Indiana vs. Michigan State Betting Odds, Trends, Picks: Back Road Underdog in Big Ten Showdown

A huge Big Ten college basketball battle tips off at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday night, as the No. 17 – ranked Indiana Hooisers take on the Michigan State Spartans. This game could have major implications in Big Ten Tournament seeding, which means we are in store for a great game. To help those trying to pick a side, we are here to break down the Indiana vs. Michigan State odds, trends, and betting picks.

Indiana is coming off a tight three-point victory over Illinois that saw them come back from a double-digit deficit in the second half. With that win, the Hooisers move to 2.5 games back of Purdue for the top spot in the Big Ten standings and third overall, just behind Northwestern.

On the other side, Michigan State is coming off a 12-point loss to Michigan, but as is the theme of this program, they were competitive until the end, and they are always a tough team to beat.

Tonight should be a great night in college basketball, especially when Indiana vs. Michigan State tips off. If you are looking to place a legal sports wager on this game, we have you covered with our best Indiana vs. Michigan State pick.

Indiana vs. Michigan State Betting Odds: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline

If you plan to place an Indiana vs. Michigan State bet, we advise you to check out several of the top US sportsbooks so you can get the best odds and lines for your bets, while you shop for the best sportsbook welcome bonus.

Here are the up-to-date odds and lines for Indiana vs. Michigan State.

Indiana vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Indiana

• The total has gone UNDER in five of Indiana’s last six games
• Indiana is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games against Michigan State
• Indiana is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games at Michigan State
• The total has gone UNDER in five of Indiana’s last five road games

Michigan State

• Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games
• The total has gone UNDER in six of Michigan State’s last nine games
• The total has gone UNDER in five of Michigan State’s last five home games
• The total has gone UNDER in five of Michigan State’s last six games played in February

Indiana Hooisers (19-8, 13-13-1 ATS)

Indiana is playing great basketball right now, and the Hoosiers are doing it on both ends of the court. Offensively, they are putting up 75.8 points per game, have the fifth-best shooting percentage in the country (49.2%), and are ranked inside the top-35 in KenPom’s Adjusted Offensive and Defensive Efficiency ratings.

On the offensive side of the court, the Hooisers rely on Trayce Jackson-Davis for a little bit of everything. He is putting up 20.5 points and 11.3 rebounds per game, and he plays a significant role in Indiana’s production around the rim. They are 11th in points per possession in the paint, and that might be the key, as Michigan State’s lack of size and strength down low has been evident all season.

While they do not shoot the three-ball often, they are efficient, and they have a stable of good shooters around Jackson-Davis in Jalen Hood-Schifino, Xavier Johnson, Tamar Bates, and Miller Kopp, but Michigan State’s defense is ranked 15th in opponents’ three-point percentage, and they allow only 6.8 made threes per game. The Hooisers will feed the ball in the paint and take advantage of a weak spot in an otherwise strong Spartans defense.

Defensively, Indiana allows only 67 points per game, and like Michigan State, they are good at defending outside the paint. However, with Jackson-Davis, they also have a presence inside that should give Indiana many easy points and rebounds, as Michigan State ranks 258th in rebounding percentage.

Michigan State (16-10, 13-13 ATS)

As a whole, Michigan State is still a solid team despite its inconsistency. The Spartans are competitive in the majority of games they play, despite what the final score reads. However, they have been unable to seal the deal against good teams, which is due to their lack of an inside presence.

Starting center Mady Sissoko is pulling in just 6.3 rebounds per game, which is behind Joey Hauser for the team lead. Sissoko is an undersized center at 6’9″ and 240 pounds. While Jackson-Davis is not a big body, he carries himself as one, and if Michigan State fails to cut into Indiana’s rebounding numbers, this game can get ugly fast.

Defensively, they rank 27th in KenPom’s Adjusted Defensive Efficiency rating, and they are good at defending the three-ball, but when they take on a team that can beat you up in the paint, they struggle mightily.

The problem for the Spartans is that they don’t have much going for them on offense. While Hauser, Tyson Walker, and Jaden Akins are all shooting above 38% from three, Michigan State is knocking down just 6.9 threes per game, and they are not much better inside the three-point line either.

Again, this is a veteran team with a coach who knows how to coach and win big games, especially at home. However, this will be a tough matchup for them, and if they don’t have a good game from their big men, the Hooisers can run away with this one.

Indiana vs. Michigan State Betting Pick

We are rocking with Indiana in this game, if you cannot tell by now. Both teams have not been profitable teams ATS, but with the Hooisers getting points, there is a lot of value in taking Indiana in this spot. 

Not only does Indiana have a better offense and defense, but they shoot the ball better than Michigan State, and they are much better in the paint, where the Hooisers will dominate this game. Even if Jackson-Davis has an off night, Michigan State’s offense is not dangerous enough from anywhere on the floor to be concerned. 

Pick: Indiana +3 via DraftKings Sportsbook

How To Watch Indiana vs. Michigan State

Date: Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023

Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET

Location: Breslin Center – East Lansing, MI

Where to Watch: ESPN