Giants vs. Cowboys Odds & Prediction: Take This Side on NFL Thanksgiving Day

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The New York Giants are scheduled to travel to face the Dallas Cowboys in the second of three Thanksgiving Day games in Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season.

The Cowboys were listed as a 7-point favorite last week. Now, the spread ranges from 9-9.5 points at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet.

Let’s take a look at our Giants vs. Cowboys odds on NFL Thanksgiving Day, as well as a prediction.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Here are NFL Thanksgiving Day odds from around the sports betting marketplace.

NY Giants vs DAL Cowboys Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Thu (11/24) @ 4:30pm ET

NY Giants at DAL Cowboys
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

Bet Giants vs. Cowboys at DraftKings: Up to $1,250 Bonus

Giants vs. Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day

This will be the Giants’ first trip to Dallas on Thanksgiving in 30 years when they entered as a 15-point underdog and lost to the Super Bowl-bound Cowboys, 30-3. No other Turkey Day game in Dallas has had that big a spread.

The Cowboys will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak on this holiday — all as a favorite. Last year, Las Vegas ended a three-game losing streak by toppling the Cowboys 36-33 as a 7-point dog. That was Dallas’ biggest upset loss on this holiday since falling to Miami in 1993 by 16-14 as a 9.5-point pick.

The Cowboys (7-3 straight up/7-3 against the spread) enter Thursday’s game riding a high from their 40-3 victory over the Vikings in Minnesota on Sunday as a 2-point choice. It’s the most lopsided win for any team this season. Dallas held the Vikings to 183 yards and sacked QB Kirk Cousins seven times. He had been dragged down only 20 times in Minnesota’s previous nine games.

Last season, though, Dallas twice had victories by 40 points or more and in both instances lost the next week, including 25-22 at home to Arizona as a 6.5-point pick in Week 17.

The victory over the Vikings helped ease some of the anguish from a week earlier when the Cowboys blew a 14-point fourth-quarter lead in a 31-28 overtime loss to fast-fading Green Bay.

The Giants (7-3 SU/7-3 ATS), behind rookie coach Brian Daboll, opened the season at +15000 to win the Super Bowl and then won seven of their first nine games. But last week, New York was staggered by Detroit in the Meadowlands, a 31-18 defeat as a 4.5-point favorite.

Giants vs. Cowboys Odds & Prediction: Take This Side on NFL Thanksgiving Day
Dallas RB Tony Pollard and QB Dak Prescott should be celebrating on Thanksgiving in our Giants vs. Cowboys odds & prediction. (AP Photo/Stacy Bengs)

NYG not only had a minus-3 turnover disadvantage but Detroit had a 17-yard edge in average starting field position (40-23), only the fifth time this season a team had a launch-point norm at the 40 or better.

In the Week 3 meeting between Dallas and NYG in the Meadowlands, it was much the same, with the Cowboys having a 15-yard edge when starting drives (36-21). That was backup QB Cooper Rush’s second straight win in relief of injured Dak Prescott.

Prescott is fine now and has guided the Cowboys to three wins in his four starts since suffering the right thumb injury that kept him out of five games. Against Minnesota, he was 22-for-25 passing (88%) for 276 yards and two scores.

RB Tony Pollard has thrived as the team’s go-to RB the past month, averaging 6.5 yards a carry and 102 yards in his past four outings. This week, he’ll get to go against a rush defense that allows 5.3 yards a carry, the second-worst in the league.

On the Giants’ side, QB Daniel Jones is having the best season in his four-year career, but that’s not saying much. He ranks 19th on the QB chart (passer rating) and in that Week 3 game vs. Dallas had his worst game of the year (57.9 rating).

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Giants vs. Cowboys NFL Thanksgiving Day Prediction

It seems the Giants are wearing down while the Cowboys have picked up a head of steam, with owner Jerry Jones all of a sudden talking Super Bowl.

In addition to Pollard and Prescott, WR CeeDee Lamb is drawing raves (150 yards, a career-best versus the Packers), plus RB Ezekiel Elliott is back in action after missing time with a knee injury.

Dallas’ defense, led by Micah Parsons (knee/ankle, probable), just held the Vikings and their potent offense to less than 200 yards. There have been only eight games this year in which a team didn’t reach that plateau.

Speaking of wearing down, is that what’s happening to Giants RB Saquon Barkley? Two weeks ago, he had a career-high 35 carries in a win versus Houston. But last week had only 22 yards on 15 carries against the league’s worst defense. He’s only 48 carries from matching his most in a season with seven games still remaining.

Adding to New York’s woes is that rookie WR Wan’Dale Robinson, who had 100 reception yards last week, is out with a torn ACL. And starting CB Adoree’ Jackson will sit out with an MCL sprain.

And one more thing: NYG Coach Daboll will be working on an extra short week combined with travel halfway across the country. Dating to 2014, first-year bosses on three days’ prep time and going against a coach with more experience (veteran Mike McCarthy) are 4-25 SU/7-22 ATS. Already this year, three rookie bosses — Miami’s Mike McDaniel, Denver’s Nathaniel Hackett, and Chicago’s Matt Eberflus — have gone a combined 0-3 SU/ATS.

Prediction: Cowboys 28, Giants 9

Also read: NFL Week 12 odds | Odds to make 2023 NFL playoffs

About the Author
Bob Christ

Bob Christ

Bob Christ, based in New Mexico, has been a gaming writer (primarily the NFL) for almost four decades, with his work appearing in publications/websites across North America. He's a big fan of the Arkansas Razorbacks, Philadelphia's Eagles and Phillies, and inexplicably the NHL's Winnipeg Jets.

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