Follow streaks

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And keep cashing the rollover bets

The first week of baseball was a mixed bag. Monday was very chalky but the dogs started barking later on in the week.

There were some teams that started some good streaks, winning and losing. The two longest streaks so far are the Astros losing six straight and the Blue Jays winning five in a row, going into Monday.

Some late innings have been treacherous after the starters leave the game, sometimes turning into a charity event; so, don’t forget those first five-inning bets as they can make you a winner without worrying about those late inning losses.

If you really like your pitchers’ chances, bet those first five innings and bet the entire game, if you win the first five you get a free roll, if you catch a tie, no harm no fowl.

It is early in the season but the Pittsburgh Pirates appear to be a feisty live dog early on with some good hitting; if their pitching keeps them in some games they could be a money maker as well as Washington.

When a team is -200 or higher the +1½ runs has gone 5-5. Remember there will be occasions this season when a team will win or lose 10 games in a row, if you start with a 10 dollar bet and let it ride you will have a big-time bank roll for the football season and also have a nice down payment on a new car.

If the Houston Astros lose on Monday, I will have a good start and if you lose it will only cost you a saw buck but you have to have a strong stomach to keep rolling it over. Just take the ticket up to the counter – if you don’t buckle at the knees! – and re-bet it, very simple.

The Kentucky Derby is sneaking up on us and it is just 18 days away and the Derby became more muddled this past week after the running of the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes and the million dollar Arkansas Derby.

The Arkansas Derby was won by the John Sadler trained turf horse Line of David who just won a level one allowance race going a flat mile on the grass and a horse exiting our Horses to Watch list.

Line of David took a clear lead until the stretch run when he was collared by the Todd Pletcher trained Super Saver and the D. Wayne Lukas trained Dublin; neither horse could get by Line of David who dug in like a champ and held them both off by a neck.

The favorite Noble’s Promise had a horrible trip; he broke out at the start and got in tight, he raced inside but got steadied hard on the first turn but he lugged in and just came up empty.

I am not sure what trainer Sadler has in mind with Line of David, if he runs him in the Kentucky Derby he will become another speed horse along with his other Derby hopeful, Sidney’s Candy. Things keep looking brighter for trainer Todd Pletcher’s Derby favorite Eskendereya.

At Keeneland it was the Gulfstream Park bombshell Stately Victor destroying a suspect field at 40/1. It was early in the morning at Palace Station and I was perusing over the entries and having a coffee with Kenny the sheet guy and he looks at me and says circle this 30/1 shot in the Blue Grass and use him in all your supers as his numbers are very competitive with the rest of the field and he could key a big super.

I circled him but as luck would have it I got involved with baseball, phone calls and a liter of wine (not necessarily in that order) and missed the start of the race. Soon, my horse-playing buddy “Can’t pick a Winner” Syl looks at me and says, did you bet this horse you have circled in the Blue Grass? That’s when I started to feel sick and turned blue, especially when Palace Station race boss Vic Vivio was standing there with Kenny the sheet guy, who gave me the horse, and asked if I hit the race.

Just another horse story for my book of mishaps and I am sure more are to come. It’s 18 days until the Kentucky Derby but it is just 16 days until the big event at the Palace Station race and sports book, our annual Kentucky Derby seminar hosted by yours truly, Vic Vivio and the all-knowing Ralph Siraco, Thursday 6:30 p.m., it is free and it will be a lot of fun.

For all of the golf world it was a great win by Phil Mickelson as he overcame much and even a worm or a twig to win the Masters in what was a very classy win by a very classy guy; now this is what sports is really all about, thanks for a great win, Phil.

 

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