NFL Week 1 has officially kicked off, and bettors who backed the underdogs in Thursday night’s opening contest between the Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions are counting their coins. Now that the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs fell short of covering and winning straight up (SU), folks looking to wager on this weekend’s games might be turning their attention to the Eagles — the Super Bowl runners-up.
Can Philly fly to victory with a win and a cover on Sunday night when up against a New England team still trying to find its footing? Let’s take a glance at Eagles vs. Patriots odds, props, and predictions.
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NFL Season Odds: Eagles vs. Patriots Spread, Moneyline, and Total
- Spread: Eagles , Patriots
- Moneyline: Eagles , Patriots
- Total: Over/Under
Eagles vs. Patriots Betting News
Philadelphia not only enters this contest as the 4-point favorite, but the Eagles’ odds to win the Super Bowl are also near the top of the board. Currently at FanDuel, Philly is sitting at +800 — the second-betting favorite to win it all at the end of the season behind the Chiefs. Not surprisingly, the reigning NFC champs are also the favorites to win the division again at +350 and the favorites to take the NFC East at -115.
The Pats, on the other hand, are Super Bowl-longshots at +6000. At +4000, they’re near the bottom of the oddsboard to win the AFC. Then at +800 to win the AFC East, Bill Belichick & Co. have the longest odds to come out of their division.
According to John Ewing at BetMGM, in terms of tickets, Eagles-Patriots is the second most-bet game for this weekend. And when it comes to the handle, Eagles -4 is the highest. Ewing also notes that the most-bet Under tickets at BetMGM have been on Eagles-Patriots Under 45.
Eagles vs. Patriots Props
Here are select prop markets for the game from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook. Live props are available in the above game tiles.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer (FanDuel)
- Rhamondre Stevenson: -110
- Jalen Hurts: +120
- A.J. Brown: +160
- DeVonta Smith: +175
- Dallas Goedert: +200
- D’Andre Swift: +220
Player Passing Yards (FanDuel)
- Mac Jones: Over/Under 225.5 (-114)
- Jalen Hurts: Over/Under 242.5 (-114)
Rushing Yards (DraftKings)
- D’Andre Swift: Over 32.5 (-110), Under 32.5 (-120)
- Jalen Hurts: Over 41.5 (-115), Under 41.5 (-115)
- Mac Jones: Over 5.5 (-105), Under 5.5 (-125)
- Rhamondre Stevenson: Over 55.5 (-115), Under 55.5 (-115)
1st Half (DraftKings)
- Eagles: -2.5 (-122), Moneyline (-175)
- Patriots: +2.5 (+102), Moneyline (+142)
Eagles vs. Patriots Analysis & Prediction
No, Philly didn’t win the Super Bowl, but according to many analysts, they did win the NFL Draft. In the 2023 draft, the Eagles loaded up on defensive talent like Jalen Carter, Nolan Smith, and Kelee Ringo (all out of the University of Georgia). They lost key players like safety CJ Gardner-Johnson and running back Miles Sanders in free agency but picked up Justin Evans and D’Andre Swift in those same positions, respectively. Quarterback Jalen Hurts signed a five-year, $255M contract extension in April. Essentially, the Eagles owned the offseason and secured their position as a team to beat and bet in 2023.
Now for the Patriots.
All good things come to an end, and bettors know that since Tom Brady left New England, riding the Pats moneyline has been a losing proposition. Mac Jones undeniably had the most impossible role to fill, succeeding the GOAT as New England’s QB. And while he showed flashes of potential over the last three seasons, the Jones-Belichick experiment has yet to translate into success.
With all this in mind, what does this mean from a betting perspective?
Well, when it comes to actually covering the 4-point spread, even though the Eagles are the superior team top to bottom, bettors should know that Super Bowl losers don’t fare well against the spread (ATS) in Week 1 of the subsequent season. Going back 23 seasons, the team that lost the Super Bowl in the previous year is 4-19 against the spread in the first game of the next season. If that’s a trend you want to lean into, Pats +4 might be the wager for you. Something else working in New England’s favor? The Eagles have several new coordinators, and Week 1 will obviously mark their first real chance to work out any kinks.
But for folks who are relying on the receiving and scoring dynamics of DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown to be on full display at Foxborough — Eagles covering likely sounds appetizing. Smith finished last season with 1,196 yards and seven TDs; Brown with 1,496 and 11. And remember, Jalen Hurts puts points on the board for Philly with his arms and legs. He finished 2022 with 22 passing TDs and 13 rushing.
Because it’s always hard to bet against Belichick to at least keep a game close, this is a tough spot. But I’m putting my money on the Eagles to be explosive enough on offense to secure the win and the cover.
Prediction Eagles
How to Watch Eagles vs. Patriots
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA
- Network: CBS
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