The betting line for the Week 11 Monday Night Football game, Giants at Buccaneers, has Tampa Bay laying double digits on oddsboards. The Bucs look to snap an uncharacteristic two-game losing streak, while the Giants go for their fourth-straight against-the-spread win.
NFL · Mon (11/22) @ 8:16pm ET
|Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida|
Giants (3-6, 5-4 ATS) at Bucs (6-3, 3-6 ATS)
PointsBet Line: Bucs -11.5 (49.5)
The skinny: Tampa Bay, still in first place in the NFC South despite losing its past two games, looks to regain its championship swagger against the well-rested Giants.
Facts: The Bucs are 3-1 ATS when favored by double-digits this year, but the lone defeat came last week after their bye in a 29-19 loss at Washington as a 10-point favorite.
The Bucs were 25-23 winners over the Giants at the Meadowlands at midseason last year in another Monday night game as a 12.5-point pick, overcoming a 14-3 deficit.
Tampa Bay had five sacks of Washington’s Taylor Heinicke last week and didn’t yield any, but still lost. Tampa Bay had a season-low 47 offensive snaps last week vs. WFT, largely the result of not getting off the field on defense. It allowed Washington 11 third-down conversions. One late drive lasted an outlandish 10:26, the second-longest in the league this season.
The Giants, off a bye, are expecting standout RB Saquon Barkley back. He’s missed the past four games with a high ankle sprain. Offensive tackle Andrew Thomas, who’s missed the past three games, is also expected to return. The team now awaits the return of WR Sterling Shepard (quad), but that’s unlikely this week.
Analysis: While the Giants are on the mend, Bucs QB Tom Brady’s receiving corps remains battered with WRs Antonio Brown (ankle, a non-participant Thursday who hasn’t played in more than a month) and Chris Godwin (foot, limited Thursday) both questionable. At least TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) is scheduled to return after sitting out three games.
Those injuries contributed to Brady throwing four INTs in the two recent losses, one more than he had the previous seven games. Then there’s the injury-ravaged Bucs secondary, too, and a not-so formidable rush defense these days.
In the final analysis, these seem like a lot of points to give to a team that’s benefited from the healing powers of a week off. DraftKings and FanDuel had this number at Bucs -10.5, but PointsBet had it a full point higher at -11.5 as of Friday morning. The Giants are also upbeat over their 23-16 win over Las Vegas two weeks ago, and they are only 1.5 games out of a playoff spot.
Giants at Bucs Pick
Bucs 28, Giants 23
Last week: 4-10 ATS, 4-9-1 SU
Season total: 71-76-3 (.483) ATS; 89-60-1 (.597) SU