We’ve seen 20 PGA Tour pros sidelined after last week’s opening FedEx Cup Playoff event, the FedEx St. Jude Championship. That leaves us with 50 players still with a chance to claim the FedEx Cup title and the $18 million prize that awaits.
In last week’s look at FedEx Cup Playoff odds and predictions, we gave out Scottie Scheffler at +480 and Xander Schauffele at +2100 for our top picks. For a longshot, we took Tom Kim at +5500.
The good news is all three are still alive … even though their odds have moved dramatically
This week’s PGA Tour event: BMW Championship Odds & Predictions
Odds To Win The 2023 FedEx Cup Playoffs
Here are odds to win the FedEx Cup offered at FanDuel and BetMGM as of Wednesday morning. Odds are likely to change, and it’s always wise to shop several of the top sports betting apps to find the best prices for your wagers.
| Player | BetMGM (Code TODAY) | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +250 | +260 |
| Jon Rahm | +375 | +390 |
| Rory McIlroy | +450 | +440 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +800 | +850 |
| Lucas Glover | +1600 | +1200 |
| Max Homa | +2000 | +1800 |
| Viktor Hovland | +2000 | +2300 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2000 | +2300 |
| Rickie Fowler | +4000 | +4400 |
| Wyndham Clark | +4000 | +4400 |
| Xander Schauffele | +5000 | +4400 |
| Tony Finau | +5000 | +5500 |
| Jordan Spieth | +5000 | +5500 |
| Brian Harman | +5000 | +5500 |
| Tom Kim | +6600 | +7000 |
| Russell Henley | +6600 | +7000 |
| Keegan Bradley | +6600 | +5500 |
| Taylor Moore | +6600 | +8500 |
| Collin Morikawa | +8000 | +7000 |
| Tyrrell Hatton | +8000 | +6500 |
Movement on the FedEx Cup Playoffs Odds Board
At BetMGM, Scheffler is now +260 at FanDuel to lift the FedEx Cup heading into this week’s BMW Championship.
Schauffele ’s odds moved in the other direction as he is now at +5000 at BetMGM, while Tom Kim also moved higher and he comes in at +7000 at FanDuel.
That means if Scheffler is your man to win, you missed the boat on good odds. But if you waited on Schauffele and Kim, now is the time to jump on those bets.
What This Week’s Chicago Event Means for FedEx Cup Odds
With this week’s BMW Championship, the last event remaining before the 30-player Tour Championship finale, those at the top of the FedEx Cup standings have plenty of reasons to turn up the heat … try $18 million reasons.
Jon Rahm is still leading the way in the standings with 3,386 points. Right behind him are Scheffler at 3,238, Rory McIlroy at 2,954, and Lucas Glover (after last week’s 2,000-point jump by winning the FedEx St. Jude Championship) at 2,885.
That name in fourth place, Glover, shows the power of the quadruple points available again this week.
If Patrick Rodgers, who snuck into the field this week and is 50th, wins this week and gets the 2,000 points, he will vault into at least the top-10, depending on how the other players’ point totals shake out.
So while many bettors are concentrating on those near the top of the standings, the points up for grabs are a good reminder that no one is out of the running to win this crown.
One more thing to keep in mind: This is the final week to grab FedEx Cup points.
Looking ahead: 2023 Masters odds
FedEx Cup Betting Favorites
The numbers just keep getting shorter and shorter for the favorites and higher and higher for the longshots, as more golfers are sent packing during the playoffs.
Scheffler being the favorite this week at +260 lacks value. We were lucky to get him last week at +480.
Rahm (+390) and McIlroy at +450 also don’t make us enough money to back them.
That brings us to Patrick Cantlay at +850 odds. While it’s not an earth-shattering number, +850 is solid value for a player who has won the last two BMW Championships, as well as the 2021 FedEx Cup.
There’s one more in the favorites area we also like in Viktor Hovland at +2000. That’s a solid price for a player of this caliber.
Last week showed he never gives up. He was four-over-par midway through his first round and rallied for a T-13 finish with impressive second and third rounds.
One More for the Longshot Bettors
We’re still holding on to hope Kim can race up the standings ladder because if you’re in the field, you’ve got a chance.
But we’re also going down the odds board to look at a pick who may be undervalued, as Collin Morikawa isn’t out of the picture.
At +8000 odds, the value is there, especially coming off a T-13 last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.
He’s 22nd in the FedEx Cup standings, but the 2,000 points the winner of this week’s BMW Championship receives would vault him up the standings board.
He’s also down to 20th in the world rankings, which is as low as he’s been since turning pro.
A win this week gets him back in his groove.
FedEx Cup Playoffs FAQ
Most of the sportbooks, including BetMGM, FanDuel, DraftKings, Caesars and others, have odds to win the FedEx Cup crown. Make sure to shop around for the best value for your buck.
The postseason started with the top 70 players and that number was whittled down to this week’s top-50. After Sunday’s final round of the BMW Championship, the top 30 will head to Atlanta for the Tour Championship where the big money will be on the table including $18 million to the winner.
No. The first two feature regular format stroke-play events. The finale is where the big change comes into play. The FedEx Cup points leader will start the event at 10-under-par. The second-ranked player will begin at -8. Players No.3 through No. 5 will tee off seven-under-par, six-under-par, and five-under-par, respectively. Then the breakdown is: players 6-10, four-under; players 11-15, three-under; players 16-20, two-under, players 21-25 at one-under; players 26-30, even-par.
Everyone who made it to the playoffs is fully exempt for the next calendar year. Remember, this fall’s events won’t award FedEx Cup points, as those will start being accumulated at the Tournament of Champions on Maui the first week of January. But, the fall winners will earn the first-place checks in those seven events as well as a trip to Maui.
A whole lot. The FedEx Cup points champion will pocket an $18 million bonus with the player finishing second earning $6.5 million. If you’re in the field of the top-30 players, you’re guaranteed $500,000.
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