These two ships will pass Friday in the Vegas evening, one speeding toward a bowl and the other trying to dodge icebergs every nautical mile.
On Oct. 15, the Bulldogs won the first of four consecutive games that have righted the ship. That day, UNLV got thrashed by Air Force’s 406 rushing yards for its second defeat in a row.
The Rebels had started 4-1, but they’re riding a four-game losing streak. Fresno State and sterling quarterback Jake Haener visit at the perfect time for the Bulldogs, and CBS Sports Network will televise the game.
So, here’s a look at Fresno State vs. UNLV odds and a pick in Week 10 of the NCAAF season.
Fresno State vs. UNLV Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market for Fresno State vs. UNLV at Allegiant Stadium.
NCAAF · Fri (11/11) @ 10:44pm ET
|Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, Nevada|
Fresno State Bulldogs (5-4, 3-6 Against the Spread)
Their season took big licks on Sept. 17 at USC, a 45-17 loss to the Trojans in which Haener (ankle) and Evan Williams (knee) were lost to injuries.
A 6-foot senior free safety, Williams earned first-time all-Mountain West honors last season. He’s the main reason why the Bulldogs’ defensive backs were rated top-30 nationally as a unit by Phil Steele in his preseason annual.
Reserve QB Logan Fife took some lumps. Haener and Williams both returned against San Diego State on Oct. 29, when the Aztecs had a total second-half late-night meltdown in Fresno.
SDSU had a 28-10 lead, but Fresno scored a touchdown to end the third quarter, then tallied two more within a 13-second span late in the game for the 32-28 victory.
A long, looping onside kick to the left fueled the game-winning play, a short pass from Haener to Nikko Remigio, who scampered 37 yards into the end zone to stun the visitors.
In its past three games, FSU has been a dynamo. It has outscored foes by a 38-15 average, and its 0.300 points-per-play margin is the sixth-best rate in the nation. In that span, the Dogs average 9 yards per pass, tied for 13th in the country with USC.
In his first true away game as a starter, Haener, who first played at Washington, went 15-for-23 for 164 yards and a touchdown (also ran for another score) in Fresno State’s 40-27 triumph against UNLV inside Allegiant in the Covid-impacted 2020 season.
Now, with so much experience and so much to play for, we see him lighting up the still-new barn with aerial yards, touchdowns, and points.
Fresno has covered three of its past four.
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UNLV Rebels (4-5, 6-3 ATS)
In that Air Force game, UNLV mustered a mere 179 total offensive yards on its own Allegiant Stadium turf in a 42-7 mauling.
Fifteen games had passed since the Rebels’ offense had turned in such a poor performance, which it did in the second (155 yards at Arizona State, 37-10 defeat) and third games (134, 48-3 home loss to Iowa State) last season.
In Marcus Arroyo’s first game as the Rebels’ boss, to begin that Covid-plagued 2020 campaign, UNLV gained only 186 yards in a 34-6 drubbing at San Diego State.
At San Jose on Oct. 7, 6-5 junior QB Doug Brumfield sustained a concussion that kept him out of action for a month. He returned last weekend at San Diego State, where he threw two interceptions and the Rebels fumbled it over to the Aztecs twice in a 14-10 defeat.
In its past three games, UNLV has a points-per-play margin of -0.202, the 17th-lowest ratio in the country over that span. Fresno boasting of the No. 6 margin in that stretch shows the current dichotomy between these two programs.
In this four-game losing streak, UNLV has tallied more than one touchdown in only one game. It scored at least 31 points in four of its first five games but hasn’t averaged even 12 in its past four. Three of its past four games have gone Under.
Fresno State vs. UNLV Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
These two squads are headed in decidedly different directions, a top-six Fresno State team in overall efficiency against a bottom-20 UNLV program that is spinning its wheels.
Jake Haener is in a great groove for this one-sided indoor track meet. But our respect for certain defenders on each side — Fresno defensive end David Perales, linebackers Austin Ajiake and Cameron Oliver of UNLV — also favors an Under position.
Our Pick: Bulldogs -10 (-110)