Hawks vs. Heat Predictions, Odds, Props: Which Team Will Punch Its Ticket to the NBA Playoffs?

The NBA Play-In Tournament has arrived, which means we are one step closer to the NBA Playoffs and crowning an NBA champion. We have the 7th place vs. 8th place matchup to start the festivities as the Atlanta Hawks will take on the Miami Heat. This should be an exciting game, and we are here to break down the Hawks vs. Heat predictions, odds, and props.

Both teams had high expectations coming in, but both finished outside the Eastern Conference Playoff picture and will have to battle their way in. Luckily, this is a win-and-in game, and the loser will have another chance against the loser of Bulls vs. Raptors.

This will be a fun game to watch, and for the bettors that have already been digging through the Hawks vs. Heat odds, we have got you covered with a full betting preview ahead of the NBA Play-In Round.

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Hawks vs. Heat: Moneyline, Point Spread, and Total

When you make your Hawks vs. Heat betting picks, make sure you know the odds and lines from each of the top sports betting apps available to you. Doing this will ensure you get the best number for your wager.

Here, we have included the up-to-date Hawks vs. Heat odds and lines from some of our top-rated mobile sportsbooks.

Hawks vs. Heat Betting News

The Hawks and the Heat finished over .500. However, they also had poor records ATS, with Miami being a brutal 30-49-3 ATS this season, including going 14-25-2 ATS at home. Conversely, the Hawks have not been much better, going 36-45-1 ATS.

Even though Miami has beaten Atlanta in seven-straight home games, the Heat are giving points in this matchup (meaning they are playing as the favorite), and as we can see, Miami is one of the least profitable teams in the NBA. Atlanta’s injury report is filled with key names, as Bogdan Bogdanovic, Clint Capela, John Collins, Trae Young, and Dejounte Murray are all listed as day-to-day but are expected to suit up.

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Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

Before placing your Hawks vs. Heat wagers, make sure you check out some of the top betting trends between these two teams. This will show you how teams fare against each other, as well as how well they have done covering the spread as of late.

The trends won’t always play out every night, but keeping an eye on them is a good way to become a more profitable sports bettor and will give you a better idea of why the Hawks vs. Heat odds are set the way they are.

Atlanta Hawks

• Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games
• The total has gone Over in five of Atlanta’s last five games
• Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last six games against Miami
• Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last five road games

Miami Heat

• The total has gone Over in five of Miami’s last five games
• The total has gone Over in seven of Miami’s last seven home games
• Miami is 4-1 SU in its last five games
• The total has gone Under in eight of Miami’s last 10 games against Atlanta

Hawks vs. Heat Prop Bets

Here, we will include some of our favorite Hawks vs. Heat prop bets. The odds and lines for each prop bet are certain to change within every mobile sportsbook, so make sure you are scanning the board for the best numbers for your wager.

Doing that will also allow you to locate each sports betting app’s special promotions sections, which are full of plus-value props for the NBA postseason.

Trae Young Over 33.5 Points + Assists (-120, DraftKings)

Although Young’s shooting numbers took a dip this season, he is still putting up 26.2 points per game on 33.5% shooting from deep. Part of this is because of the offseason acquisitions to make the offense more balanced around Young and beef up the defense.

While the defense still stinks, Atlanta again is one of the most explosive offenses in basketball, and for the first time in his career, Young is putting up double-digit assists per game. As a team, Atlanta ranks 18th in assists per game (25.0), but they shoot the ball well, ranking ninth in shooting percentage (48.3%) and first in made field goals per game (44.6).

Atlanta is not an effective team, but given that Young is seventh in usage rate this season, he will get his shots up and be the one dishing the ball and creating open buckets. Miami’s defense is tough, but they will not be good enough to knock Young off his game.

Jimmy Butler To Record A Double-Double (+235, DraftKings)

Even though Butler is not a great passer and is overshadowed as a rebounder while being on the same team as Bam Adebayo, his second-to-last double-double of the season came against these same Atlanta Hawks fresh off a double-double two nights prior against… the Atlanta Hawks.

For as much size as Atlanta has, they only rank 18th in rebounds per game (51.2), allow 26.0 assists per game, and allow 10.6 offensive rebounds per game (17th in the NBA). On the year, Butler has become a much better shooter, and he is averaging a career-high 2.2 offensive rebounds per game.

He may not be as athletic and is showing signs of slowing down, but Butler and the Heat rise to the occasion in the postseason, and with this much value tied to this prop, it is too good to pass up.

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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction

According to our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Hawks vs. Heat odds have Atlanta sitting as the underdog. However, the Hawks have experience in the NBA Play-In Tournament, beating the Hornets in the No.9 vs. No. 10 game last season and then knocking off the Cavaliers in the No. 8 seed game to clinch a playoff berth.

The No. 7 seed has never lost this game, and with the way Miami and Butler are playing right now, it is hard to imagine a team as poor on defense as Atlanta can stop them. Miami has the worst scoring offense of the remaining teams in the NBA, but they might have one of the best defenses, thanks to its incredible length and athletism. It also helps that Atlanta’s defense is 26th in scoring (118.1), 29th in points in the paint (54.7), and 25th in shooting percentage (48.6%).

The Heat should have no issues scoring on this defense, and although Atlanta’s offense is going to have a tough challenge, they put up the most shots out of anyone in the league, which gives them more opportunities to score. With the trends supporting it, we will ride with the game going over the total.

Pick: Over 226.5 via DraftKings

How To Watch Hawks vs. Heat

Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023

Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET 

Location: Kaseya Center — Miami, FL

Where to Watch: TNT