We blinked and just like that Week 5 of the 2023 college football season is here. It’s all flying by way too fast, so that’s even more reason for bettors to get in on the action and place some wagers for the SEC East showdown between the No. 22 Florida Gators and Kentucky Wildcats.
Kentucky comes into this matchup with a pristine 4-0 straight-up (SU) record. Florida, however, enters the contest with a blemish that came in the form of a Week 1, 24-11 loss to Utah.
Should bettors back the Cats from the Bluegrass State to win and cover, or is it safer to wager the Gators to get the “W” in Lexington? Let’s dive into Florida vs. Kentucky odds and predictions.
Florida vs. Kentucky Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total
Here are the best available college football odds for moneyline, spread, and total across the top sports betting apps. Click on the odds you like to place a bet. Learn more about sports betting promos when signing up to receive bonus bets.
Spread: Kentucky , Florida
Moneyline: Kentucky , Florida
Over/Under: points scored by both teams combined
Florida vs. Kentucky Props
1st Half Spread (FanDuel)
Florida Gators: +1.5 (-130)
Kentucky Wildcats: -1.5 (+106)
1st Half Total Points (FanDuel)
Over 22.5 points: -102
Under 22.5 points: -120
1st Half Winner (FanDuel)
Rushing Yards (DraftKings)
Montrell Johnson: Over 53.5 (-115), Under 53.5 (-115)
Re’Mahn Davis: Over 82.5 (-115), Under 82.5 (-115)
Trevor Etienne: Over 64.5 (-115), Under 64.5 (-115)
Passing Touchdowns (DraftKings)
Devin Leary: Over 1.5 (-115), Under 1.5 (-115)
Graham Mertz: Over 1.5 (+155), Under 1.5 (-210)
Halftime/Final — Excluding OT (BetMGM)
The odds for this matchup indicate that this contest between these conference and division foes will be a close one from start to finish. The 1st half spread like the final game spread is currently 1.5. Even the 1st half winner odds — Florida -104, Kentucky -118 — are neck-and-neck. However, bettors know that only one squad can escape unscathed.
Florida vs. Kentucky Analysis and Predictions
The 2023 season marks the third consecutive year that Kentucky has gotten off to a 4-0 start. Does this mean it’s time we retire the “UK’s just a basketball school” trope? Considering that Kentucky has won 16 of its last 20 home games, is averaging 38 points per game, and has the SEC’s top-rated rushing defense, it seems like the obvious answer to that is yes.
In addition to being 4-0 overall, the Cats are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. Last season, they went 8-5 ATS.
On the other side is a No. 22-ranked Florida team hungry to control its own destiny by not dropping another matchup like it did in Week 1 to the Utes. While the 24-11 defeat at Utah might end up being a “good loss,” falling to Kentucky would certainly be detrimental to the rest of the Gators’ season.
One of UF’s not-so-secret weapons is running back Trevor Etienne. He ranks third in the conference averaging 6.7 yards per carry. And like their Saturday competitor, the Gators have a defense worth bragging about. Their total defense ranks first in the SEC, allowing just 244.8 yards per contest.
Covering the spread this season, though, hasn’t been a bright spot for Florida. The team is 1-3 ATS so far this year.
So does Florida work its swamp magic this weekend and “upset” Kentucky in Lexington? We’re going with yes.
This game will be close for at least a half, but Florida is more battle-tested than Kentucky and will pull away with the win. The Gators opened up their season against Utah, then went on to defeat ranked Tennessee 29-16 in Week 3. They played two tough games early while UK was still feasting on cupcakes.
While we all enjoy a little frosting every now and then, everyone knows that overindulging your sweet tooth always comes back to bite you.
Trevor Etienne Under 64.5 rushing yards
How to Watch Florida vs. Kentucky
Date: Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023
Time: Noon ET
Location: Kroger Field — Lexington, KY