The Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8 straight up, 9-9 against the spread) rallied back from 27 down to beat the Chargers in the Wild Card Round of the 2023 NFL Playoffs. Now, the Jags travel to Arrowhead to face Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (14-3 SU, 6-10-1 ATS) in the Divisional Round.
The stars are coming out in this potentially high-scoring affair, and we have a few Jaguars vs. Chiefs player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets that you should consider taking.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs Divisional Odds
The Chiefs (between -435 and -501 on the moneyline as of Friday morning) are 8.5- to 9-point home favorites against Jacksonville. Bettors can grab the underdog with odds ranging from +333 to +380.
Kansas City went 2-5-1 ATS at home and 5-9-1 ATS as the favorite this past regular season. The Jaguars, meanwhile, went 8-5 as the underdog.
The betting public is siding with the favorite in this one. The Chiefs have received 76% of moneyline tickets and 57% of spread tickets at DraftKings.
The Over/Under total for this matchup is set between 52.5 and 53 points on legal US sports betting apps — the highest of any Divisional Round contest.
NFL · Sat (1/21) @ 4:32pm ET
|Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri|
Player Props, Anytime TD Scorer Bets for JAX-KC AFC Divisional
Patrick Mahomes Over 310.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Oddsmakers are expecting Mahomes to throw a passing parade. Not one quarterback would be tasked with a prop total that high, except for Magic Mahomes, who has topped 310.5 yards in 10 of his 17 games this season, including nine of his last 12 games.
This is a highly favorable matchup for the Chiefs quarterback. Jacksonville allows the sixth-most yards through the air (239.3 per game) and just gave up 273 yards to Justin Herbert, who was missing deep threat wideout Mike Williams in the Wild Card match.
Mahomes has logged 313-plus yards passing in all three of his meetings with Jacksonville, averaging 340.7 per contest. He even posted 331 yards on the Jags in Week 9.
More analysis: Jaguars vs. Chiefs odds, prediction
Patrick Mahomes Longest Completion Over 38.5 Yards (-110, DraftKings & BetMGM)
When you pair Andy Reid’s play-calling with Mahomes’ cannon of an arm, you get big play after big play. The quarterback has connected on a pass of at least 39 yards in nine of last 12 appearances, and even led the NFL in passes of 40-plus yards (13) this past regular season.
This Saturday, we will see a ton of deep shots down the field, and at least one of them is bound to connect. The offense had a week off, so we should expect to see the receivers run wild with fresh legs.
Bookies Battle: Expert picks for Divisional Round
Jerrick McKinnon Anytime TD Scorer (+119, Caesars)
Jerrick McKinnon is listed as a running back, but he does most of his damage as a receiver, particularly in the scoring department. The Chiefs back has logged at least one touchdown in six straight games, including two scores in half of them.
Running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (ankle/IR) and wide receiver Mecole Hardman (pelvis) are going to sit out this matchup, giving McKinnon at least one more outing to seize most of the high-value touches in the backfield.
Later on Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles player props, anytime TD scorers