Eagles vs. Texans Odds & Prediction: Fun Fact About Double-Digit Road Favorites

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The Philadelphia Eagles are set to play the Houston Texans on Thursday Night Football to open Week 9 of the 2022 NFL season.

The Eagles were listed as a 13-point choice on look-ahead lines last week. But a few hours before the game, the odds range from 13.5-14 points on the odds boards at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet. That point spread has remained steady during early wagering.

Let’s take a look at the latest Eagles vs. Texans odds on Thursday Night Football as well as our prediction.

TNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Here are current Thursday Night Football odds from around the sports betting marketplace.

PHI Eagles vs HOU Texans Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Thu (11/3) @ 8:15pm ET

PHI Eagles at HOU Texans
NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

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Eagles Look to Remain Undefeated Against Texans on TNF

The Eagles (7-0 straight up/5-2 against the spread) are looking to remain perfect this season and also against the Texans in the history of their matchups.

Philly is 5-0 versus Houston dating to the Texans’ inaugural season in 2002. That year, the Eagles were 35-17 winners but didn’t cover the 19.5-point spread — the biggest for Philly in recorded history (FYI: The Eagles also are perfect versus the New York Jets at 12-0).

Houston (1-5-1 SU/3-3-1 ATS), meanwhile, has been far from perfect this season despite playing only two teams that currently have winning records. This also marks the Texans’ 14th straight game as an underdog, the longest current streak in the NFL.

The Eagles should have a huge edge in the running game thanks to their dominating line play.

Philly averages a league-best two rushing TDs a game and will be going against a Houston defense that’s allowing a league-worst 186.0 yards on the ground per game. Tennessee had 314 against the Texans last week, the most by any team in 2022. And Chicago earlier gouged Houston for 281, the second most by anyone. Philly twice has exceeded 200 on the ground this year.

Eagles vs. Texans Odds & Prediction: Double-Digit Road Favorites Have Underperformed
Philadelphia WR AJ Brown is featured in our Eagles vs. Texans odds & prediction: fun fact about double-digit road favorites. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)

With regard to that 186.0 average yield, there hasn’t been a team with a worse norm for a season since the New Orleans Saints of Baghead fame in 1980 (194.1).

Then there’s the air game, where the Eagles also have a big advantage.

Philly QB Jalen Hurts is the league’s fifth-rated passer and at WR is offseason trade acquisition A.J. Brown, who had season-highs of 156 receiving yards and three TDs in their 35-13 win over Pittsburgh on Sunday.

On defense, the Eagles had six sacks last week after acquiring Bears pass-rush specialist Robert Quinn last week. And no team has a better cornerback tandem than Philadelphia’s Darius Slay and James Bradberry.

Can they run the table? Eagles’ odds to go undefeated

Houston goes with QB Davis Mills, who’s 26th on the passer chart and could be limited in receiver targets this week. Leading WR Brandin Cooks was absent from drills on Tuesday for personal reasons, likely because he was on the trade block. Will he now come back and play Thursday? And second-leading receiver Nico Collins also missed practice Tuesday (groin).

No team comes close to the plus-14 turnover edge the Eagles have with only two giveaways. The last time Philly finished a season with a positive differential was 2017, the year they won their only Super Bowl.

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Eagles vs. Texans TNF Prediction

Unless the Eagles doze, it would seem covering this spread shouldn’t be an issue.

But bettors beware: Over the past two years, double-digit road favorites have underperformed, going 5-9 ATS and even losing six outright in 14 games.

One of the biggest upsets occurred last year in Houston when the Texans, as a 13-point dog, beat the LA Chargers 41-29 in a crucial Week 16 game for the visitors.

That’s probably not going to happen this week for a team that has scored the fewest points in the league and doesn’t even take advantage of the few short fields presented to it, getting one TD in seven possessions.

One more thing: Road teams on extra short rest on Thursday nights are 4-3 SU/5-2 ATS in 2022.

Prediction: Eagles 38, Texans 16

Also read: TNF player props and TD scorer bets | Super Bowl 2022 odds

About the Author
Bob Christ

Bob Christ

Bob Christ, based in New Mexico, has been a gaming writer (primarily the NFL) for almost four decades, with his work appearing in publications/websites across North America. He's a big fan of the Arkansas Razorbacks, Philadelphia's Eagles and Phillies, and inexplicably the NHL's Winnipeg Jets.

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