Knicks vs. Heat Game 5 Predictions, Odds, Props: NY Staring at Elimination at Home

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The New York Knicks got sizzled by the Miami Heat in two straight games in South Beach. The series now goes back to the Big Apple, where the Knicks look to avoid elimination, while the Heat try to put the finishing touches on the series en route to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Bettors can keep scrolling for a look at the latest Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 odds, props, and predictions as they prepare to wager on this showdown in the NBA Playoffs.

More hoops: Odds to win 2023 NBA Finals | NBA Playoff betting lines

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Despite carrying a 3-1 lead, the Heat are 3.5-point road underdogs across the sports betting market as of Wednesday morning. Miami -4 was available in earlier wagering.

The Heat are priced between +138 to +145 (DraftKings) on the moneyline to win Game 5. The Knicks’ moneyline odds range from -170 to -164 (Caesars).

Bettors cannot stop backing Miami, which has been the best betting pick in these playoffs by going 9-1 against the spread. About 76% of moneyline bets and 72% of spread bets at DraftKings are on the road team in Game 5.

The Over/Under total is set at 209.5 points.

Here are Game 5 point spreads, moneylines, and totals from the best sports betting apps in the US.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open

Updated Series Price for Heat vs. Knicks

For those considering grabbing the Knicks to come back and win the series (+525 to +625, per updated series odds) versus the Heat, know that only 13 teams in NBA history have pulled off such a feat. Teams with a 3-1 lead have gone on to win their series 95.3% of the time, putting Miami (-950 to -750) in a great spot.

Can Knicks guards Quentin Grimes (6) and Jalen Brunson (11) stave off elimination when New York faces the Heat Wednesday night? Check out the odds and our predictions for Game 5. (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

Heat vs. Knicks Betting News

Miami Needs One More Vintage Playoff Performance From Butler

It’s time we stop discounting the Heat because of their seeding and regular-season results in recent years. Miami has shown time and time again that you should never count it out come playoff time.

Jimmy Butler notched another do-it-all performance in Game 4, logging 27 points, six rebounds, and 10 assists to help his team take a commanding lead. If Devin Booker wasn’t putting up Michael Jordan-like numbers right now, then Butler would be receiving more adulation. Miami’s star guard has scored at least 25 in all eight playoff games this year. 

Bam Adebayo turned in what may have been his best performance of the postseason in Game 4 by logging 23 points, 13 rebounds, and a victory. He’s gotten his team in position to make the Eastern Conference Finals for the third time in four years.

We’d normally call a No. 8 seed making it this far a Cinderella ride, but we’ve seen this before with the Heat. They’ll look to close out the Knicks on Wednesday.

New York Needs Non-Big-Three Players to Step Up

The Knicks failed to steal a game on the road and find themselves staring elimination right in the face. To make matters worse, losing both road games was entirely their fault. New York never led in Game 3 and then held the lead for a combined 33 seconds in Game 4.

With a chance to tie the series at two-all, the Knicks crumbled, giving up seven offensive rebounds to the Heat in the fourth quarter after allowing just six through the first three quarters.

New York cannot make a three-pointer to save its season. The Knicks are shooting just 28.2% from behind the arc, with RJ Barrett being the only player making at least 32% of them.

Already with their backs against the wall, the Knicks desperately need a player outside the Big Three to rack up some points. No role player totaled 10 or more points in Game 4. The bench went 0-for-5 of three-point shots and combined for just 10 points.

Immanuel Quickley is doubtful for Wednesday’s contest with an ankle sprain, leaving New York with even less to work with as they hope to avoid a second-round exit.

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

Heat

  • The Heat are 39-51-3 ATS this season (8-1 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Heat are 22-37-3 ATS as the favorite, 17-14 ATS as the underdog
  • The Heat are 19-26-2 ATS at home, 19-25-1 ATS on the road
  • The Heat are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 48-45 on the Over in Heat games

Knicks

  • The Knicks are 48-39-4 ATS this season (4-5 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Knicks are 23-20-2 ATS as the favorite, 25-19-2 ATS as the underdog
  • The Knicks are 20-22-3 ATS at home, 28-20-1 ATS on the road
  • The Knicks are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 45-44-2 on the Over in Knicks games

Read more: NBA Finals MVP odds

Heat vs. Knicks Game 5 Prediction

The Knicks can’t buy a bucket, whereas the Heat are getting contributions from all around the roster. The only game that Miami lost in the series was when Butler didn’t play, but he should be a full go Wednesday night and will give New York the work. Back the underdog for a sweet payout.

Pick: Heat ML (+145 via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Heat vs. Knicks Series Props

Whether you’re seeking a 48-minute sweat or a wager that potentially spans weeks, sportsbooks have you covered. NBA fans can wager on prop bets for both Game 5 and the series, and here are a few that might interest you, along with the best price from the top US sports betting apps for each bet. 

Correct Series Score

  • Heat win series, 4-2: +150 (FanDuel)
  • Heat win series, 4-1: +145 (DraftKings)
  • Knicks win series, 4-3: +550 (multiple sportsbooks)
  • Heat win series, 4-3: +900 (DraftKings)

Series Exact Games

  • 5 games: +130 (FanDuel)
  • 6 games: +160 (DraftKings)
  • 7 games: +325 (DraftKings)

Series Spread

  • Heat -1.5: -400 (multiple sportsbooks)
  • Knicks +1.5: +310 (DraftKings)

Alternate Series Spread

  • Heat -2.5: +132 (FanDuel)
  • Knicks +2.5: -162 (FanDuel)

Series Total Games O/U

  • Over 6.5: +275 (BetMGM)
  • Under 6.5: -375 (BetMGM)

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How to Watch Heat vs. Knicks Game 5

  • Game Day: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Madison Square Garden | New York, New York
  • Channel: TNT

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About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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