Knicks vs. Heat Game 6 Predictions, Odds, Props: NY Faces Elimination on the Road

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It was Orange and Blue skies in the Big Apple on Wednesday after the New York Knicks beat the Miami Heat in Game 5 to keep their season alive at least one more night.

But the job isn’t finished for the Knicks as they must now survive a road elimination game in Miami this Friday night. Will Jimmy Butler and the Heat close the series once and for all, or will New York force a Game 7 at the Madison Square Garden?

Bettors can take a look below at the latest Knicks vs. Heat Game 6 odds, props, and predictions as they prepare to wager on this showdown in the NBA Playoffs.

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Knicks vs. Heat Game 6 Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

The trailing Knicks must overcome the longest odds they’ve had to face in this series when they take the floor Friday night.

New York is a 5.5-point road underdog and is between +176 to +185 Caesars on the moneyline to win Game 6. The Heat’s moneyline odds range from -227 to -210 (FanDuel).

77% of moneyline bets and 72% of spread bets at DraftKings are on Miami. Are you backing or fading the public? The Over/Under total is set at 208.5 points; 77% of bets are on the Over.

Here are Game 6 point spreads, moneylines, and totals from the best sports betting apps in the US.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open

Updated Series Price for Knicks vs. Heat

The Knicks still have a lot of ground to cover if they want to win this series (+310 to +350, per updated series odds). Teams with a 3-2 lead have gone on to win their series 84% of the time, putting Miami (-450 to -400) in a great spot.

Can Knicks guards Quentin Grimes (6) and Jalen Brunson (11) stave off elimination on the road when New York faces the Heat Friday night? Check out the odds and our predictions for Game 6. (Photo by Melissa Tamez/Icon Sportswire)

 

Knicks vs. Heat Betting News

New York’s Road Struggles May Haunt Them

Once again, New York’s Big Three handled almost all of the scoring, making up 88 of the team’s 112 points in Game 5. No other Knicks player scored more than eight points, which would normally spell danger, but the Big Three made up for it by shooting a combined 11-for-25 from behind the arc.

Jalen Brunson — the Knicks’ leading scorer in four-straight games — exerted himself to keep his team’s playoff run alive by playing all 48 minutes. He had 38 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists in a season-extending performance.

The Knicks now go on the road, where they’re 2-3 compared to 4-1 at home in these playoffs. Two of those road losses came at the hands of Miami. New York is shooting 26.5% from behind the arc in road games, so the team may have to turn to Julius Randle for interior scoring.

The player who’s been the most affected by the change in atmosphere is RJ Barrett, who’s averaging 24.2 points at Madison Square Garden versus just 16.8 points in foreign territory. Another inefficient night shooting may be in the cards for Barrett.

Vintage Butler, Strong Defense Both Keys for Miami

Five different Heat players scored in double figures in Game 5, but none reached 20 points. Jimmy Butler, who scored at least 25 points through the first eight games of this postseason, logged just 19 points on Wednesday — his fewest points in this postseason.

Miami shot 3-for-19 from downtown in the first half before finding their rhythm and coming back in the second half. But unlike the closeout game against the Milwaukee Bucks when they came back from down 16, the Heat couldn’t hit timely buckets against the Knicks when it mattered most.

Like New York, the Heat aren’t shooting great in this series, but they’ve done enough to be one win away from the Eastern Conference Finals. A do-everything performance from Butler and a strong defensive effort from Miami may be all it takes to finally move on to the next round.

Knicks vs. Heat Betting Trends

Knicks

  • The Knicks are 49-39-4 ATS this season (5-5 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Knicks are 24-20-2 ATS as the favorite, 25-19-2 ATS as the underdog
  • The Knicks are 21-22-3 ATS at home, 28-20-1 ATS on the road
  • The Knicks are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 46-44-2 on the Over in Knicks games

Heat

  • The Heat are 39-52-3 ATS this season (8-2 ATS in playoff games)
  • The Heat are 22-37-3 ATS as the favorite, 17-15 ATS as the underdog
  • The Heat are 19-26-2 ATS at home, 19-26-1 ATS on the road
  • The Heat are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games
  • The total has gone 49-45 on the Over in Heat games

Read more: NBA Finals MVP odds

Knicks vs. Heat Game 6 Prediction

The Heat are 8-2 ATS in the postseason, which is the best record of any team. They achieved that record in large part because of Butler’s ability to elevate his game come playoff time.

Butler took just 12 shots in Game 5, and the team lost as a result. That won’t be the case on Friday, where Butler will likely be ultra aggressive and post a loaded stat line.

The Knicks had an abnormally hot hand from three in Game 5 to extend the series. But they now travel to Miami, where they haven’t shot nearly as well from distance.

Take Miami to cover the spread.

Pick: Heat -5.5 (-110 via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Knicks vs. Heat Series Props

Whether you’re seeking a 48-minute sweat or a wager that potentially spans weeks, sportsbooks have you covered. NBA fans can wager on prop bets for both Game 6 and the series and here are a few that might interest you, along with the best price from the top US sports betting apps for each bet.

Correct Series Score

  • Heat win series, 4-2: -210 (multiple sportsbooks)
  • Knicks win series, 4-3: +350 (BetMGM)
  • Heat win series, 4-3: +500 (DraftKings)

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How to Watch Knicks vs. Heat Game 6

  • Game Day: Friday, May 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center | Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: ESPN

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About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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