life lately, putting up 28.5 points per game during a crucial four-game winning streak before cooling off in the final two games of the regular season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8, 11-6 ATS)
The Buccaneers needed to win five of its last six to win the NFC South, but they are a very dangerous team entering the playoffs. Both sides of the ball have improved in the second half of the season, especially on offense.
It helps that Baker Mayfield had his best season in the NFL. Mayfield put up career-highs in completion percentage (64.3%), yards (4,044), touchdowns (28), and quarterback rating (94.6). Of course, there are still some bad performances mixed in throughout the season, but he was really sharp down the stretch, with 1,456 yards and 14 touchdowns to three interceptions in the last six games.
This is probably Mayfield’s ceiling as an NFL quarterback, but it is good enough to win the division, and they could make a run if the offense stays hot. Luckily for Mayfield, he has a great receiver room at his disposal.
Star receiver Mike Evans put up his 10th-straight 1,000-yard season, and Chris Godwin also eclipsed the 1,000-yard receiving mark. The offensive line is also solid, giving Tampa Bay’s offense an edge over an Eagles defense that has struggled all season. While the Buccaneers do not run the ball all that well, Mayfield can pick apart a leaky Philadelphia secondary.
Tampa Bay will win this game if the defense continues to impress. The Buccaneers are one of the best teams against the run, and while the secondary is very hit-or-miss, the Eagles have not been throwing the ball all that well.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Betting Trends
- Philadelphia is 0-6 ATS in its last six games.
- The total has gone UNDER in seven of Philadelphia’s last eight road games.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last five games against Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last five games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tampa Bay’s last 18 games.
- Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games when playing as an underdog.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Take the Points With Tampa Bay
It is pretty shocking to see how bad the Eagles have been. Still, they are the favorites in the NFC Wild Card game, and a win could change the tune of the season.
However, it is hard to ignore all the warning signs that have been present for about two months. The defense cannot stop anything; there is no true offensive identity, and they are taking on a red-hot team.
Philadelphia is undoubtedly the more talented team, and they did not start the season 10-1 on pure luck. But Tampa Bay is the right side to back in this spot. These teams met in Philadelphia earlier this season, and the Eagles had trouble moving the ball in that game. The Bucs offense has come a long way since then, and the Eagles are trending in the opposite direction on both sides of the ball.
Tampa Bay has also been a covering machine, going 11-6 ATS this season. While they are only 3-5 ATS at home, I like how this defense is playing. The Eagles are banged up, and there is a sense of impending doom.
Fading the Eagles down the stretch has been very profitable, as they have not covered a spread since November. Tampa Bay, at home, is the right spot to back in Monday night’s Wild Card matchup.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction: Tampa Bay ()
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Same-Game Parlay
Even though the Eagles’ defense is horrendous, I don’t expect Mayfield to light up the scoreboard. He is a very inconsistent quarterback, and another ‘meh’ performance like the one he had in the season’s final two games could be the difference between winning and losing.
Still, Philadelphia’s secondary is a mess, and they will have their handful trying to cover both Evans and Godwin. On the season, Evans finished with 13 touchdowns, which tied with Tyreek Hill for the most in the NFL. Mayfield should continue to look his way in the Wild Card round, primarily since Tampa Bay has not run the ball that well.
On the other side, the Eagles have a solid running back room headlined by D’Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell. However, the Buccaneers are one of the best run-stopping teams in the NFL. This means Philadelphia will have to get creative with the run game.
That is where Hurts can really shine. He is second on the team in rushing yards, and with a finger injury last week, he may not be able to throw the ball as well this week. Look for Hurts to have his number called a few times this game and for him to find the endzone.
- Mike Evans Anytime TD Scorer
- Jalen Hurts Anytime TD Scorer
Eagles vs. Buccaneers Injury Report
How to Watch Eagles vs. Buccaneers
Date: Monday, Jan. 15, 2024
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium – Tampa, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN/ABC/ESPN+