Three weeks ago, the Minnesota Vikings (13-4) marched down the field and kicked a 61-yard field goal as time expired to edge the New York Giants (9-7-1) on Christmas Eve.
The two NFC teams now meet again in the second contest of Sunday’s NFL Wild Card tripleheader to try to stay alive in the playoffs.
There’s a lot to uncover in this matchup. Here, we break down the betting odds, props, and our prediction for Giants vs. Vikings.
Giants vs. Vikings Betting Lines: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total
The Vikes (between -162 and -175 on the moneyline as of Friday morning) are three-point home favorites versus New York, which you grab at as long as +145 at most legal US sports betting apps.
DraftKings bettors are leaning heavily on the Vikings to win both outright (55% of moneyline tickets) and against the spread (57% of spread tickets).
The Over/Under for the matchup is set at 48 points — the highest of any Wild Card contest this week. Here are the best Giants vs. Vikings odds from across the betting market:
NFL · Sun (1/15) @ 4:50pm ET
|U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN|
Giants vs. Vikings Betting News
The G-Men were a perennial bottomfeeder before first-time head coach Brian Daboll rolled in, having lost double-digit games in each of the past five seasons. New York is certainly feeling good about ending that postseason drought, but there’s still a lot more good football that needs to be played.
The Giants started the season hot only to falter down the stretch. They started 7-2, but then won just two of their last eight contests. Fortunately, their early success was good enough to clinch a playoff berth, and they now face a Vikings team that many people argue is fraudulent.
Saquon Barkley and the running game will be the driving force for the Giants. New York ranks fourth in the NFL in rushing (148.2 yards per game), and has run for a touchdown in each of their last 15 games. Barkley totaled 133 yards from scrimmage with a touchdown against the Vikes three weeks ago.
The passing attack is the weaker part of this offense, though Daniel Jones is having the best of his career. He’s slinging the ball at a 67.2% clip (sixth-highest in the league) and has a QBR of 60.7 (seventh-highest in the league). Jones also had one of his best outings against Minnesota, throwing for more than 300 yards and leading the Giants to 24 points.
The NFL world is split on the Vikings. One side says you shouldn’t trust Minnesota because their games are too close and because Kirk Cousins succumbs to the pressure of being in a primetime contest. On the other hand, you should trust Minnesota because they close games and because they have one of the best offenses in the league.
The story of the Vikings this season has been this: When they win, they win close. When they lose, they get whipped off the field. 11 of their 13 victories were by one score. Their four losses have all been by double-digits, including two defeats by at least 24 points.
The Vikings, like the Giants, started off very hot, going 8-1 through the first nine games. Then, the team hosted the Dallas Cowboys, who beat Minnesota down, 40-3. Their other two losses were on the road, though they performed well enough this year to clinch the NFC North title.
The offense is loaded with star talent, but the shiniest star has been Justin Jefferson, who has put together one of the most impressive seasons for a wide receiver ever. He’s widely regarded as the best receiver in football and has been great enough to act as two receivers in one.
Outside of Jefferson, though, there hadn’t been a secondary receiving option on the team. That’s when tight end T.J. Hockenson made his way to Minnesota via trade in the middle of the season and has already been a return on investment. Against the Giants in the first go-around, he hauled in a career-high 13 catches for 109 yards and two touchdowns.
Minnesota’s undefeated streak in one-score games doesn’t bode well for a deep playoff run, though it may be valuable enough to win one last battle with the G-Men.
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Giants vs. Vikings Betting Trends
New York Giants
- The Giants are an NFL-best 13-4 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The Giants are 6-1 ATS on the road this season.
- The Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
- The Giants are 10-2 ATS as the underdog this season.
- The total has gone Under in nine of their 17 games this season.
- The total has gone Over in five of their last eight games.
- The Vikings are 7-9 ATS this season.
- The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
- The Vikings are 12-0 straight up (SU) as the favorite this season.
- The Vikings are 6-5 ATS as the favorite this season.
- The Vikings are 4-5 ATS at home this season.
- The total has gone Over in 11 of their 17 games this season.
- The total has gone Over in six of their last seven games.
Giants vs. Vikings Prediction
Both teams finished with negative point differentials in the regular season, yet still managed to clinch a playoff spot, so it’s hard to know if either team is legit. We might see the absolute worst or absolute best of each team come Sunday.
This contest has the highest point total in the Wild Card Round, but we still like the Over here. Six of Minnesota’s last seven games went Over, and five of the Giants’ last eight games went Over. These two teams combined for 51 points in their Week 16 matchup.
The spread is precisely three points across the board, which changes everything about how to assess this line. Minnesota beat the Giants by three points in Week 16 and is notorious for winning very close ball games. There’s a solid chance we see another three-point ending.
That being said, we still like the Vikings laying the points. They’re undefeated as the favorite (12-0), so you can be confident they’ll win outright, and none of their games have been decided by fewer than three points.
Jones played one of his best games ever against Minnesota, and we don’t expect a non-thrower like him to replicate that kind of performance on a playoff stage.
Meanwhile, the Vikes ran for just 83 yards on offense that game, led by Dalvin Cook with 64. Cook and the running game are capable of much more than that and should rebound against a Giants defense that allows the sixth-most yards on the ground (144.2 per game).
The worst-case scenario is the bet pushes and while that may be an anticlimactic finish after monitoring this bet for over three hours of play, it should put you in a win-draw scenario that shouldn’t result in a loss. Sometimes, not losing is a win.
Your best bet is actually to take Minnesota’s alternate spread of -2.5, which you can find at many sportsbooks, including DraftKings.
The Pick: Minnesota Vikings -3
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Giants vs. Vikings Broadcast and Game Day Information
- Game Day: Sunday, Jan. 15, 2023
- Game Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium | Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Channel: FOX