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College Football Free Pick 

Saturday, September 21 1 p.m. PT

Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs

Kentucky +7 at Mississippi State: Mississippi State lost outright as a TD favorite at home against Kansas State and I think they might be on upset alert again here. The Bulldogs have cluster injuries on both sides of the ball and QB Tommy Stevens continues to play through a shoulder injury. 

The defense which lost plenty of key players from last season has been gashed for 28+ points in two of their last three games.

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Kentucky lost its starting QB Terry Wilson to injury but his replacement Sawyer Smith is not much of a downgrade. He made mistakes but also moved the football for much of the game against Florida.

The Wildcats were expected to take a step back this season after plenty of personnel losses on defense as well as RB Benny Snell from last year’s strong team but they are 3-0 ATS this season and now in a road dog role where Kentucky was 3-0-1 ATS last season. Live ‘dog here. KENTUCKY

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