Golf Betting Odds: Will the Next FedEx Cup Champion Be a Longshot?

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While we’re waiting for the PGA Tour to land in Maui for the Tournament of Champions the first week of January, there’s still a futures bet or two we want to consider.

We’re going to spend a little time (and money) on action that will let bettors track their favorite golfers throughout the rest of the 2022-2023 wraparound season.

On the face of it, this bet seems simple. But in reality there are a lot of nuances we need to factor in.

Here’s the bet: Who will win the 2022-2023 FedEx Cup title? Like we said, it sounds simple. But with so many choices it’s going to be like a regular-season tournament and come down to who gets hot at the right time.

In looking at past winners it seems like the choices should be easy as the last few winners have all been big names. Last year’s winner was Rory McIlroy. And, if you look at the odds for this year (McIlroy is at +550), there’s no doubt he’s going to be in the conversation again this year.

Overall, he’s a three-time winner of the FedEx Cup as he wins every three years. He won in 2016, 2019 and then again this past season.

Can he break that cycle and go back-to-back? Well, in PGA Tour parlance, that’s the $18 million question … the amount the winner will pocket.

Your Guide to Golf’s Top Events: The Open Odds | The Masters Odds | PGA Championship Odds | US Open Odds

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Odds to Win FedEx Cup Title

Odds to Win FedEx CupFanDuel
Rory McIlroy+550
Jon Rahm+800
Scottie Scheffler+800
Justin Thomas+1200
Xander Schauffele+1200
Patrick Cantlay+1200
Collin Morikawa+1600
Tony Finau+2000
Viktor Hovland+2000
Will Zalatoris+2000
Sam Burns+2700
Cameron Young+2700
Tom Kim+2900
Sungjae Im+2900
Jordan Spieth+3300
Hideki Matsuyama +3300

It All Starts at the Top

It’s easy to look at McIlroy as the obvious choice, but at +550 it’s a tough sell to those looking for a great payday. If you’re looking for a solid investment, that number works. But if you’re looking to really cash in, look elsewhere.

We can’t rule him out for the simple fact he’s already got a win in this wraparound season, and is No. 9 on the FedEx Cup list with a lot of golf remaining.

A quick glance at the players in front of him show why he’s the favorite. Seven of the eight players ahead of him already have three starts in the wraparound season with Tony Finau the exception with just two starts.

McIlroy has just one start and one victory at the CJ Cup. Last year at this time he had two starts and one victory–again, at the CJ Cup. A lot of people don’t watch reruns on television but the way McIlroy’s game and attitude have hit high gear over the last six months, watch out. This could be a movie we have seen before and could see again and again.

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One for Longshot Bettors

Keep an eye on Tom Kim at +2900. Sure, he’s new on the scene but the bright lights have only invigorated his game. He’s already got two victories on Tour and also was over-the-top stellar in the Presidents Cup.

Tom Kim is among the longshots that could contend for the 2022-23 FedEx Cup title. (AP Photo/David Becker)

He’s fourth in the FedEx Cup standings in the early going and is doing his best Sungjae Im impression as he seems to be playing anywhere and everywhere the PGA Tour tees it up.

He’s got four starts in this season with a win in Vegas. He also won in his rookie season in the 2021-2022 wraparound season. In his 15 total starts on the PGA Tour, he has the two wins along with five top-15 finishes.

Pressure? Not for this young man.

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Just a Little Further Down the List

If you’re looking for a name with great odds that just might sneak into the race, look no further than Seamus Power at +4100.

Now if you’re saying ‘who?,’ it’s a given you haven’t been paying close enough attention to the early events this season. In fact, Power is leading the FedEx Cup race as we get set to turn the calendar to 2023.

He’s been a very busy boy, and we’re sure he’s not too happy with this break the Tour is on for the holiday season. The reason? He’s played in six events in the early going of the wraparound season.

His start was OK, but nothing to write home about as he had a missed cut to go along with a T-30 and a T-49. But then, something clicked over his last three starts. He ended the season with a win, a T-3 and a T-5 in his final three events.

Power should be more than ready to go once he hits Maui in 2023, and bettors might want to jump on that bandwagon right now before his odds start to drop.

Also read: Longshots who can win Majors in 2023 | McIlroy, Rahm Lead Odds to Win Major in 2023

About the Author
Bill Bowman

Bill Bowman

Writer
Bill Bowman is a Las Vegas-based writer who has more than 45 years of experience in the sports-writing industry. He's spent the past 20-plus years covering the golf scene, including 10 years as a writer and editor with VegasGolfer Magazine. Bowman also contributes to the GolfNow Network of websites and Las Vegas Golf Insider.

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