The Colts are laying 10.5-points on most oddsboards as they welcome the Jets on Thursday Night Football (8:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFLN), according to betting lines available the day before the game. The total is between 46 and 46.5.
NY Jets (2-5, 2-5 ATS) at Indianapolis Colts (3-5, 5-3 ATS)
Caesars Sportsbook line: Colts by 10.5 (46.5)
The skinny: Indianapolis, which had high hopes for an AFC South crown this season, now will focus on remaining in the wild-card mix barring a collapse by division front-runner Tennessee.
Facts: New York knocked Cincinnati out of first place in the AFC North last week with a 34-31 win as an 11.5-point underdog, the only time in 16 games this season a double-digit pick was defeated. In Jets backup QB Mike White’s first start last week in place of injured Zach Wilson (out, knee), he threw for 405 yards, a total eclipsed by NYJ legend Joe Namath only twice in his career. The Jets’ other win this season was against the Titans, the current top seed in the AFC.
Indy played a 34-31 game last Sunday, too, but was defeated by visiting Tennessee in OT. The Colts blew a 14-0 lead, the second time they fell this season despite leading by at least two touchdowns. No other team has done that.
Last season in Week 3, Indy beat the visiting Jets 36-7, in large part because of since-departed Sam Darnold’s three INTs.
Turnover mismatch: Indy is tied with Buffalo with 18 takeaways; the Jets are second with 15 giveaways, including four interceptions by White.
Analysis: A lot of good occurred last week for Indy — going 4-for-4 scoring TDs on first-and-goal possessions, winning the field position battle, and having an 86-yard edge in penalty yards. Yet they still fell to a Titans team that had just beaten powerhouses Buffalo and Kansas City. Now the Colts go against a rookie coach, Robert Saleh, and a second-time QB starter on short rest and having to travel.
It would seem a Jets team that had 511 yards of offense last week, its most the past three seasons, would have the momentum to carry on. But chances are that was a fluke performance against a Bengals team in a trap game coming off a chest-pounding rout of Baltimore and with a game against rival Cleveland up next.
The vote here is for QB Carson Wentz and RB Jonathan Taylor to respond for the Colts, who know how to score. They’ve had 30-plus points their past three games.
Jets Vs. Colts Pick
Colts 34, Jets 17
Last week: 4-11 ATS, 5-10 SU
Season total: 62-57-3 (.521) ATS; 77-45 (.631) SU