The venue changes for Game 3 of the AL Division Series between the Yankees and Guardians. On Saturday, the two team, knotted at one game each, will meet in Cleveland. Series odds still have the Yankees favored despite a loss in Game 2.
The Guardians got aggressive baserunning from superstar Jose Ramirez, and a few singles to plate two runs in the tenth inning, providing the margin of victory in a 4-2 win. Whichever team can win two of the next three will advance to the AL Championship Series.
DraftKings Sportsbook has the Guardians at -105 to win Game 3, with the Yanks at -115. Series odds still have Cleveland as the underdogs: you can get +140 for the Guardians to win the series from Caesars. The Yanks are -160. This despite the Yankees offensive struggles this series: only six runs in two games. Slugger Aaron Judge, who set an AL record with 62 home runs, is 0-for-8 with seven strikeouts.
Caesars prices the Yankees at +650 to win the 2022 World Series. That changed from +525 before the ALDS. Cleveland is listed at +1600 (previously +2500 before the team won Game 2).
Odds on the Yankees to win the AL pennant are +225 from DraftKings, +240 from BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel.
Guardians vs. Yankees, Game 3 ALDS
We have the odds for the American League Division Series, Game 3, Saturday, Oct. 15:
Guardians vs. Yankees Pitching Matchup, Game 3 ALDS
Luis Severino (7-3, 3.18 ERA, 112 K) vs. Triston McKenzie (11-11, 2.96 ERA, 190 K)
The last time we saw Triston McKenzie on the mound in the playoffs, he pitched six shutout innings against Tampa Bay in Cleveland’s Game 2 win in the Wild Card round. McKenzie looked like mini-Pedro Martinez that night, striking out eight batters and commanding the strike zone. If he pitches near that level on Saturday, the Yankee lineup will flail and fail.
Will the moment be too much for Severino? The Yankee righthander finished the regular season with a flourish, but he’s never been impressive in the playoffs. On Oct. 3, Severino pitched seven no-hit innings against the Rangers in his final start of the regular season, but that was nearly two weeks ago. Will he be rusty or too strong? We’ll find out, and the Guardians will use their typical plan: slap the ball, level it up, and put it in play. Teams rarely steal off Severino (1-for-5 in SB attempts in 2022), so the G’s will need to be wary of the running game.
Hardly any player on Cleveland has faced Severino: the Yankee starter hasn’t faced Cleveland since 2018.
Cleveland Guardians Jose Ramirez runs to third base during Game 2 of an American League Division baseball series against the New York Yankees, Friday, Oct. 14, 2022, in New York. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)
Yankees, Guardians ALDS Game 3 Prediction
Aaron Judge has to hit eventually, doesn’t he? The Cleveland pitching staff seems to have made a deal with the devil. It’s not like they aren’t challenging the 62-homer slugger: Judge has fanned seven times in two games. Throughout 2022 and 2021, Judge never struck out that many times in consecutive games. If Cleveland keeps throwing pitches in and around the plate to Judge, he’s bound to smack one of them where the ticket-holders are resting their butts.
We like the Yankees to find enough offense to peck peck peck and finally POP something over the fence. Cleveland is hardly a threat with the bats this postseason: eight runs in four games.
GAME 3 PICK:
New York Yankees -1.5 (+155 from BetMGM Sportsbook)
MLB BETTING PROMO CODE: Up to $1,000 No-Sweat First Bet from FanDuel