The 2023 Orange Bowl on ESPN will kick off Saturday, Dec. 30, at 4 p.m. ET. This year’s version features the Georgia Bulldogs and the Florida State Seminoles. Despite a lopsided spread, this should be a great game. If you need help picking a side in this matchup, check out our Georgia vs. Florida State Orange Bowl odds, picks, and predictions.
As mentioned above, the Orange Bowl odds heavily favor the back-to-back National Champion Bulldogs. Current betting odds have Georgia as a point favorite, with the total sitting at .
Opt-outs, injuries, and players entering the transfer portal have taken away some of the excitement from this game, but with two of the biggest names in the sport facing off in a historical bowl setting, this has all the makings of a great matchup.
Here, we will give our best Orange Bowl predictions for Georgia vs. Florida State.
Orange Bowl Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total
Before making your Orange Bowl picks, check out the Georgia vs. Florida State odds from our top-rated sports betting apps. This will ensure you get the best odds and lines for your bets on the Orange Bowl spread, moneyline, and point total.
Georgia Bulldogs (12-1, 4-8-1 ATS)
It is shocking that this Georgia team is not in the playoffs. They were the most dominant team in the country all season, but a close loss to Alabama in the SEC title game was apparently enough to keep the Dawgs from a chance at a three-peat.
Anyway, this will not be the same Georgia team that finished the year with an undefeated regular season. A few key contributors on both sides of the ball have entered the transfer portal.
Luckily, Florida State has been derailed even more with opt-outs, and obviously, they are without their best player in Jordan Travis, whose nasty knee injury was enough to keep undefeated FSU out of the playoffs.
As of Tuesday, Dec. 26, no players have opted out from Georgia. However, with a few top NFL draft prospects, such as Brock Bowers, Javon Bullard, and half of the starting offensive line, the Dogs could also be missing a lot of production.
Quarterback Carson Beck has already announced that he will return to Athens next season. While he may still opt out of this game to prepare for 2024, if he does play, the Dawgs will have a significant talent mismatch at the most crucial position.
Florida State Seminoles (13-0, 8-5 ATS)
I’ll say it for the last time: Florida State got screwed out of a playoff spot, plain and simple. An undefeated power-five champion was told by a committee almost exclusively made up of non-former players or coaches that their entire season boiled down to one player getting hurt.
Because of that, we will never truly know how great the 2023 Florida State Seminoles were. The defense was starting to really play some great football, and they had a great one-two punch at receiver in Johnny Wilson and Keon Coleman.
Both players have opted out and joined a long list of key starters that will not play, including:
- RB: Trey Benson
- TE: Jaheim Bell
- DT: Fabien Lovett
- DE: Jared Verse
It also does not help that a lot of depth has entered the transfer portal. Florida State will be without backup quarterbacks Tate Rodemaker and AJ Duffy, running backs Rodney Hill and CJ Campbell, and a few offensive linemen.
Even though Georgia also will be without a few familiar names, it does not compare to what the Noles will have to deal with. Simply put, I have no idea where Florida State will find production on offense.
Georgia vs. Florida State Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Georgia’s last five games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Georgia’s last six games when playing as the favorite.
- Georgia is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games played in December.
Florida State Seminoles
- The total has gone UNDER in four of FSU’s last five games.
- FSU is 4-1 ATS in its last five games against the SEC.
- FSU is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games when playing as an underdog.
Orange Bowl Predictions: Bet This Side of the Total
The 2023 Orange Bowl odds are tricky to read, as with most bowl games during the transfer portal era.
First, both teams will be without key players, especially Florida State. Secondly, at the time of writing, we don’t know if any more key opt-outs or players will hit the portal. Lastly, you have to factor in the level of care on both sides.
The Noles were screwed out of a playoff spot due to a cheap system for determining playoff teams. Meanwhile, Georgia was told their season was not good enough because they lost by three points in an extra game they earned the right to play in by dominating the whole season.
At full strength, this would have been a great matchup. Instead, we are dealing with a Georgia team that probably is pissed that they have to play this game and a dismantled Florida State roster. Even then, I do not feel comfortable laying the points with the Dawgs.
Instead, we will focus on the total. Georgia had one of the best defenses in the country this season, and they will go up against a Florida State offense that is missing most of its production. They should be able to own this game, and the Bulldogs offense will also have some new players to break in, which should limit its effectiveness.
Georgia vs. Florida State Prediction: Under
How To Watch Georgia vs. Florida State
Date: Saturday, Dec. 30, 2023
Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN & ESPN+