Iowa vs Tennessee Odds, Prediction, Props: Vols Favored By a Touchdown in the Citrus Bowl

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The 2023 Citrus Bowl will feature the Iowa Hawkeyes and Tennessee Volunteers on Monday, Jan. 1 at 1 p.m. ET. If you want to bet on the Citrus Bowl odds, check out our Iowa vs. Tenessee odds, picks, and predictions.

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Iowa finished the regular season as Big Ten West champions and picked up their third 10-win season in the last six years. Meanwhile, Tennessee couldn’t build off last year’s success, finishing the season with an 8-4 record. 

According to the oddsmakers, the Vols will play as a point favorite with the total sitting at .

All the opt-outs and players hitting the transfer portal can make finding a Citrus Bowl best bet much tougher. Luckily, we have poured through the data and have come up with the best Citrus Bowl prediction for Iowa vs. Tennessee. 

 Read More: Bowl Game Opt-Outs Betting Guide | NCAAF Odds | CFP Championship Odds

Iowa vs. Tennessee Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Before placing your Citrus Bowl bets, check out the Iowa vs. Tennessee odds from our top-rated sports betting apps. This will ensure you get the best odds and lines for your bets on the Citrus Bowl spread, moneyline, and total. 

Iowa Hawkeyes (10-3, 6-6-1 ATS)

The Iowa Hawkeyes play a very boring style of football. However, they continued to rack up the wins and won their third Big Ten West title. They did so on the backs of one of the best defenses in the country. 

Iowa’s defense ranks in the top five in scoring (13.2), yards per game (274.2), yards per play (3.9), and yards per pass (5.0). They also are one of the best teams at getting third-down stops, and they have one of the best secondaries in the country, which could be the key to an Iowa victory. 

Tennessee will be without its top two rushers, and quarterback Joe Milton has opted out. This means the Vols will turn to five-star freshman Nico Iamaleava, and one would assume that Josh Heupel will let him loose as a preview of what he will do next season. 

With a top-tier defensive front seven, the Hawkeyes should be able to force a lot of third-and-longs, precisely the type of game they hope this turns out to be. The Hawkeyes’ offense is atrocious, so getting off the field on defense will be critical to Iowa’s Citrus Bowl odds. 

The Hawkeyes score only 16.6 points per game and rank towards the bottom in yards per play, rush, and pass. While Tennessee’s defense is very suspect, especially in the secondary, they should be able to contain Iowa’s attack. 

However, Tennessee has a lot of opt-outs and transfers to deal with. The Vols’ secondary will be short five players due to transfers. Iowa quarterback Deacon Hill has not been very good, but as long as the defense, which has mostly avoided any significant transfers or opt-outs, can get stops and give the offense short fields to work with, the Hawkeyes will have a shot to pull off a win. 

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Tennessee Volunteers (8-4, 6-6 ATS)

As mentioned above, Tennesee has a lot of opt-outs and transfers for the Citrus Bowl, especially on offense. They will be without leading rushers Jaylen Wright and Jabari Small, as well as Milton. Even though that is a harsh blow to Tennessee’s odds of winning this game, the Volunteer faithful will get their first real opportunity to watch the future of the team in Iamaleava.

In four games this season, Iamaleava has 163 passing yards and a touchdown. Obviously, the Vols were in complete control whenever Iamaleava would appear, so we have not seen what he can really do. 

Coming out of high school, teams fell in love with Iamaleava’s sensational arm talent and ability to make throws on the run. He is also an insane athlete, which should allow him to flourish in Heupel’s system. 

He will be the main story in this game. If his potential shows on the field, Tennesee should win this game fairly easily. Tennessee’s offense is astronomically better, and they should be in more situations to score. 

However, with a depleted roster going up against one of the best defenses in the country, there could also be some growing pains. The Vols will lean on Dylan Sampson and Cameron Seldon in the run game, both of whom are inexperienced. 

Even if the offense struggles to move the ball, the defense has one of its easiest opponents of the season. Iowa is returning pretty much everyone on offense outside of tight ends Erick All and Luke Lachey, but even if they did play, it would not help that much. 

The Hawkeyes do not move the ball well, and despite a bunch of transfers on defense for Tennessee, they should be able to contain an inefficient Iowa offense. 

Iowa vs. Tennessee Betting Trends

Iowa Hawkeyes

  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of Iowa’s last eight games. 
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of Iowa’s last six games when playing as the underdog. 
  • Iowa is 2-4 ATS in its last six games. 

Tennessee Volunteers

  • Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last six games. 
  • The total has gone OVER in four of Tennessee’s last six games. 
  • Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games when playing as the favorite. 

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Iowa vs. Tennessee Prediction: Bet This Side of the Citrus Bowl Total

The Iowa vs. Tennessee odds tell us the oddsmakers expect a rock fight. Typically, a game featuring Tennessee has shoot-out potential, but this Iowa defense loves to drag everyone into the mud and force them to play their style of football. 

If Iowa is going to win this game, it certainly won’t be because the offense does just enough. The Hawkeyes will need to force turnovers and get pretty much every third down stop they can get. Even though they have played some solid offenses this season, the Heupel Veer & Shoot is not something they prepare for very often. 

Luckily, they’re going up against an inexperienced quarterback. What makes Iowa’s defense so great is that they move around a lot and confuse the opposing quarterbacks pre-snap. With this being Iamaleava’s first start, they should be able to force a few turnovers or, at the very least, slow down this offense. 

Even if they cause some havoc, I don’t trust the Hawkeyes’ offense to reach the endzone. This should keep the game tight and for the Citrus Bowl to go under the total. 

Citrus Bowl Prediction: Under

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How To Watch Iowa vs. Tennessee

Date: Monday, Jan. 1, 2024

Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET

Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, FL

Where to Watch: ABC

About the Author
DJ Corrigan

DJ Corrigan

Writer
DJ Corrigan is a sports betting writer for Gaming Today and has been covering the world of wagering since his days at Ohio State University. Corrigan's love of betting the Over and chasing the hungry dogs has led him to a career crunching numbers with an emphasis on NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, and MLB betting.

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