NCAA Football Free Pick
Saturday, September 28 4:00 p.m. PT
UAB Blazers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
UAB -3 at Western Kentucky: The oddsmakers are a bit off on this line. I have the number closer to double digits as last year’s Conference USA champions, UAB, is the only team unblemished team in the league (3-0).
Western Kentucky is very beatable, as they proved in losing 35-28 to Central Arkansas, and getting routed 38-21 by Louisville. The Hilltoppers don’t have much of a running game and their quarterback, Steven Duncan, is out with a foot injury.
The Blazers have a very fast and talented stop-unit (18th, 14.0 PPG allowed). And sophomore quarterback Tyler Johnston is a stud, throwing for 746 yards, a 64.3 percent completion rate, 8 TDs in the air and another 114 rushing yards and one score on the ground.
UAB is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. UAB