Chiefs Player Prop Bets: Patrick Mahomes Favored to Lead NFL in Passing

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the 2023-24 NFL season as defending Super Bowl champions and are expected to be among the NFL’s top teams again. The season does not kick off for a few more months, but bettors can place wagers on Chiefs player prop bets right now.

We are here to break down the top Chiefs player props from some of our favorite mobile sportsbooks. With some of the most talented players in the league, oddsmakers pay special attention to Chiefs player props, which means there are a lot of valuable wagers to make before the season kicks off.

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2023 Chiefs Player Props

The 2023 NFL season kicks off in Kansas City as the Chiefs will host the Detroit Lions on Thursday, Sept. 7. Before the kick-off of yet another ‘ring night’ ceremony in Kansas City, you can place prop bets on some of the best players on the team.

Before placing your bets, make sure you check out all of the top US sports betting apps to ensure you get the best value for your bets. This will also open you up to each sportsbook’s bonus offers, which can help build your bankroll for NFL offseason wagering.

More Chiefs: Chiefs betting odds & schedule

NFL Passing Yards Leader: Patrick Mahomes (+450, FanDuel)

It’s hard to believe Patrick Mahomes has only led the NFL in passing yards once, and it came last season. Ignoring his rookie season, where he only started one game, Mahomes is averaging 4,791 passing yards per season.

Since 2000, Mahomes’ average passing yards per season would have won the league passing yard leader eight times, and his numbers are dragged down by a few injuries earlier in his career. Since becoming the full-time starter in Kansas City, the two-time MVP has also led the league in yards per game twice, and Kansas City has thrown the ball more than anyone since 2018.

You cannot account for injuries, a surprise season, or any other factor that would limit Mahomes from repeating as the passing yards champ, making this a tough bet. However, FanDuel offers excellent odds on Mahomes leading the NFL in passing yards, and it is well worth a play.

More NFL Betting: Super Bowl odds 2024 | NFL betting odds

Patrick Mahomes O/U 4675.5 Passing Yards in 2023: Over (-110, BetMGM)

Sticking with Mahomes, BetMGM has set Over/Under for quarterback’s passing yards this season. As mentioned above, Mahomes has more passing yards than any other quarterback since 2018, and his average by season since he became the starter is well over this number.

Since 2020, the Chiefs have been in the top 5 in passing attempts per game in every season. Although they have seemingly found their guy at running back, Kansas City runs through Mahomes, which means you will get more attempts than most to rack up the yardage.

The only time Mahomes did not go over this number as a starter was in 2019, when he only played 14 games. Coming off what was considered a season-ending injury in the moment, Mahomes was not as sharp down the stretch, but he still led Kansas City to a Super Bowl and passed for over 4,000 yards.

Obviously, there is little value with this pick, but there is no reason to believe that Kansas City will decrease its number of passes per game, and Mahomes should easily go over this number.

Isiah Pacheco O/U 5.5 Rushing Touchdowns: Over (-115, Caesars Sportsbook)

The Chiefs’ undrafted rookie out of Rutgers, Isiah Pacheco, took over the starting running back role and was money for them throughout the season, including their run to the Super Bowl. In 11 starts last season, Pacheco rushed for five touchdowns on 170 attempts, and in the postseason, he only scored once, but it came in the Super Bowl.

Pacheco will be the starting back coming into the season, which means he will get more opportunities than he did last season. While he is still recovering from a torn labrum he suffered during the season, the fact that he was so good for Kansas City with a potentially catastrophic injury makes us feel even better about Pacheco’s rushing touchdown prop.

Kansas City is running with some new faces on the offensive line, but this is still one of the most explosive offenses in football, and that will give shorter fields for Pacheco to score on.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling O/U 4.5 Receiving Touchdowns: Over (+100, Caesars Sportsbook)

With the departure of JuJu Smith-Schuster in the offseason, the Chiefs are looking for a new top receiver. 

Of course, Travis Kelce is and will always be viewed as the top-receiving target on the team, but the wide receiver room is pretty bare. Outside of Marquez Valdes-Scantling, there is a lot of youth in this room. Look for Mahomes to rely on Valdes-Scantling’s experience playing with Aaron Rodgers, a similar “flashy-gunslinger” quarterback, to fill a large hole in this offense. 

For his entire career, Valdes-Scantling has been a solid deep threat. He led the NFL in yards per reception in 2020 (20.9), and with Kansas City last season, he ranked sixth (16.5). He has also received the most targets per game in his career with the Chiefs, and in 18 games played over the last two seasons, he has five touchdowns. 

If he can stay on the field this year, look for him to have a big season and rack up the touchdown receptions. At +100 odds, Caesars Sportsbook gives you a great number to take before the season starts. 

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Chiefs Super Bowl LVII Odds

If you are looking to bet on the Chiefs’ odds to win the Super Bowl, we have you covered as we will list the Chiefs’ Super Bowl LVII odds from some of our favorite mobile sportsbooks.