Knicks vs. Heat Game 4 Predictions, Odds, Props: NY in Die-or-Die Mode

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Jimmy Butler returned from his sprained ankle to propel the Miami Heat to a 2-1 series lead over the New York Knicks on Saturday. With the series still in South Beach for Game 4, trouble may be on the horizon for New York.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective, including Knicks vs. Heat Game 4 odds, props, and predictions, to prepare for this Eastern Conference semifinal showdown.

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Knicks vs. Heat Game 4 Odds & Updated Series Price

The betting public is sold on this Heat squad, which is favored by 4.5 points in Game 4 and laying a moneyline in the -180 to -190 range. There has been some movement toward the underdog, though, as the spread has been bet down from 5.5. The Knicks’ moneyline odds range from +155 to +160.

Heading into Monday night’s contest, Miami’s odds to advance range from -265 to -230. Bettors can grab a New York series price between +190 and +215 to outpace its opponent to four wins.

The Heat are receiving 65% of moneyline bets and 63% of spread bets at DraftKings for Game 4. The Over/Under total is set between 206 and 207 points. Here are Game 4 point spreads, moneylines, and totals from the best sports betting apps in the US.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open

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Knicks vs. Heat Betting News

Can Knicks guards Quentin Grimes (6) and Jalen Brunson (11) prevent New York from falling down 3-1 in the series? Check out the odds and our predictions for Game 4. (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire) (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

NY’s Offense Nowhere to Be Found on Saturday

Saturday was the worst time for the Knicks to forget how to score the basketball. The 86 points are the fewest they’ve scored in a game since November 9, resulting in a 2-1 series deficit.

Jalen Brunson scored 20 points – his lowest output in these playoffs – after missing all of his three-point shots for the second time in the series. He nailed six of his 10 attempts in Game 2 after going 0-for-7 in Game 1, so maybe he can bounce back from downtown in Game 4.

RJ Barrett’s hot streak of 20-point games ended Saturday after he put up just 14 points on 5-for-16 shooting from the field. Barrett had a -32 plus-minus – by far the worst of any player in the game.

The Knicks got nothing from their centers, as Mitchell Robinson and Isaiah Hartenstein combined for just two points in 40 total minutes. Predictably, they lost the interior scoring battle 36-50, which cannot happen again in Game 4 if they wish to tie the series up.

Butler’s Scoring, Miami’s Defense Continue to Play Key Roles

If we told you that the Heat would have one of their worst shooting performances of the entire season and still manage to win by nearly 20 points, you’d question our basketball knowledge. But when your staple is defense and your head coach is Erik Spoelstra, it all makes sense.

Miami’s lockdown defense helped them grow a double-digit lead that they kept for almost three quarters. Butler led all scorers with 28 points. Bam Adebayo had 17 points and 12 rebounds, and Lowry added 14 points off the bench as the Heat never trailed.

Miami was one play-in game away from being eliminated from playoff contention. Now they’re two games away from the conference finals.

As long as Butler continues to elevate his game from the regular season, undrafted players like Gabe Vincent and Max Strus continue to exceed expectations, and the team cracks down defensively, this team will find itself one step closer to advancing to the next round.

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends

Knicks

  • The Knicks are 48-38-4 ATS this season (4-4 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Knicks are 23-20-2 ATS as the favorite, 25-18-2 ATS as the underdog
  • The Knicks are 20-22-3 ATS at home, 28-19-1 ATS on the road
  • The Knicks are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 44-44-2 on the Over in Knicks games

Heat

  • The Heat are 38-51-3 ATS this season (7-1 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Heat are 21-37-3 ATS as the favorite, 17-14 ATS as the underdog
  • The Heat are 18-26-2 ATS at home, 19-25-1 ATS on the road
  • The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 47-45 on the Over in Heat games

Read more: NBA Finals odds | NBA MVP odds | NBA game lines

Knicks vs. Heat Game 4 Prediction

The Knicks have fared well on the road this season, going 28-19-1 ATS. Fire away with New York to pull off the upset in Game 4 at plus-money odds.

Pick: Knicks moneyline (+158 via Caesars Sportsbook)

Knicks vs. Heat Series Props

Whether you’re seeking a 48-minute sweat or a wager that potentially spans weeks, sportsbooks have you covered. NBA fans can wager on prop bets for both Game 4 and the series, and here are a few that might interest you, along with the best price from the top US sports betting apps for each bet. 

Correct Series Score

  • Heat win series, 4-2: +185 (DraftKings)
  • Knicks win series, 4-3: +300 (DraftKings & Caesars)
  • Heat win series, 4-1: +325 (Caesars)
  • Heat win series, 4-3: +550 (DraftKings & FanDuel)
  • Knicks win series, 4-2: +800 (DraftKings & Caesars)

Series Exact Games

  • 6 games: +125 (DraftKings)
  • 7 games: +160 (DraftKings)
  • 5 games: +325 (Caesars)

Series Spread

  • Heat -1.5: -130 (DraftKings)
  • Knicks +1.5: +115 (Caesars)

Series Total Games

  • Over 6.5: +160 (DraftKings)
  • Under 6.5: -195 (DraftKings)

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How to Watch Knicks vs. Heat Game 4

  • Game Day: Monday, May 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center | Miami, Florida
  • Channel: TNT

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About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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