Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Predictions, Odds, Props: Christian Pulisic, Milan Underdogs in Milan Derby

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Something will have to give in Serie A on Saturday as USMNT star Christian Pulisic’s AC Milan takes on Inter Milan at San Siro.

Both the Milan squads are undefeated through three matches, and oddsmakers consider them the favorites to win the league (Inter are currently , while Milan are ) after Inter finished last season in third place on 72 points, just ahead of fourth-place Milan (70).

In Gaming Today’s breakdown of Inter Milan vs. AC Milan predictions, odds, and props, we go over what to expect from the battle between the Serie A favorites.

Betting Odds for Saturday’s Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Match

Here are Inter Milan vs. AC Milan betting lines available on top sports betting apps. The odds here reflect the three-way moneyline, where a bet on either team to win is a loss if the game is tied after 90 minutes. Inter is favored to win at . Milan are the underdogs at . The draw is currently set at .

Also read: Premier League Golden Boot odds | Premier League team futures odds Champions League futures odds

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Inter Milan Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Manager Simone Inzaghi’s side are off to a strong start domestically after finishing third in ’22-23 while also reaching the Champions League final. Inter have dominated all three of their Serie A matches to date, winning them by a combined score of 8-0. They’ve had no trouble generating — or finishing — scoring chances. And more impressively, they’ve notched three shutouts on a combined xGA (expected goals allowed) of just 1.8 in three games.

Inzaghi’s 3-5-2 lineup was stingy throughout this team’s run to last year’s UCL final, which included a semifinal win over AC Milan (3-0 aggregate). Inter’s defense has also been outstanding so far this year, with center backs Alessandro Bastoni, Stefan de Vrij, and Matteo Darmian holding up well in front of keeper Yann Sommer.

Over the summer, Inter lost several key pieces, including keeper Andre Onana, center back Milan Skriniar, midfielder Marcelo Brozovic, and striker Romelu Lukaku. They responded by acquiring forward Marcus Thuram from Bundesliga side Monchengladbach and center back Benjamin Pavard. Pavard, a late-summer signing, is yet to make his Inter debut, but Thuram has started up top alongside Lautaro Martinez and has been effective, with one goal and two assists.

Inter are one of the few teams in any league to have started the same XI in all three matches. One of the biggest questions for Saturday’s game is whether Inzaghi inserts Pavard into the lineup or sticks with the Bastoni-de Vrij-Darmian back line.

Inter has faced Milan four times in 2023 — twice in the Champions League, once in the Supercoppa, and once in Serie A — winning all four, with seven goals scored and 0 allowed.

Injuries

Inter Milan do not have any key players who are expected to miss this match due to injury.

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AC Milan Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Christian Pulisic and AC Milan are underdogs against Inter Milan in the Milan Derby.
Christian Pulisic and AC Milan are underdogs against Inter Milan in the Milan Derby. (AP Photo/Ashley Landis)

With Pulisic (two goals) and veteran Olivier Giroud (four goals) leading a potent attack, Milan have enjoyed an impressive start to the season. Manager Stefano Pioli’s team opened the campaign with wins over Bologna and Torino.

In their toughest test to date, on the road against Roma on Sept. 1, Milan played their best game of the season, beating Jose Mourinho’s club, 2-1. A 92nd-minute goal by Roma prevented Milan from notching a 2-0 shutout, but they controlled the match from the start, with a ninth-minute goal via a Giroud PK and a Rafael Leão tally in the 48th, putting them in the driver’s seat for the rest of the match. Roma (0-1-2) are off to a rough start to the season, but a decisive victory at the home of a team that reached last year’s Europa League final shouldn’t be dismissed.

Inter, however, will easily be Milan’s toughest test of the season. Milan’s midfield struggled at times against Bologna in the opener but looked better against Torino and Roma. That group, which features Pulisic’s USMNT teammate Yunus Musah, faces a tough test on Saturday. Inter wingbacks Denzel Dumfries (one goal, one assist) and Federico Dimarco (two assists) both contribute to the attack, and Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, and Nicolò Barella are all solid in the middle of the pitch. If Milan’s midfield of Rade Krunić, Tijjani Reijnders, and Ruben Loftus-Cheek can hold up, Milan have a great chance to pull the upset, even with Giroud’s status for Saturday uncertain.

Injuries

Giroud could be limited or absent due to an ankle injury he suffered on international duty with France last week. His possible absence would be a big blow to Milan’s attack. Milan are also still without midfielder Ismael Bennacer, who is recovering from knee surgery over the summer. Center back Fikayo Tomori will miss this match due to suspension.

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Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Props

Below is a sampling of betting props for Inter Milan vs. AC Milan:

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

  • Marcus Thuram: +125
  • Lautaro Martinez: +145
  • Christian Pulisic: +260
  • Rafael Leao: +270
  • Hakan Çalhanoğlu: +330

Correct Score (FanDuel):

  • Inter Milan 1-0: +750
  • Inter Milan 2-0: +1000
  • Inter Milan 2-1: +800
  • AC Milan 1-0: +1100
  • AC Milan 2-0: +1700
  • AC Milan 2-1: +1100
  • 0-0: +1000
  • 1-1: +550

Total Goal Props (FanDuel):

  • Over 0.5 goals -1800, Under 0.5 goals: +1080
  • Over 1.5 goals -380, Under 1.5 goals: +290
  • Over 2.5 goals -116, Under 2.5 goals: -106
  • Over 3.5 goals +220, Under 3.5 goals: -290

Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Prediction: Inter Milan 2, AC Milan 2

This match feels too close to call. Given the rivalry between these teams, the fact it’s a home game for both sides and their current form, it’s hard to see either team losing right now. The biggest reason to question Inter is their easy early schedule, while Milan could struggle if they’re without both Timori and Giroud. Expect no shortage of offense, as both Milan keeper Mike Maignan and Inter’s Yann Sommer will be put to the test.

Here are a few bets available at DraftKings that are worth checking out:

  • Draw (+255)
  • Over 2.5 Goals (-115)
  • Tie With Goals (+290)
  • Double Chance — Tie or AC Milan (-140)

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Inter Milan vs. AC Milan Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Saturday, September 16, 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Siro

This match is available to stream on Paramount+.

About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Writer
Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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