The Chiefs are priced as large home favorites on oddsboards ahead of their Week 8 Monday night showdown against the Giants.
NFL · Mon (11/1) @ 8:15pm ET
|Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri|
Giants (2-5, 3-4 ATS) at Chiefs (3-4, 2-5 ATS)
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Caesars Sportsbook Line (current as of Friday’s writing): Chiefs -9.5 (52)
The skinny: Kansas City gets a break just before facing the meat-grinder portion of its schedule with a welcome visit from the Giants.
Facts: K.C. was a 13-point choice on look-ahead lines offered a week advance of kickoff, but that was before their 27-3 beatdown in Tennessee and the Giants’ 25-3 win over Carolina in Week 7. After those results, the game opened Chiefs -9.5 in Las Vegas last Sunday and bounced between 9.5 and 10 during early wagering. New York’s win over Carolina was its most lopsided at home since 2012, when the Giants trounced Philly 42-7 in Chief coach Andy Reid’s last game as Eagles boss.
Hmmmm, the Chiefs have allowed a league-high nine passes of 40-plus yards, as many as they yielded all last season. They’re also tied for the fewest sacks with eight. K.C.’s top RB, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, remains on IR (knee). He averaged 4.7 yards a carry in his five games. All other running backs have a combined norm of 3.4. Kansas City is on a 3-14-1 ATS run dating back to last season.
Giants QB Daniel Jones is the team’s leading rusher in the wake of RB Saquon Barkley’s knee and ankle issues this season. With regard to that, the opposing QB has led his team in rushing against Chiefs three times this season, a league high.
In the most recent meeting between these clubs, in 2017, the Chiefs and Reid, whose teams routinely excel after byes, were 12-9 losers in the Meadowlands as 10-point favorites to a 1-8 Giants team.
Analysis: The Chiefs are indeed having a miserable season by their standards, but their losses have been to teams that have a combined mark of 18-8. The Giants were buoyed last week by getting to play against backup QB P.J. Walker for much of the game. He went 3-for-14.
Turnover-prone QB Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs better take care of business here, or they could be doomed to watch the playoffs on TV, considering up next are three straight games against division leaders — Green Bay, Las Vegas, and Dallas, who are a combined 17-4.
Pick: Chiefs 34, Giants 19
Last week: 5-7-1 ATS, 9-4 SU
Season total: 58-46-3 (.558) ATS; 72-35 (.673)