While early Georgia vs. Missouri odds have the Bulldogs laying four touchdowns on the road, recent tilts between these two have been high-scoring affairs, and we like the ‘Dawgs and quarterback Stetson Bennett to supply an abundance of the offensive output and points on the scoreboard.
On the sports-betting menu, that keeps angling our prediction toward the total, and the Over.
Even with an early boost of three points, from a 51.5 opener at many oddsboards, we like these two to shatter the total. One of our models shows the Bulldogs nearly getting there by themselves.
If Mizzou can simply get to the low 20s, this should be one of the weekend’s easier covers, and wallet triumphs.
Georgia vs. Missouri Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Georgia opened -26 at Circa on Sunday and has been bet up to -28 as of Tuesday morning. While our Over pick comes during early wagering with the total sitting 54.5 across the sports betting market, here are current odds on sportsbook apps across the US.
NCAAF · Sat (10/1) @ 7:30pm ET
|Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Missouri|
Georgia Bulldogs (4-0, 2-2 ATS)
The Mailman certainly delivered last season, and it’s almost as if he still has something to prove. Bennett was deigned that moniker in high school, when the diminutive quarterback sought a prop to help him stand out at camps and showcase events.
A buddy’s dad had a U.S. Mail cap. Stetson Fleming Bennett IV (you can call him Stetson, or Mailman) asked to borrow it. Voila!
He walked on at Georgia, didn’t play, shifted over to Jones County JC in Mississippi, then opted to go back to the Bulldogs instead of Louisiana. And in Athens, he backed up no fewer than three QBs waiting for his shot.
He got it last season and made the very most of it. The 5-foot-11, 190-pound fourth-year junior has continued delivering for the top-ranked and defending national-champion Dogs, as his 74.2-percent accuracy is seventh in the country.
In a glorified intramural affair, he torched Florida International for 381 yards and five TDs in a 73-0 triumph. A year ago, at home, he went 13-for-19 for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns, and no picks in Georgia’s 43-6 victory over Mizzou.
He has averaged 350 aerial yards against FBS foes, sixth in the nation. His 9.9 yards-per-attempt rate is 11th, and his QB Rating of 168.8 is 22nd in the land. All on the game’s top team.
Yet, that is not good enough for some, like ESPN College GameDay yapper Desmond Howard.
An 85-to-1 preseason shot to win the Heisman Trophy at Station Casinos, Bennett had been whittled to 10-to-1 odds, fourth on the chart, at that property. He was a 150-to-1 summer shot at Circa, 100-to-1 at the Westgate SuperBook.
At DraftKings to start the week, Bennett was the fifth choice (+1800), behind Ohio State’s CJ Stroud (+140), Alabama’s Bryce Young (+350), USC’s Caleb Williams (+600) and Hendon Hooker (+1600) of Tennessee.
Also read: Heisman odds update
“Pump the brakes,” Howard said last Saturday on the TV show’s set in Knoxville, Tenn., regarding the building Heisman hype on Bennett.
Good job, Desmond, Georgia opponents must be thinking to themselves. Give the kid another reason to shine, more fuel, as if he needed it.
Bennett has run it into the end zone four times this season, and he has some ridiculous talent around him.
The outlandish figure belongs to tight end Brock Bowers, who has touched the ball three times as a runner and scored on all three occasions, the longest from 75 yards out to open last weekend’s scoring against Kent State. He averages 18.4 yards on 15 catches, and he’s scored twice from the air.
As a rookie last season, he earned second-team All-America honors, was the SEC Newcomer of the Year and, oh, by the way, established new high-water marks in catches and yardage for a Georgia tight end. He’ll play on Sundays.
Kendell Milton, Daijun Edwards, and Branson Robinson form the three-headed ground monster, and Ladd McConkey and the surprising, and surprisingly versatile, Kenny McIntosh are the wide-out speed demons.
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Missouri Tigers (2-2, 2-2 ATS)
Tigers quarterback Brady Cook averages about 200 yards passing, and his favorite receiver is 5-foot-10 Dominic Lovett, who averages five nabs and nearly 100 yards.
Cody Schrader and Nathaniel Peat combine for about 100 rushing yards per game. Even Cook scampers for about 40 a game. All of the above have scored this season, and Lovett, Peat, and Cook have lost fumbles to foes.
The Tigers play middle-of-the-road offense and defense. However, it bones up in several pass-defense categories, and home cookin’ figures to give it some sort of edge, too.
But their 2.7 giveaway average is bottom-10 in the country. That could factor highly in this game going south quickly.
Georgia’s offense, especially its passing game, is elite across the board. The Tigers have their paws full attempting to corral the Mailman on Saturday night.
The Georgia defense is susceptible to allow 300 total yards, especially on the road. Cook can transform those chunks into production, and points, ensuring that Mizzou can contribute to this total getting scrunched.
Georgia vs. Missouri Prediction
One valued model has Georgia possibly hitting half a hundred (that would be an excellent prop for this game), and Mizzou chipping in with half that figure.
The past five in Columbia have featured 63, 72, 55, 34 and 61 total points, a 57 average that we’ll take for this one. I will wager, though, that this hits 60 with no trouble.
Our Pick: Over 54.5 (-110)
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