Fresno State At Wyoming Full Sportsbook Odds
NCAAF · Sat (10/16) @ 3:30pm ET
|War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY|
Our Pick: WYOM Wyoming at +150. Claim $50 in free bets after depositing $5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Our Pick: Wyoming +3½ (-110)
The draw here is Wyoming’s home footprint against Fresno’s road tendencies, with one sweet caveat. As a home underdog since 2016, the Cowboys are 10-4 against the spread under coach Craig Bohl.
It is not an easy place to get to, its elevation is a lung-scorching 7,220 feet and the facility almost resembles a sunken battleship, struck in the middle, both ends up.
On my first trip there, a lazy moose strolling down Main Street greeted us during a midnight tavern exit. The stark environment and gritty foe can inspire visions of moose, real or imagined, in many visitors.
Fresno State Bulldogs (4-2)
The Dogs are as pass-happy as a team can be, in the national top 10 in throwing frequency (60.5%, running 39.5% of the time), sixth in passes per game (45.6), and third in average yards through the air (380.2).
The fuel behind this attack is Jake Haener, a 6-foot-1, 194-pound senior transfer from Washington.
He’s one of four quarterbacks in college football to have thrown for more than 2,000 yards so far this season. He has 2,230, third in the country. His 69.5 completion percentage is in the top 20, and his 18 touchdowns tie him for fifth. He’s also run it in three times and fumbled twice.
Haener’s main target is Jalen Cropper, who has turned 44 catches into 528 yards and nine TDs. Zane Pope (20), Keric Wheatfall (18.1), tight end Tre Watson (16.5), and Josh Kelly (15.9) are all regulars with impressive double-digit yardage averages.
Fresno’s ground game is controlled by Ronnie Rivers, with a 4.6-yard average on 91 carries, three TDs, and two fumbles.
Interceptions, turnovers, and penalties, however, have all been issues with the Bulldogs.
Fresno Vs. Wyoming Full Sportsbook Odds
|Sat (10/16) @ 3:30pm ET||Fresno State||-164||-164||-185||-161||-175||-169||-164|
|Sat (10/16) @ 3:30pm ET||Fresno State||-3.5 -110||-3.5 -105||-3.5 -110||-3.5 -110||-3.5 -112||-3.5 -102||-3.5 -110|
|Wyoming||+3.5 -110||+3.5 -115||+3.5 -110||+3.5 -110||+3.5 -109||+3.5 -120||+3.5 -110|
|Sat (10/16) @ 3:30pm ET||Fresno State||o55.5 -110||o53.5 -110||o53.5 -110||o53.5 -110||o54.0 -108||o53.5 -106||o53.5 -110|
|Wyoming||u55.5 -110||u53.5 -110||u53.5 -110||u53.5 -110||u54.0 -114||u53.5 -114||u53.5 -110|
Wyoming Cowboys (4-1)
Wyoming averages 0.510 points per play, 16th best in the country. But that shoots to 0.714, No. 6 in the nation at home, on its War Memorial Field Turf. Fresno on the road checks in at 0.345. That is quite an edge for the Cowboys.
We know what’s coming, nearly 30,000 in the stadium know what’s coming and a FOX Sports TV audience will know what’s coming after they peruse this article.
Wyoming has shown it’s prepared for the aerial assault. It allows 5.5 yards per pass, the seventh-lowest allowance in the country. Opposing quarterbacks complete 55.5% of their attempts, among the nation’s top-25 stingy defenses. Plus, the Cowboys get to the quarterback 9.2% of the time, a top-15 figure.
The key to this cover, maybe even a victory, will be a ground attack that chews up yards and devours minutes off the clock. That’s an important part of Wyoming, anyway, as it runs at just about a 60% rate, among football’s top 30. Fresno is mediocre, at best, in the important rushing-defense categories.
The man most responsible for this effort is one of our favorite college names, fourth-year junior Xazavian Vallady, a 6-foot, 200-pound native of Matteson, Ill., who dashed for 1,265 yards two seasons ago and has scored 19 career touchdowns.
He has run 84 times for 436 yards, an average of just more than 5 yards per carry, in 2021. Third-year sophomore Titus Swen (4.9 average on 44 runs, two TDs) spells Vallady.
Fourth-year junior quarterback Sean Chambers (6-3, 225) just needs to manage this one, turning some third-down situations into first downs with accurate passes. The Cowboys do sport a top-20 third-down-conversion rate.
Chambers’s 54% completion rate hasn’t exactly been inspirational, and his six TD passes are offset by three interceptions and four fumbles. However, Wyoming’s offensive line avoids the sack as well as its defense hunts down the other QBs.
He will not be asked to do too much here. It’s also worth noting that, arguably, his two best outings this season have come at home, both victories.
Sports Betting Recommendation
Wyoming’s defense will be the key to its success against Fresno. Senior middle linebacker Chad Muma and fourth-year junior cornerback Keyon Blankenbaker, with three pick-sixes between them, will be vital to that effort.
The ingredients are there for coach Craig Bohl’s continued good fortune as a home dog.