Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Odds, Props, Betting Tips: Exact Round Offers Big Payday

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Social media morphs into pay-per-view.

That’s the story behind YouTube superstar Jake Paul meeting Tommy Fury, the half-brother of WBC heavyweight boxing champion Tyson Fury, in a special Sunday attraction.

In legal sports betting states where the fight is offered by sportsbooks, Paul’s odds range -140 to -170 as the favorite. Fury has been hovering in the +110 to +145 underdog range.

Betting Odds on Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury From the Sportsbooks

Here are Paul vs. Fury odds from top sportsbooks. We always advise checking several sports betting apps for the best prices for your bets and the best sportsbook bonuses for your budget.

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Odds BOXING Odds

BOXING · Sun (2/26) @ 2:00 pm ET

Jake Paul at Tommy Fury
Diriyah Arena, Riyadh, SA

Paul vs. Fury Fight Details

The eight-round clash originates in Saudi Arabia and will be televised in the United States on ESPN+ Pay Per View.

Jake Paul, Tommy Fury
Jake Paul (left) is favored vs. Tommy Fury (right), according to odds where the fight is offered for betting (AP Photo)

Paul is 6-0 with four knockouts and no fights against a professional boxer. But he has been eight rounds twice and is now trained by Lawrence Okolie, the WBO cruiserweight champion.

Fury, 8-0 with four knockouts, has boxed for several years and had 12 amateur fights, but has not been past six rounds.

Where Can You Bet on Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury?

Gamblers can access the contest in limited markets.

Betting availability varies book-by-book and state-by-state, as operators need approval in each jurisdiction to offer wagering.
Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today the fight was available in six DraftKings markets as of Thursday:

If you can’t find the fight on your sports betting app, you probably live in a state that has yet to approve the bout for betting.

Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Prop Bets

For those able to wager this fight, here is a sample of moneyline wagers and prop possibilities from DraftKings:

Odds To Win

  • Paul: -180
  • Fury: +140

Paul vs. Fury Total Rounds Prop

  • Over 6.5: -150
  • Under 6.5: +115

To Go the Distance

  • Yes: -120
  • No: -110

Fight Outcome

  • Paul decision or technical decision: +180
  • Paul KO/TKO/DQ: +220
  • Draw: +1100
  • Fury decision or technical decision: +500
  • Fury KO/TKO/DQ: +280

Round Betting

  • Paul to win in round 1: +2200
  • Paul to win in round 2: +2000
  • Paul to win in round 3: +1600
  • Paul to win in round 4: +1400
  • Paul to win in round 5: +1400
  • Paul to win in round 6: +1600
  • Paul to win in round 7: +2000
  • Paul to win in round 8: +2200
  • Paul decision or technical decision: +180
  • Draw: +1100
  • Fury to win in round 1: +2800
  • Fury to win in round 2: +2500
  • Fury to win in round 3: +2000
  • Fury to win in round 4: +1800
  • Fury to win in round 5: +1800
  • Fury to win in round 6: +2000
  • Fury to win in round 7: +2500
  • Fury to win in round 8: +2800
  • Fury decision or technical decision: +550

Betting Tips: Paul vs. Fury Props Deserve A Deeper Look

The styles of the fighters point to the possibility of an Over, the fight going the distance, a draw, or a late stoppage, which would be sizable if a gambler selects the right round.

Breaking them down …

Length of Fight Props

The Over is -150, which is not attractive.

The fight to go the distance is -120. That is realistic, as these fighters have not been knockout artists.

A significant intangible, Fury’s four-inch reach advantage, could enhance this wager. If he uses the reach wisely, keeping Paul at bay with the jab, that tactic could lengthen the fight.

So could an alternate style he’s used in clutching and grabbing opponents that pressure him, holding on until the referee separates them.

If one believes the bout will go long, as both fighters’ record suggests, the fight to go the distance is far more playable than an Over. If you like the Under, +115 looks like a fair price.

Nailing The Exact Knockout Round Prop

In Paul’s last fight, an eight-round triumph over MMA star Anderson Silva, Paul had the stamina to drop Silva in the final round en route to a decision.

What if the same opportunity arrives here and his stamina is improved?

If he’s able to do that here and then finish, Paul winning in round eight returns a whopping +2200. One could apply that logic to any late-round prop here and score big if correct.

The fact that Fury hasn’t been beyond six and hasn’t fought since last April would further fuel optimism on the prop.

The Draw Prop

Another possibility is a draw.

For starters, the shorter the fight, the greater the chance of a standoff. Styles could enhance that possibility here.

If the fight goes the distance, and it’s a slow-moving, clutch-and-grab affair, anything is possible with the judges. Taking away the rhythm of a fight gives the judges fewer variables to separate the fighters, encouraging the chance of a draw.

If the fighters break even on close rounds, that also creates fewer rounds with a winner and thus increases the chance for a draw.

What Others Say

Most fighters quoted give Fury a small edge, and British promoter Eddie Hearn said Fury will stop Paul in two.

Oddsmakers don’t agree and have steadfastly kept Paul as the chalk.

Two Intangibles for Paul vs Fury

Stylistic Matchup: Paul comes forward, setting the tone of the fight. Fury has tried to look a little too perfect and doesn’t let his hands go as often as he should.

In close rounds, Paul’s aggression could be rewarded on the cards.

Inner Drive: Paul is a natural-born promoter, embracing the YouTube platform ahead of his time.

His 2015 rap video “It’s Everyday Bro” generated 5.4 million dislikes, one of the highest of all time. Recognizing that even bad reviews are good for business, Paul remained brash, outspoken, and calculating.

In crossing over to boxing, he first dismantled social media stars, former NBA players, and then three straight real combat-sports opponents.

That included two wins over Tyron Woodley and the triumph over Silva. Then he went and got enough training to polish his game to some level.

Finally, he scouts opponents the way veteran fighters do. When Fury could not knock out Anthony Taylor, Paul’s sparring partner, Paul saw a winnable fight that could be set up with trash talk. And so, he launched the process leading to this fight.

Paul could not have set this up any better for himself.

Because of Paul, a new age hits tale of the tape.

Bet365 lists Paul with 4.5 Twitter and 22 million Instagram followers, versus 314,000 Twitter and 4.5 million for Fury in its comparison of the fighters.

Imagine Muhammad Ali with this platform. He would get 10 million eyeballs for clearing his throat.

Paul has been a force in the new medium, with expectations of success.

Fury, by contrast, has a boxing world champion for a brother and is always being compared. He hasn’t stamped his name in this genre yet.

Is this the time? We shall see.

About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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