KENTUCKY DERBY
RACE 12
No. 5 IMPROBABLE 6/1 on the morning line will be our key runner. He is in a perfect 3rd race cycle, takes the blinkers off and gets Irad Ortiz Jr. in the irons. We also note that Bob Baffert runners hit at 35% when taking the blinkers off. He will fall into a good stalking position, he is proven on and off track and looks ready to run his lifetime best race. We will key him with No. 8 Tacitus the Wood winner off a bad trip who also has the big time connections of Mott/Juddmonte. No. 16 Game Winner who will be the one to beat and No. 17 Roadster the other Baffert runner in the race. With it raining the track could come up muddy or even a little dead, so if closers are coming in No. 14 WIN WIN WIN is a must use to come flying late for a piece of the pie. 5*** with 8-14-16-17
SANTA ANITA
Race 1
In this wide open five furlong turf sprint for Cal bred maidens we will take our shot with No. 8 Posterize who just missed last out sprinting on the dirt and he did run well going a mile on the grass one race back. We love Geovanni Franco sticking today. 8**
Race 2
We get five runners signed on for the 7 furlong Angels Flight. No. 4 Sneaking Out comes off a nice win in the Evening Jewel. No. 5 Miss My Rose won first out like a good thing and could be this good. 4*-5
Race 3
No. 2 Maxim Rate exits our HTW list and will be our key runner in the Grade III $100k Senorita, she just missed last out by a nostril. We will key her with No. 3 Lady Prancealot and No. 6 Hostess. Both exit the same last race as Maxim Rate. 2***-3-6
Race 4
No. 1 Implicitly is the speed on the rail looking for back-to-back wins. No. 3 Desert General drops and will look to run him down. 1-3
Race 5
Maiden 3yo fillies travel a mile on the grass. No. 2 Cairo Kiss goes live in this her second start. No. 6 Fashion Island will go much better today in this her second off the layoff for Richard Baltas. No. 8 Confidently exits Our HTW list off a near miss last out. No. 9 Mischiffie is in from Ireland and is the stablemate of Cairo Kiss. No. 11 Miss Bigly has the Kent Desormeaux connections and was last seen running a good race in the Surfer Girl last year. 2-8 with 6-9-11
Race 6
No. 3 Royal Trump comes off a game win last out. No. 5 Sir Eddie took some time to break his maiden but now he knows what the game is all about, he looks to win back-to-back. 5**-3
Race 7
No. 4 KIDMON drops trying to cash and finds little to beat, he is a dead nuts single in the picks.
4** SINGLE
Race 8
No. 4 Coil Me Home just missed last out by less than a length. No. 6 Oggonis exits our HTW list off a big win first out. 4-6
KEY PLAY: EXACTA BOX 4-6
Race 9
No. 2 United exits our HTW list off a big win last out, he can stand the class hike here. No. 10 Mesut drops and gets back to going a mile on the grass. 2-10
KEY PLAY: Double
8th 4-6
9th 2-10
Race 10
No. 6 Scarlet looks very live in this spot off the layoff for Richard Mandella. No. 8 Apples Arch also looks very live off the layoff for Doug O’Neill.
6-8
Race 11
We will use two runners exiting the same race. No. 2 Beyond Pleasure, who finished second and No. 4 Lucky Stepper who was in 3rd right behind her. 2-4
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