France take on massive underdog Morocco on Wednesday at 2 p.m. Eastern with a trip to Sunday’s World Cup final against Lionel Messi and Argentina on the line.
Morocco’s Atlas Lions are once again getting no respect from oddsmakers, who priced Manager Walid Regragui’s side as major underdogs against both Spain in the round of 16 and Portugal in the quarterfinals. In each of those games, though, Morocco were anything but overmatched despite their opponents’ dominance of possession.
But France pose easily their toughest test yet, which will be that much more difficult due to the possible absences of multiple key defenders for Morocco. And healthy or not, it must be acknowledged that Morocco have not yet encountered an attack quite like what they’ll see from Les Bleus.
Here we look at France vs. Morocco odds, props, and picks in the semifinals at the Qatar 2022 FIFA World Cup.
France vs. Morocco Odds: Moneyline & Total for World Cup Clash
Here are the betting lines from top US sportsbooks for France vs. Morocco. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best sportsbook bonuses and prices.
These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings lists the draw at +295.
SOCCER · Wed (12/14) @ 2:00 pm ET
|Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, QA|
France vs. Morocco Moneyline Odds
The three-way moneyline prices apply only to what the scoreboard reads after 90 minutes of regulation (including stoppage time). That means that if you bet France (or Morocco) to win, and they advance in overtime or on PKs, your bet still goes down as a loss since the game was tied at the end of regulation.
If you think one side will advance to the next round but think it might happen after the match is tied through 90 minutes, take a look at odds to advance. For this match, France is -390 to advance, while Morocco is +300 on DraftKings. At FanDuel, the “to advance” prices are France -440 and Morocco +320. Caesars offers France at -450 and Morocco at +300.
France vs. Morocco Total
The total is set at 2.5 goals, with the Over priced at +125 on DraftKings, while the Under is -160. Under 2.5 seems likely, but there’s not a lot of value at -160.
France vs. Morocco: World Cup History
France are on a short list of national teams that have won the World Cup twice. Les Bleus raised the trophy as host in 1998 and also won the most recent World Cup, the 2018 edition in Russia. Between their World Cup triumphs in 1998 and 2018, France were eliminated in group play in 2002 and 2010, but finished second in 2006 and reached the quarterfinals in 2014.
Morocco have already enjoyed by far their best World Cup run of all time. They are also making history for Africa, as they’re the first side from the continent and the first Arab nation to reach the semifinals.
This year marked just the second time — and the first since 1986 — that Morocco advanced from World Cup group play. Morocco’s appearance at the 2018 World Cup was their first qualification since 1998.
France and Morocco have never squared off at the World Cup.
France Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
France dealt with a number of injuries before the tournament, but that’s hardly slowed them down. Kylian Mbappe leads the way for the French, but their depth might be an even bigger reason why they’re currently the favorite to win the World Cup. The French roster has not only star power up top with Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, Ousmane Dembele, and Olivier Giroud, but a solid midfield, back line, and keeper as well.
Few teams — if any — could shake off tournament-ending injuries to players like N’Golo Kante, Paul Pogba, and Lucas Hernandez and still have the likes of Kingsley Coman, Eduardo Camavinga, and Benjamin Pavard available as backups.
Plenty has been said about Golden Boot favorite Mbappe (who has scored five goals) and Giroud (four goals), but Griezmann has also been outstanding with a World Cup-high three assists, including two against England.
In the midfield, 22-year-old Aurelien Tchouameni turned heads with his long-distance goal against England, and he’s combined with Adrien Rabiot to give France control of the middle of the pitch throughout most of their time in Qatar.
French keeper Hugo Lloris has also been solid, even though he’s yet to record a shutout. He was especially impressive against England, giving up just one goal (via PK) on seven shots on target by England.
Morocco will have a tough time generating scoring chances against the French back line of Jules Kounde, Dayot Upamecano, Raphael Varane, and Theo Hernandez.
World Cup Golden Boot odds: Kylian Mbappe heavily favored at Qatar 2022
France have not suffered any major injuries since Lucas Hernandez tore his ACL early in Les Bleus’ tournament opener. They also have the benefit of not missing any players for this match due to suspension.
Morocco Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
After how well Morocco’s formula has worked through their first five matches — and considering how deserving they were to beat both Spain and Portugal — you’d think they might be getting some respect from bookmakers.
Instead, they’re considerably bigger underdogs in the semis than they were in the quarters. While France boast far more talent and depth than Morocco, it still feels like Achraf Hakimi, Hakim Ziyech and Co. are being underestimated.
The two most hyped Morocco players before the tournament were Hakimi and Ziyech.
While those players have not disappointed, Morocco have also gotten impressive performances from keeper Bono (he dominated the decisive PKs against Spain and he’s recorded four shutouts in five matches), midfielders Sofyan Amrabat and Azzedine Ounahi, and winger Sofiane Boufal, to name a few of the players who have stepped up alongside Hakimi and Ziyech. Forward Youssef en-Nesyri also flashed his talent — and incredible vertical jump — for the game-winner against Morocco.
Injuries are a major cause for concern — for even the most ardent Morocco backers/believers — against France. Of Morocco’s first-choice back line of Hakimi, center backs Nayef Aguerd and Romain Saiss (who is Morocco’s team captain), and right back Noussair Mazraoui, Hakimi may be the only one who starts against France. Aguerd and Mazraoui both missed the Portugal match due to injury, and Saiss limped off after an hour with a hamstring issue.
If Hakimi is the only first-choice starter in the back four against France — or if two or three of the injured players mentioned above are on the pitch, but less than 100% — Mbappe, Giroud, and Dembele could have a field day.
France vs. Morocco Props
Below is a sampling of props for France vs. Morocco.
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Kylian Mbappe: +135
- Olivier Giroud: +195
- Antoine Griezmann: +270
- Youssef En-Nesyri: +500
- Sofiane Boufal: +700
Correct Score (DraftKings):
- France 1-0: +340
- France 2-0: +400
- France 2-1: +700
- Morocco 1-0: +1100
- Morocco 2-0: +2800
- Morocco 2-1: +1700
- 0-0: +750
- 1-1: +500
Total Goal Props (DraftKings):
- Over 0.5 goals -1600, Under 0.5 goals: +800
- Over 1.5 goals -265, Under 1.5 goals: +205
- Over 2.5 goals +125, Under 2.5 goals: -160
- Over 3.5 goals +320, Under 3.5 goals: -425
France vs. Morocco Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Date/Time: Wednesday, Dec. 14, 2 p.m. ET
- Location: Al Bayt Stadium
Watch this match at one of the following:
- Fox Sports App
France vs. Morocco Prediction: France 2, Morocco 0
I’d love to stick with Morocco in this match, but logic points to them running out of gas, especially with three of their four starting defenders either unavailable or hobbled. With Morocco at full strength, I’d be a lot more bullish, possibly so much so that I’d predict their third straight massive upset. But even if Hakimi can contain his star PSG teammate Mbappe, France are going to put Morocco under more pressure than they can handle for the first time in this tournament.
Morocco won’t go down without a fight, and having the crowd behind them will help their cause. However, France will scrap their way to a hard-earned goal or two, and Morocco will struggle to come up with an answer.
Here are two bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:
- Halftime/Full Time — France/France (+140)
- France Win and Under 3.5 (-125)