As the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook updated its Super Bowl odds Tuesday morning, I couldn’t help but notice the New York Giants at 200-1.
It sounds outlandish, but can you imagine a $100 bettor holding a ticket worth $20,000 on a long shot entering the postseason? I’ve always said, when looking at Super Bowl futures, that it’s worth cherry-picking teams that have an outside shot at making the playoffs, and that are carrying long odds.
Once in, you have leverage to hedge your wager, and at the very least, make your initial investment back.
Enter the Giants, and their quarterback of the future, Daniel Jones.
Jones replaced two-time Super Bowl champion Eli Manning and had an impressive debut by completing 23 of 36 for 336 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. He is the first rookie with at least 300 passing yards, two passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns in a single game since 1970.
With Jones under center, it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Giants make things interesting in a couple of months. Three of their next five games are certainly winnable, as they host Washington and Minnesota, travel to New England, host Arizona and then head to Detroit. The Giants, conceivably, could be 4-4 at the midway point.
Outside of Dallas and Green Bay, I see six more winnable games during the second half, when the Giants will have built chemistry and have running back Saquon Barkley back in the lineup. They can win at the Jets, in Chicago, at Philly, vs. the Dolphins, at Washington and a season finale at home against the Eagles.
It’s a shot in the dark right now, but aren’t all future wagers we wish we had when it’s too late? Get a little something on the Giants, as the future has arrived in Daniel Jones.
The profits continued in Week 3, as I went 4-2 once again to improve to 10-7-1 overall. Let’s keep the momentum going this week.
Eagles at Packers -4.5: Four teams that missed the postseason in 2018 are undefeated through the first three weeks of the 2019 season, including Green Bay (3-0).
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, one of five quarterbacks with at least 50 pass attempts who hasn’t thrown an interception, has 10 touchdowns and a 110.7 rating in his past four against the NFC East. PACKERS
Panthers at Texans -5: I’m not sold on quarterback Deshaun Watson, yet, but I’m convinced the defense is better than what we see on paper.
Ranked 22nd in allowing 385.7 yards per game, the Texans are tied for sixth in the league with 10 sacks. Look for the defensive front to rattle Carolina’s Kyle Allen, who makes his second straight NFL start in place of injured Cam Newton. TEXANS
Chargers at Dolphins +16.5: Welp! Here it goes. I might be the first person in the world that is playing Miami.
This is a good spot for the Dolphins to make it look as if they’re not tanking. The injury-plagued Chargers are dinged up on defense and have struggled on the offensive line. The Chargers bolt the Pacific time zone before hosting Denver and Pittsburgh. They’ll overlook Miami. DOLPHINS
Titans at Falcons -4: We finally saw Atlanta’s high-powered offense produce balance, as Devonta Freeman ran for a season-best 88 yards and Matt Ryan completed 29 passes for 304 yards and three touchdowns. At 1-2, this is a must-win game with trips to Houston and Arizona on deck.
Tennessee might have the league’s third-best passing defense that allows just 189.7 yards per game, but that’s after facing the Browns, Colts and Jaguars. This is an entirely different animal. FALCONS
Jaguars +3 at Broncos: If Miami is the worst team in football, Denver is the worst team that shouldn’t have a losing record. At 0-3, the Broncos — now under defensive guru head coach Vic Fangio — have zero sacks and zero forced turnovers.
Battle-tested Jacksonville got off the schneid with a 20-7 victory over Tennessee and has also faced the Chiefs and Texans. The Jags will be poised for the outright win. JAGUARS
Cowboys -3 at Saints: Dallas has won each of its games by at least 10 points and is averaging 32 points and 481 yards per game. And I love the balance with the Pokes.
I don’t believe New Orleans can keep up, especially with Dallas bringing a fierce pass-rush duo of DeMarcus Lawrence and Robert Quinn. COWBOYS
Last week: 4-2