EPL Relegation Odds, Matchday 38 Predictions: Leeds United, Leicester City Favored to Drop

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Though the Premier League title, top-four, and Europa League races have all been decided, there’s still plenty at stake in England on Sunday, Matchday 38, as the season wraps up.

Last-place Southampton has already “earned” one of the three relegation spots, but three other teams are in danger of finishing in 18th or 19th place and going down to the Champions for 2023-24: Leeds United, Leicester City, and Everton.

Premier League Relegation Odds

Below are the futures odds for each team to be relegated. The four bookmakers (DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, and BetRivers) all agree on Leeds being the team that is most likely to drop, followed by Leicester and Everton, but the prices vary across the top sports betting apps for each team. Leeds, for example, are priced anywhere from -2000 to -3335.

DraftKingsFanDuelCaesars (Code 'TODAYFULL')bet
Leeds United-2500-2000-3000-3335
Leicester City-500-550-700-670
Everton+275+320+300+300

Leeds’ status as the heavy favorite to go down makes sense given they’d lose the tiebreaker with Leicester and the fact they have the toughest opponent of the relegation-threatened sides this weekend.

Matchday 38 Relegation Scenarios, Betting Odds & Predictions

Ahead of Sunday’s packed slate – all 20 teams are in action, with each match kicking off at 11:30 a.m. ET — Gaming Today breaks down the relegation scenarios, betting odds, and best bets.

With one game remaining, Everton is in 17th place with 33 points, followed by Leicester (31), Leeds (31), and Southampton (24). If Leicester and Leeds finish with the same number of points, Leeds will be relegated, as Leicester have the advantage on goal differential.

On Sunday, Everton host 15th-place Bournemouth, Leicester get 14th-place West Ham at home, and Leeds face Tottenham at Elland Road.

Everton vs. Bournemouth Odds

Everton have endured back-to-back seasons in which relegation looked like a real possibility despite lavish spending by Owner Farhad Moshiri. They narrowly avoided dropping late last season, and they’re hoping to do so again on Sunday against a Bournemouth side that beat them 3-0 in November. Despite that early-season result in their first meeting, Everton are heavily favored at Goodison Park.

Bournemouth vs Everton Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (5/28) @ 11:30 am ET

Bournemouth at Everton
Goodison Park, Liverpool, GB

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Leicester City vs. West Ham Odds

Leicester are hosting an opponent they beat 2-0 in November. Though Leicester are limping to the finish line (three draws, two losses in their last five), a win over West Ham would allow them to stay in the Premier League for next season. They have a tough test, though, as West Ham have won two of three and could be dangerous in what might be star midfielder and team captain Declan Rice’s last match with West Ham.

West Ham vs Leicester City Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (5/28) @ 11:30 am ET

West Ham at Leicester City
King Power Stadium, Leicester, GB

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Leeds United vs. Tottenham Odds

Leeds, who have lost three of four, need a surprising result against Tottenham. Spurs still have a shot at a Europa Conference League place next season if they win and Aston Villa lose or draw. That makes Leeds’ task that much tougher, assuming Harry Kane and Co. want to play in Europe’s third-tier cup competition next season.

Weston McKennie and Leeds United are in the unenviable spot of being on top of the EPL relegation odds board.
Leeds United’s Weston McKennie  (AP Photo/Rui Vieira)

USMNT fans will want to keep an eye on the Leeds match, as it will likely be the last they see of Weston McKennie, Brenden Aaronson, and Tyler Adams on the same Premier League club. As the only relegation-threatened club that is not the favorite on Sunday, the odds are stacked against Leeds, but oddsmakers are not too high on Tottenham, making this the most compelling game of the weekend in the EPL.

Tottenham vs Leeds United Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (5/28) @ 11:30 am ET

Tottenham at Leeds United
Elland Road, Leeds, GB

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Premier League Relegation Predictions

It’s hard to argue with Leeds United at -2000 or shorter. That leaves the question of whether it’s Everton or Leicester joining Southampton and Leeds in the Championship next season.

It comes down to the fact that Everton have not only a two-point cushion in the standings (33-31), but also an easier Matchday 38 opponent in Bournemouth than Leicester’s date with West Ham. While Bournemouth have been outscored 6-1 and lost their last three matches, West Ham have won two of three, including a shutout victory over Manchester United in a game both teams needed.

With that in mind, we’ll go chalk and predict that the oddsmakers’ heavy favorites — Leeds and Leicester — are the ones joining Southampton making the drop, while Everton narrowly survive, again.

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About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Writer
Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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