Gators +6 turns a winner into a loss

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Sometimes we get the best of it and sometimes the worst.

Last week in this column I did get the worst of it taking Florida +6 when the line was +8, but we go on the line Wynn has up for betting on Sunday nights. So instead of going 6-5 I take the loss and go 5-6, but we will make it up this week.

Now just a little reminder, if we get the best of the line and win please remember that when we get the worst of the number and lose. Thank you.

A big shout out to Art Manteris, who is in charge of all the Station Casinos properties, for standing his ground with the parlay cards taking no games off. He never flinched on the Patriots-Colts. It was -7.5 on the cards and had gone as high as -10 on the board. Well, he got all the money as the Pats could only win by 7.

Well done.

Now let’s move on to some picks for this upcoming week.

Thursday – NCAA Football

Ga. Southern +5 at Appalachian St.: The Mountaineers from Boone, NC are 5-1 with their only loss coming at Clemson. This will be only their third home game as they look to avenge last year’s 34-14 loss at Statesboro when the Eagles beat them, 34-14. Both teams can score in bunches. APP STATE/OVER.

TEMPLE +2 at East Carolina: The Owls opened the season with a win over Penn State and then went to Cincinnati and beat them. They have quietly gone 6-0 and we hope will not be looking ahead to their huge game next week vs. the Irish. The Pirates have gone 0-8-1 ATS when playing in weekday games. TEMPLE.

California +4 at UCLA: Well I really took it in the pockets last week with the Bruins, who were crushed by Stanford, 56-35. I will come right back with them, as the host in this series has covered five straight times. Plus, the Golden Bears have gone 0-5 ATS as a road dog of 6 or less points vs. a team with a win percentage of .600 or higher. UCLA.

Saturday – NCAA Football

Missouri -2.5 at Vanderbilt: The Tigers have played 7 games and all have gone UNDER the total. If you take away their first two wins (SE Mo. State, 34-3, and Ark. State, 27-20) they have averaged just 11 ppg. If you take away the Commodores’ 47-7 win vs. Austin Peay they are averaging just 13.8 ppg. Vandy looking for revenge from last year’s 24-14 road loss. Also the Dores have gone 8-0 at home in revenge games. VANDY/UNDER.

Tennessee +14.5 at Alabama: The Tide will be looking ahead to their destiny next week here in Tuscaloosa when LSU comes to town and that gives us a good reason to take the points, especially with the Vols entire SEC season on the line. Last year the Vols lost by 14 and will be all out to stay close. TENNESSEE.

Kansas St. +3.5 at Texas: The Longhorns got the needed win two weeks ago when shocking the Sooners 24-17 as a 17-point dog. They are rested and catch the Wildcats in a downward spiral as they had shots in two huge games vs. Okie State and TCU and let them both get away, then got blasted last week by Oklahoma, 55-0. Texas has gone 7-0 ATS in games before playing Iowa State, who they have next week. TEXAS.

Florida St. -6 at Georgia Tech: Looking at the rest of the 6-0 Seminoles schedule they are sitting on a perfect season and a possible destiny game at Florida in their last game. The Yellow Jackets have lost five straight games and have gone 0-7 ATS as a home dog of 4 or more points when playing a team that has a win percentage of .500 or higher. FLORIDA ST.

W. KENTUCKY +15.5 at LSU: Baton Rouge not a nice place at night for the visitor but we must take our shot with the high scoring Hilltoppers, especially with the Tigers looking ahead to the date with the Alabama Crimson Tide next week. W. KENTUCKY.

CFB Last Week: 5-6-0

CFB Season: 35-26-1

NFL Football– Sunday

Browns +4.5 at Rams (42): The Browns have played 6 games and all have gone OVER the total. Their last two games have gone into OT, winning one and losing one. They now travel to St. Louis, who is off a bye week but before that played back-to-back roadies. Rams are 0-12 as a chalk in that situation. BROWNS/OVER.

Eagles +3 at Panthers (47): Yes, the birds come off a Monday night big game but this will be the first time they will be a dog. Eagles catch the black cats off huge revenge win at Seattle. Philly has also gone OVER the total 9 straight times as a regular season dog vs. a non-division foe who has a win percentage of .666 or higher. EAGLES/OVER.

NFL Season: 5-3-0

(idle last week)

Racing

The Breeders’ Cup is Oct. 30-31 and there will be plenty of seminars around town. All will be free but the main one will be on Thursday, Oct. 29 in the Palace Station racebook. As always it is free, including drink and cocktail service. Stop over, say hi and meet with me, professor Gordon Jones and the all-star Race Day Las Vegas radio host and horse handicapper extraordinaire, the one and only Ralph Siraco.

I will always remember riding to Waterford Park with my dad “Broadway” Bennie snoozing in the back seat (he loved Will Rogers) telling me how horses are smarter than people as your never heard of a horse going broke betting – quoted by Will Rogers and Bennie.

Always remember, even people can be walking around lucky. So get out and don’t go broke but do make a bet. You could be walking around lucky and not even know it.

Richard Saber, a former director of race and sports at the famed Stardust book, is GT’s horse racing and sports handicapper. Twitter: @SabesBet. Email: [email protected].

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