Germany enters Thursday’s FIFA World Cup match against Costa Rica at 2 p.m. Eastern as a massive favorite. Still, because of the stakes for traditional power Germany, this game deserves soccer fans’ attention.
With a loss or a draw, Germany is eliminated, regardless of what happens between Spain and Japan.
If Germany wins and heavily-favored Spain wins, the Germans go through. If Germany wins and Spain and Japan draw, both Germany and Japan would have four points. In that case, it would come down to goal differential: Germany is currently -1, while Japan is 0.
Despite the various scenarios in play, DraftKings lists Germany at -400 to advance from Group E, while both Costa Rica (+700) and Japan (+550) are considerable long shots.
In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Germany vs. Costa Rica odds, props, and predictions, we examine the Round 3 matchup.
Best Germany vs. Costa Rica Odds: Moneyline, Total for World Cup Clash
Here are the betting lines from the top US sportsbooks for Germany-Costa Rica. The odds are likely to change between now and kickoff, and it’s always advised to weigh the options at various sports betting apps to find the best bonuses and prices.
These odds reflect the prices for both sides on the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. DraftKings prices the draw at +1100 and BetRivers lists it at +1000, while FanDuel‘s price is +850.
SOCCER · Thu (12/1) @ 2:00 pm ET
|Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor, QA|
Germany vs. Costa Rica odds lists Germany as the overwhelming favorite. Even in a tournament that has seen some big upsets, it’s hard to make a case for Costa Rica at +2200 on DraftKings.
The total in this match is 3.5 goals, with the Over priced at -125 on DraftKings and the Under at even-money. Bettors who saw Costa Rica surrender seven goals to Spain will understandably be tempted by the Over, but it’s notable that Germany-Japan featured three total goals, and Germany-Spain saw just two goals scored.
Costa Rica-Japan was also low-scoring, which makes Under 3.5 (+100) a great value. Under 2.5 (+255) also deserves a close look.
Germany vs. Costa Rica: World Cup History
Germany has one of the most impressive World Cup pedigrees of any country, with four titles. Germany’s most recent came in 2014 in Brazil. The Germans (or West Germany) also won the World Cup in 1990, 1974, and 1954.
Costa Rica is playing in the World Cup for the sixth time in its history. Los Ticos previously qualified in 2018, 2014, 2006, 2002, and 1990. Costa Rica’s best performance was their run to the quarterfinals in 2014. They also advanced to the knockout rounds in 1990, when they were eliminated in the round of 16.
Costa Rica and Germany met once before in the World Cup, with the Germans winning that matchup 4-2 in 2006.
Germany Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Germany is in must-win mode because of their struggles against Japan in their opener — they settled for a draw despite an 8-4 advantage in shots on target. But the draw Germany earned against La Roja kept their hopes alive, and they’re heavily favored to win comfortably against Costa Rica.
On one hand, it makes sense for Germany to be favored based on how Germany and Costa Rica fared against Spain. On the other, Costa Rica’s odds to win being as long as +2400 on BetRivers feels like a slight after Costa Rica’s win over Japan.
The German roster is deep with world-class talent, starting with star Bayern Munich keeper Manuel Neuer. While Germany misses Timo Werner — who is missing the tournament with an injury — they still boast several dangerous attacking players, including Joshua Kimmich, Ilkay Gundogan, Serge Gnabry, and Thomas Muller.
Germany’s hero of the tournament, though, has been little-known 29-year-old forward Niclas Fullkrug of Werder Bremen, who scored the crucial equalizer against Spain on Sunday to keep his team alive. Fullkrug found the winner in the 83rd minute, shortly after coming on for Thomas Muller in the 70th.
The biggest injury news for Germany emerged prior to the tournament when Werner was ruled out. Through two matches, Germany has yet to have any key players suffer injuries.
Costa Rica Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Costa Rica looked like a lock to be one of the first teams eliminated when they were blown out 7-0 by Spain in their World Cup opener on Nov. 23. But they bounced back in their second match, beating Japan 1-0 to give themselves a chance going into their third and final match of group play.
The headliners for Costa Rica besides Keysher Fuller, who scored the game-winner against Japan on Sunday, include keeper Keylor Navas and right winger Joel Campbell.
Costa Rica is not dealing with any major injuries, but they will be without defender Francisco Calvo due to yellow card accumulation.
Also read: Updated 2022 World Cup odds
Germany vs. Costa Rica Props
Below is a sampling of props on Germany vs. Costa Rica.
Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):
- Niclas Fullkrug: -120
- Kai Havertz: -115
- Youssoufa Moukoko: -110
- Serge Gnabry: -105
- Anthony Contreras, Joel Campbell: +950
Correct Score (DraftKings):
- Germany 1-0: +1100
- Germany 2-0: +650
- Germany 3-0: +550
- Germany 2-1: +1200
- Costa Rica 1-0: +5000
- Costa Rica 2-0: +16000
- Costa Rica 2-1: +5500
- 0-0: +3500
- 1-1: +2200
Total Goal Props (DraftKings):
- Over 1.5 goals -1200, Under 1.5 goals: +700
- Over 2.5 goals -340, Under 2.5 goals: +255
- Over 3.5 goals -125, Under 3.5 goals: +100
Germany vs. Costa Rica Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Thursday, Dec. 1, 2 p.m. ET
- Al Bayt Stadium
- Fox Sports App
Germany vs. Costa Rica Prediction: Germany 2, Costa Rica 1
Germany has every reason to believe they will win this matchup comfortably. Costa Rica has plenty to play for since they’re mathematically alive, but they’re overmatched against the Germans — even if a blowout loss like the one they suffered against Spain is unlikely. When oddsmakers price the favorite at -1000 or shorter, there’s simply not a ton to analyze.
Here are two bets on DraftKings worth checking out:
- Germany Win/Both Teams to Score: +140
- Serge Gnabry to Have 2 or More Shots on Target: -125